La Liga Gameweek 7 Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 15:15 Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
5–2 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 1.84 – 0.58
  • R. Le Normand 14’
  • A. Sørloth 45+3’
  • J. Alvarez 50’ (P), 64’
  • A. Griezmann 90+4’
  • 25’ K. Mbappé
  • 36’ A. Güler
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Atletico Madrid come from behind to beat Real Madrid

Real Madrid entered as narrow favourites and led 2–1 after 36 minutes through goals from Mbappé and Güler. But Sørloth, Alvarez and Griezmann scored to turn it around for Atletico Madrid, who won 5–2. Atletico Madrid finished with the higher xG (1.84 vs 0.58).

Atletico Madrid ✓33%
Draw27%
Real Madrid40%

Model vs reality

Atletico Madrid goals
5
Model 1.25 · xG 1.84
Real Madrid goals
2
Model 1.41 · xG 0.58
Total goals
7
Model 2.66 · xG 2.42
Score 5–2
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. AlvarezAtletico Madrid · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereeJavier Alberola Rojas
  • VenueEstádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Table before kick-offAtletico Madrid 8th · Real Madrid 1st

Timeline

  1. R. Le Normand 1–0Assist G. Simeone
    14’
  2. A. SørlothYellow card · Roughing
    22’
  3. K. Mbappé 1–1Assist A. Güler
    25’
  4. A. Güler 1–2Assist Vinícius
    36’
  5. N. GonzálezYellow card · Roughing
    40’
  6. VAR C. LengletGoal Disallowed - handball
    44’
  7. A. Sørloth 2–2Assist Koke
    45+3’
  8. Half time · 2–2
  9. ⇄ Raúl AsencioFor Éder Militão
    46’
  10. J. Alvarez (pen) 3–2
    50’
  11. A. GülerYellow card · Roughing
    50’
  12. C. LengletYellow card · Holding
    56’
  13. Raúl AsencioYellow card · Tripping
    58’
  14. ⇄ E. CamavingaFor Dani Carvajal
    59’
  15. ⇄ Franco MastantuonoFor A. Güler
    59’
  16. Álvaro FernándezYellow card · Roughing
    62’
  17. J. Alvarez 4–2
    64’
  18. ⇄ C. GallagherFor A. Sørloth
    67’
  19. ⇄ RodrygoFor J. Bellingham
    70’
  20. G. SimeoneYellow card · Roughing
    82’
  21. ⇄ Javi GalánFor D. Hancko
    83’
  22. ⇄ A. GriezmannFor N. González
    83’
  23. ⇄ Fran GarcíaFor D. Huijsen
    90’
  24. ⇄ Álex BaenaFor G. Simeone
    90+2’
  25. ⇄ N. MolinaFor J. Alvarez
    90+2’
  26. A. Griezmann 5–2Assist Álex Baena
    90+4’
  27. C. GallagherYellow card · Holding
    90+5’
  28. Franco MastantuonoYellow card
    90+6’
  29. Full time · 5–2

Team stats

Atletico Madrid13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Real Madrid6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
Atletico MadridReal Madrid
37% Possession 63%
1.84 Expected goals (xG) 0.58
2.25 Expected points (xPts) 0.54
13 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 3
5 Shots outside the box 3
304 Passes 529
79% Pass accuracy 88%
7 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
16 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.75 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2

135.3 J. Oblak(G)
176.3 D. Hancko ↓83’ 156.2 C. Lenglet 246.3 R. Le Normand 145.9 Marcos Llorente
237.2 N. González ↓83’ 67.2 Koke A 86.7 Pablo Barrios 207.6 G. Simeone A↓90’
198.9★ J. Alvarez ↓90’ 96.9 A. Sørloth ↓67’
  • 13J. Oblak (G)5.3
  • 17D. Hancko↓83’6.3
  • 15C. Lenglet6.2
  • 24R. Le Normand6.3
  • 14Marcos Llorente5.9
  • 23N. González↓83’7.2
  • 6KokeA7.2
  • 8Pablo Barrios6.7
  • 20G. SimeoneA↓90’7.6
  • 19J. Alvarez ★↓90’8.9
  • 9A. Sørloth↓67’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 21Javi Galán↑83’6.5
  • 16N. Molina↑90’
  • 4C. Gallagher↑67’6.2
  • 10Álex BaenaA↑90’
  • 7A. Griezmann↑83’6.5

Unused: J. Musso, I. Kostis, Marc Pubill, Taufik Seidu, M. Ruggeri, Carlos Martín, G. Raspadori

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

16.2 T. Courtois(G)
185.2 Álvaro Fernández 246.0 D. Huijsen ↓90’ 36.9 Éder Militão ↓46’ 25.9 Dani Carvajal ↓59’
146.3 A. Tchouaméni 86.3 F. Valverde
76.2 Vinícius A 57.0 J. Bellingham ↓70’ 157.3 A. Güler A↓59’
108.3 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.2
  • 18Álvaro Fernández5.2
  • 24D. Huijsen↓90’6.0
  • 3Éder Militão↓46’6.9
  • 2Dani Carvajal↓59’5.9
  • 14A. Tchouaméni6.3
  • 8F. Valverde6.3
  • 7ViníciusA6.2
  • 5J. Bellingham↓70’7.0
  • 15A. GülerA↓59’7.3
  • 10K. Mbappé8.3

Substitutes used

  • 17Raúl Asencio↑46’5.3
  • 6E. Camavinga↑59’6.7
  • 30Franco Mastantuono↑59’6.6
  • 20Fran García↑90’
  • 11Rodrygo↑70’6.9

Unused: Sergio Mestre, A. Lunin, D. Alaba, Dani Ceballos, Brahim Díaz, Gonzalo García, Endrick

Player stats

Top rated
J. AlvarezAtletico Madrid8.9
2nd
K. MbappéReal Madrid8.3
3rd
G. SimeoneAtletico Madrid7.6

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.