La Liga Gameweek 9 Sat, Oct 18 2025 · 20:00 Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.13 – 0.92
  • T. Almada 69’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Almada goal decides it for Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Almada goal. Atletico Madrid finished with the higher xG (2.13 vs 0.92).

Atletico Madrid ✓63%
Draw23%
Osasuna15%

Model vs reality

Atletico Madrid goals
1
Model 1.91 · xG 2.13
Osasuna goals
0
Model 0.82 · xG 0.92
Total goals
1
Model 2.73 · xG 3.05
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchSergio HerreraOsasuna
10.0
  • RefereeRicardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
  • Coaches— · A. Lisci
  • VenueEstádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Table before kick-offAtletico Madrid 6th · Osasuna 12th

Timeline

  1. VAR Álex BaenaGoal Disallowed - offside
    9’
  2. KokeYellow card · Holding
    30’
  3. ⇄ Iker BenitoFor V. Rosier
    41’
  4. ⇄ G. SimeoneFor N. González
    43’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. ⇄ C. GallagherFor Koke
    54’
  7. ⇄ A. SørlothFor A. Griezmann
    55’
  8. ⇄ Moi GómezFor Rubén García
    63’
  9. ⇄ T. AlmadaFor Álex Baena
    63’
  10. CatenaYellow card · Tripping
    66’
  11. T. Almada 1–0Assist G. Simeone
    69’
  12. ⇄ Raúl GarcíaFor Jorge Herrando
    74’
  13. ⇄ Kike BarjaFor Lucas Torró
    74’
  14. Raúl GarcíaYellow card · Holding
    81’
  15. ⇄ G. RaspadoriFor J. Alvarez
    82’
  16. ⇄ S. BeckerFor Víctor Muñoz
    85’
  17. ⇄ Iker MuñozFor Moncayola
    85’
  18. F. BoyomoYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Atletico Madrid18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
Osasuna9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Atletico MadridOsasuna
59% Possession 41%
2.13 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
2.15 Expected points (xPts) 0.65
18 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 3
523 Passes 356
88% Pass accuracy 81%
4 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Fouls 11
6 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.23 Team rating 6.98

Line-ups

Atletico Madrid 5-3-2

137.2 J. Oblak(G)
236.5 N. González ↓43’ 176.9 D. Hancko 27.5 J. Giménez 247.2 R. Le Normand 148.0 Marcos Llorente
106.3 Álex Baena ↓63’ 67.3 Koke ↓54’ 87.6 Pablo Barrios
197.3 J. Alvarez ↓82’ 77.2 A. Griezmann ↓55’
  • 13J. Oblak (G)7.2
  • 23N. González↓43’6.5
  • 17D. Hancko6.9
  • 2J. Giménez7.5
  • 24R. Le Normand7.2
  • 14Marcos Llorente8.0
  • 10Álex Baena↓63’6.3
  • 6Koke↓54’7.3
  • 8Pablo Barrios7.6
  • 19J. Alvarez↓82’7.3
  • 7A. Griezmann↓55’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 20G. SimeoneA↑43’7.9
  • 4C. Gallagher↑54’6.5
  • 9A. Sørloth↑55’6.5
  • 11T. Almada↑63’7.7
  • 22G. Raspadori↑82’

Unused: Salvador Esquivel, J. Musso, Javi Galán, N. Molina, Marc Pubill, M. Ruggeri, Carlos Martín

Osasuna 3-4-3

110.0★ Sergio Herrera(G)
56.3 Jorge Herrando ↓74’ 246.9 Catena 226.6 F. Boyomo
236.6 Abel Bretones 76.7 Moncayola ↓85’ 67.0 Lucas Torró ↓74’ 196.9 V. Rosier ↓41’
216.0 Víctor Muñoz ↓85’ 176.9 A. Budimir 146.9 Rubén García ↓63’
  • 1Sergio Herrera (G) ★10.0
  • 5Jorge Herrando↓74’6.3
  • 24Catena6.9
  • 22F. Boyomo6.6
  • 23Abel Bretones6.6
  • 7Moncayola↓85’6.7
  • 6Lucas Torró↓74’7.0
  • 19V. Rosier↓41’6.9
  • 21Víctor Muñoz↓85’6.0
  • 17A. Budimir6.9
  • 14Rubén García↓63’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2Iker Benito↑41’6.9
  • 16Moi Gómez↑63’6.7
  • 8Iker Muñoz↑85’
  • 9Raúl García↑74’6.7
  • 18S. Becker↑85’
  • 11Kike Barja↑74’6.3

Unused: Aitor Fernández, Asier Osambela

Coach: A. Lisci

Player stats

Top rated
Sergio HerreraOsasuna10.0
2nd
Marcos LlorenteAtletico Madrid8.0
3rd
G. SimeoneAtletico Madrid7.9

Atletico Madrid

Osasuna

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.