Premier League Gameweek 37 Fri, May 15 2026 · 20:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
4–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.91 – 1.55
Liverpool
  • M. Rogers 42’
  • O. Watkins 57’, 73’
  • J. McGinn 89’
  • 52’, 90’ V. van Dijk
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa beat Liverpool

Aston Villa entered as narrow favourites and won 4–2 through goals from Rogers, Watkins and McGinn. Liverpool replied through two van Dijk goals. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (1.91 vs 1.55). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓45%
Draw24%
Liverpool31%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
4
Model 1.77 · xG 1.91
Liverpool goals
2
Model 1.46 · xG 1.55
Total goals
6
Model 3.23 · xG 3.46
Score 4–2
2%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. WatkinsAston Villa · 2 goals · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 5th · Liverpool 4th

Timeline

  1. M. CashYellow card · Foul
    39’
  2. M. Rogers 1–0Assist L. Digne
    42’
  3. O. WatkinsYellow card · Time wasting
    45+3’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor V. Lindelöf
    46’
  6. V. van Dijk 1–1Assist D. Szoboszlai
    52’
  7. O. Watkins 2–1Assist M. Rogers
    57’
  8. J. GomezYellow card · Foul
    62’
  9. J. McGinnYellow card · Foul
    66’
  10. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor J. Gomez
    66’
  11. ⇄ F. WirtzFor R. Gravenberch
    66’
  12. O. Watkins 3–1
    73’
  13. ⇄ Mohamed SalahFor C. Gakpo
    74’
  14. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor E. Buendía
    85’
  15. J. McGinn 4–1Assist O. Watkins
    89’
  16. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor Y. Tielemans
    90’
  17. ⇄ J. SanchoFor J. McGinn
    90’
  18. V. van Dijk 4–2Assist D. Szoboszlai
    90’
  19. Full time · 4–2

Team stats

Aston Villa14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Liverpool16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Aston VillaLiverpool
45% Possession 55%
1.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.55
1.61 Expected points (xPts) 1.17
14 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 10
5 Shots outside the box 6
360 Passes 430
83% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.10 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.9 E. Martínez(G)
126.9 L. Digne A 146.6 Pau Torres 46.9 E. Konsa 26.2 M. Cash
87.2 Y. Tielemans ↓90’ 36.3 V. Lindelöf ↓46’
106.7 E. Buendía ↓85’ 278.2 M. Rogers A 77.7 J. McGinn ↓90’
118.3★ O. Watkins A
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.9
  • 12L. DigneA6.9
  • 14Pau Torres6.6
  • 4E. Konsa6.9
  • 2M. Cash6.2
  • 8Y. Tielemans↓90’7.2
  • 3V. Lindelöf↓46’6.3
  • 10E. Buendía↓85’6.7
  • 27M. RogersA8.2
  • 7J. McGinn↓90’7.7
  • 11O. Watkins ★A8.3

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑46’6.7
  • 21Douglas Luiz↑90’6.5
  • 22I. Maatsen↑85’6.3
  • 19J. Sancho↑90’6.6

Unused: M. Bizot, L. Bailey, L. Bogarde, T. Abraham, Andrés García

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

257.3 G. Mamardashvili(G)
65.9 M. Kerkez 48.3 V. van Dijk 56.2 I. Konaté 25.9 J. Gomez ↓66’
106.5 A. Mac Allister 386.3 R. Gravenberch ↓66’
736.7 R. Ngumoha 86.3 D. Szoboszlai AA 176.9 C. Jones
186.3 C. Gakpo ↓74’
  • 25G. Mamardashvili (G)7.3
  • 6M. Kerkez5.9
  • 4V. van Dijk8.3
  • 5I. Konaté6.2
  • 2J. Gomez↓66’5.9
  • 10A. Mac Allister6.5
  • 38R. Gravenberch↓66’6.3
  • 73R. Ngumoha6.7
  • 8D. SzoboszlaiA×26.3
  • 17C. Jones6.9
  • 18C. Gakpo↓74’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 11Mohamed Salah↑74’6.7
  • 14F. Chiesa↑66’6.7
  • 7F. Wirtz↑66’6.3

Unused: F. Woodman, W. Wright, A. Robertson, J. McConnell, T. Nyoni, T. Ndiaye

Player stats

Top rated
O. WatkinsAston Villa8.3
2nd
V. van DijkLiverpool8.3
3rd
M. RogersAston Villa8.2

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 67% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Digne D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 25 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.9
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 37 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 44 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 37 2 1 0/1 1/0 6.2
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 82% 39 2 0 0/2 0/2 7.2
V. Lindelöf D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 17 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
E. Buendía M 85 0 0 1 (0) 2 65% 17 1 2 0/1 3/4 6.7
M. Rogers F 90 1 1 1 (1) 4 68% 31 2 0 1/1 1/0 8.2
J. McGinn M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 91% 22 1 0 2/2 2/0 7.7
O. Watkins F 90 2 1 6 (5) 1 81% 16 0 0 1/1 1/0 8.3
R. Barkley M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 22 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
Douglas Luiz M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
I. Maatsen D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.3
J. Sancho F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Mamardashvili G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 74% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
M. Kerkez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 30 0 1 0/0 0/3 5.9
V. van Dijk D 90 2 0 2 (2) 0 84% 67 0 3 0/0 1/0 8.3
I. Konaté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
J. Gomez D 66 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 31 0 0 0/1 2/0 5.9
A. Mac Allister M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 87% 53 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
R. Gravenberch M 66 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 23 1 1 0/0 1/2 6.3
R. Ngumoha F 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 94% 16 1 0 2/5 0/2 6.7
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 2 1 (1) 6 86% 35 0 0 0/1 3/1 6.3
C. Jones M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 94% 64 3 2 2/3 0/1 6.9
C. Gakpo F 74 0 0 2 (0) 0 86% 7 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
Mohamed Salah F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
F. Chiesa F 24 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
F. Wirtz M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.