Premier League Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 30 2025 · 14:05 Villa Park, Birmingham
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.94 – 0.49
  • B. Kamara 67’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kamara goal decides it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Kamara goal. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (0.94 vs 0.49). On the chances created, Wolves deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓73%
Draw17%
Wolves10%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
1
Model 2.50 · xG 0.94
Wolves goals
0
Model 0.83 · xG 0.49
Total goals
1
Model 3.32 · xG 1.43
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 65%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. TielemansAston Villa
8.5
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 5th · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. AndréYellow card · Foul
    45+2’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ O. WatkinsFor E. Buendía
    54’
  4. D. Møller WolfeYellow card · Foul
    58’
  5. B. Kamara 1–0Assist J. McGinn
    67’
  6. ⇄ T. ChirewaFor J. Bellegarde
    69’
  7. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor Y. Tielemans
    75’
  8. ⇄ A. OnanaFor D. Malen
    75’
  9. Y. MosqueraYellow card · Argument
    76’
  10. ⇄ Mateus ManéFor Y. Mosquera
    77’
  11. ⇄ Hugo BuenoFor D. Møller Wolfe
    77’
  12. VAR J. AriasCard upgrade
    78’
  13. J. AriasYellow card · Foul
    80’
  14. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor J. Arias
    87’
  15. ⇄ L. BogardeFor B. Kamara
    88’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Aston Villa16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
Wolves9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Aston VillaWolves
52% Possession 48%
0.94 Expected goals (xG) 0.49
1.72 Expected points (xPts) 0.92
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 7
7 Shots outside the box 2
461 Passes 423
87% Pass accuracy 87%
7 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.29 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.7 E. Martínez(G)
127.6 L. Digne 147.3 Pau Torres 47.9 E. Konsa 27.3 M. Cash
88.5★ Y. Tielemans ↓75’ 447.9 B. Kamara ↓88’
106.3 E. Buendía ↓54’ 275.9 M. Rogers 77.7 J. McGinn A
176.2 D. Malen ↓75’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.7
  • 12L. Digne7.6
  • 14Pau Torres7.3
  • 4E. Konsa7.9
  • 2M. Cash7.3
  • 8Y. Tielemans ★↓75’8.5
  • 44B. Kamara↓88’7.9
  • 10E. Buendía↓54’6.3
  • 27M. Rogers5.9
  • 7J. McGinnA7.7
  • 17D. Malen↓75’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑75’6.6
  • 11O. Watkins↑54’6.6
  • 24A. Onana↑75’6.7
  • 26L. Bogarde↑88’6.9

Unused: M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, I. Maatsen, J. Sancho, E. Guessand

Wolves 3-4-3

317.2 S. Johnstone(G)
247.0 Toti Gomes 127.3 E. Agbadou 156.3 Y. Mosquera ↓77’
66.2 D. Møller Wolfe ↓77’ 86.3 João Gomes 77.3 André 386.6 J. Tchatchoua
277.2 J. Bellegarde ↓69’ 96.0 J. Strand Larsen 106.5 J. Arias ↓87’
  • 31S. Johnstone (G)7.2
  • 24Toti Gomes7.0
  • 12E. Agbadou7.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera↓77’6.3
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↓77’6.2
  • 8João Gomes6.3
  • 7André7.3
  • 38J. Tchatchoua6.6
  • 27J. Bellegarde↓69’7.2
  • 9J. Strand Larsen6.0
  • 10J. Arias↓87’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Arokodare↑87’6.7
  • 36Mateus Mané↑77’6.5
  • 3Hugo Bueno↑77’6.9
  • 23T. Chirewa↑69’6.3

Unused: José Sá, H. Hwang, S. Bueno, M. Munetsi, K. Hoever

Player stats

Top rated
Y. TielemansAston Villa8.5
2nd
E. KonsaAston Villa7.9
3rd
B. KamaraAston Villa7.9

Aston Villa

Wolves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.