Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 13:30 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
First leg2–0 1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.79 – 0.86
  • W. Goes 52’
  • 90+3’ K. Fitz-Jim
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ajax snatch a late draw

Ajax entered as narrow favourites, yet AZ Alkmaar led 1–0 after 52 minutes through a Goes goal. But Fitz-Jim scored to rescue a draw for Ajax. AZ Alkmaar finished with the higher xG (1.79 vs 0.86). On the chances created, AZ Alkmaar deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

AZ Alkmaar33%
Draw ✓26%
Ajax41%

Model vs reality

AZ Alkmaar goals
1
Model 1.32 · xG 1.79
Ajax goals
1
Model 1.49 · xG 0.86
Total goals
2
Model 2.81 · xG 2.65
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchV. JarošAjax
8.0
  • RefereeDanny Makkelie
  • VenueAFAS Stadion
  • Table before kick-offAZ Alkmaar 7th · Ajax 4th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ Mateo ChávezFor S. Maikuma
    43’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ J. HornkampFor M. Šín
    46’
  4. W. Goes 1–0
    52’
  5. M. de WitYellow card · Tripping
    59’
  6. ⇄ K. Fitz-JimFor D. Klaassen
    66’
  7. ⇄ I. SadiqFor Ro-Zangelo Daal
    73’
  8. ⇄ Weslley PatatiFor I. Jensen
    73’
  9. VAR T. ParrottGoal Disallowed - offside
    73’
  10. ⇄ O. GloukhFor Sean Steur
    76’
  11. ⇄ O. EdvardsenFor Rayane Bounida
    76’
  12. ⇄ O. ZinchenkoFor O. Wijndal
    76’
  13. ⇄ W. WeghorstFor M. Godts
    89’
  14. K. Fitz-Jim 1–1Assist O. Edvardsen
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

AZ Alkmaar13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
Ajax11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
AZ AlkmaarAjax
38% Possession 62%
1.79 Expected goals (xG) 0.86
2.01 Expected points (xPts) 0.76
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
6 Shots inside the box 7
7 Shots outside the box 4
329 Passes 542
76% Pass accuracy 84%
2 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1

416.7 J. Zoet(G)
346.9 M. de Wit 56.9 Alexandre Penetra 37.3 W. Goes 26.5 S. Maikuma ↓43’
66.9 P. Koopmeiners 206.9 Kasper Boogaard
277.3 Ro-Zangelo Daal ↓73’ 336.6 M. Šín ↓46’ 176.2 I. Jensen ↓73’
97.5 T. Parrott
  • 41J. Zoet (G)6.7
  • 34M. de Wit6.9
  • 5Alexandre Penetra6.9
  • 3W. Goes7.3
  • 2S. Maikuma↓43’6.5
  • 6P. Koopmeiners6.9
  • 20Kasper Boogaard6.9
  • 27Ro-Zangelo Daal↓73’7.3
  • 33M. Šín↓46’6.6
  • 17I. Jensen↓73’6.2
  • 9T. Parrott7.5

Substitutes used

  • 15Mateo Chávez↑43’7.3
  • 19J. Hornkamp↑46’6.3
  • 11I. Sadiq↑73’6.7
  • 7Weslley Patati↑73’6.6

Unused: H. Verhulst, D. Deen, Elijah Dijkstra, B. van Duijl, Rion Ichihara, M. Dekker, Rio Robbemond, A. Oufkir

Ajax 4-3-3

18.0★ V. Jaroš(G)
56.6 O. Wijndal ↓76’ 157.3 Y. Baas 376.7 J. Šutalo 36.2 A. Gaaei
486.7 Sean Steur ↓76’ 67.0 Y. Regeer 186.7 D. Klaassen ↓66’
117.3 M. Godts ↓89’ 96.5 K. Dolberg 436.7 Rayane Bounida ↓76’
  • 1V. Jaroš (G) ★8.0
  • 5O. Wijndal↓76’6.6
  • 15Y. Baas7.3
  • 37J. Šutalo6.7
  • 3A. Gaaei6.2
  • 48Sean Steur↓76’6.7
  • 6Y. Regeer7.0
  • 18D. Klaassen↓66’6.7
  • 11M. Godts↓89’7.3
  • 9K. Dolberg6.5
  • 43Rayane Bounida↓76’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 28K. Fitz-Jim↑66’6.3
  • 47O. Zinchenko↑76’6.7
  • 17O. EdvardsenA↑76’6.2
  • 10O. Gloukh↑76’6.7
  • 25W. Weghorst↑89’

Unused: Jesse Joeri Heerkens, P. Reverson, K. Itakura, Lucas Rosa, T. Tomiyasu, A. Bouwman, J. Mokio

Player stats

Top rated
V. JarošAjax8.0
2nd
T. ParrottAZ Alkmaar7.5
3rd
W. GoesAZ Alkmaar7.3

AZ Alkmaar

Ajax

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.