Barcelona vs Feyenoord – 9 Sep 2026

UEFA Champions League Matchday 1 Wed, Sep 9 · 17:45 Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona

Barcelona

5–1Full time

Feyenoord

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Barcelona were clear favourites.

Barcelona were the stronger side on L90 Strength (92 vs 53). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Barcelona. Barcelona had 3.1 days of rest, Feyenoord 4.1 and had to travel 1,184 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel1,184 kmRest days3.1 · 4.1Matches / 14d3 · 2

Barcelona86%

Draw9%

Feyenoord5%

Expected goals 3.66 – 0.92

Barcelona76%

Draw15%

Feyenoord8%

Expected goals 2.51 – 0.71

Barcelona86%

Draw9%

Feyenoord5%

Expected goals 3.58 – 0.90

Barcelona80%

Draw12%

Feyenoord8%

Expected goals 3.26 – 1.03

Barcelona84%

Draw10%

Feyenoord6%

Expected goals 3.38 – 0.88

Over 2.5 83% Both score 59% Likeliest score 3–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Barcelona)

21°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 10 km/h
Humidity 81%

Referee · GermanySven Jablonski

Cards per match 3.9
Penalties per match 0.18
Matches 111

Team strength

Barcelona

Feyenoord

92 L90 StrengthIn forecast 53

93 Current StrengthIn forecast 59

97 AttackIn forecast 76

92 DefenceIn forecast 61

91 Form indexContext 66

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Barcelona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Feyenoord

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Barcelona

Feyenoord

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

2.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

2.25 xGVia Att/Def 2.55

0.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.11

+0.45 Goals minus xGContext -0.35

90% Scored inContext 100%

50% Clean sheetsContext 20%

15.00 ShotsContext 18.00

6.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50

41% On target shareContext 36%

11.30 Shots in the boxContext 11.80

75% Box shareContext 66%

18% ConversionContext 12%

3.33 OffsidesContext 1.63

8.10 Shots allowedContext 10.50

3.13 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.00

2.29 BlocksContext 2.60

2.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.70

72% Save rateContext 63%

69% PossessionIn forecast 51%

640 PassesContext 425

578 Accurate passesContext 355

90% Pass accuracyContext 84%

7.16 Team ratingContext 7.00

9.30 FoulsContext 9.80

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.70

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Barcelona WWWW

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km605 km in 14d

Schedule load23%Moderate

Form 91 · 12 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · +2.7 vs expected

W6 SepA · Valencia5–02.2 xPts
W31 AugH · Rayo Vallecano5–22.6 xPts
W27 AugH · Athletic Club2–02.5 xPts
W23 AugA · Elche5–02.0 xPts

Feyenoord WDWDW

Rest4.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel1,184 km189 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 66 · 11 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

W5 SepA · NEC Nijmegen3–11.4 xPts
D30 AugH · ADO Den Haag2–22.6 xPts
W23 AugA · Cambuur5–22.0 xPts
D16 AugH · GO Ahead Eagles2–22.2 xPts
W9 AugA · Sparta Rotterdam1–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Barcelona	Feyenoord
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 23	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.1La Liga 2026-2027, 6 Sep	4.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 5 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,184 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	605 km	189 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	3.9	3.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Barcelona Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1Joan García(G)

2João Cancelo 15A. Christensen 5Pau Cubarsí 23J. Koundé

8Pedri 16Rodri 20Dani Olmo

14K. Adeyemi 11Raphinha 10Lamine Yamal

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Feyenoord Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1T. Ernst(G)

35Mika Màrmol 4T. Watanabe 6J. St. Juste 26G. Read

34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël

16Javi López 10L. Valente 23A. Hadj Moussa

19Nacho Ferri

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Barcelona Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Feyenoord Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.08 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Barcelona+0.3 pp
Draw-0.3 pp
Feyenoord-0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Barcelona · Home No home games yet this season.

Feyenoord · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Barcelona	Feyenoord	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	4.58
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	83%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	59%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Barcelona	Feyenoord	Forecast
Scored per game	2.70	2.20
Conceded per game	0.80	1.10
Match goals	3.50	3.30	4.58
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	83%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	40%	80%	59%
Clean sheets	50%	20%
Failed to score	10%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Barcelona	Feyenoord	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	11.17
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.33
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Barcelona	Feyenoord	League
Corners
Corners won	5.60	6.10
Corners conceded	4.80	3.00
Match total	10.40	9.10	11.17
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.20
Opponent cards	1.50	1.60
Match total	3.00	2.80	4.33
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Sven Jablonski Germany · 111 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.78league 4.17

Red cards0.11league 0.17

Cards 5+39%league 33%

Fouls20.5league 25.2

Penalties0.18league 0.33

Home wins41%league 50%

Barcelona

No previous matches with this referee.

Feyenoord

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.