UEFA Champions League Matchday 1 Tue, Sep 8 2026 · 17:45 OPAP Arena, Athens
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.71 – 0.72
  • R. Marin 21’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Marin goal decides it for AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Marin goal. AEK Athens FC finished with the higher xG (1.71 vs 0.72).

AEK Athens FC ✓49%
Draw24%
Lask Linz27%

Model vs reality

AEK Athens FC goals
1
Model 1.72 · xG 1.71
Lask Linz goals
0
Model 1.22 · xG 0.72
Total goals
1
Model 2.94 · xG 2.43
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. MarinAEK Athens FC · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeLuís Godinho
  • CoachesMarko Nikolic · D. Kühbauer
  • VenueOPAP Arena

Timeline

  1. R. Marin 1–0
    21’
  2. L. JovićYellow card · Argument
    40’
  3. M. BogardeYellow card · Foul
    42’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. VAR L. JovićGoal cancelled
    65’
  6. ⇄ F. FleckerFor Kasper Jørgensen
    65’
  7. ⇄ A. SchöpfFor R. Ljubičić
    65’
  8. ⇄ S. KalajdžićFor C. Lang
    74’
  9. A. AndradeYellow card · Foul
    80’
  10. ⇄ ZineFor L. Jović
    82’
  11. ⇄ M. GaćinovićFor A. Koita
    90+1’
  12. ⇄ K. ArriagaFor L. Majer
    90+1’
  13. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

AEK Athens FC18 shots · 10 in box, 8 outside
Lask Linz11 shots · 5 in box, 6 outside
AEK Athens FCLask Linz
49% Possession 51%
1.71 Expected goals (xG) 0.72
2.07 Expected points (xPts) 0.70
18 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 6
9 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 5
8 Shots outside the box 6
405 Passes 426
84% Pass accuracy 81%
7 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.43 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

AEK Athens FC 4-4-2

917.9 A. Brignoli(G)
37.0 S. Pilios 447.3 Filipe Relvas 27.2 H. Moukoudi 127.9 L. Rota
117.6 A. Koita ↓90’ 188.7★ R. Marin 277.2 M. Vitális 147.7 L. Majer ↓90’
96.2 L. Jović ↓82’ 197.0 B. Varga
  • 91A. Brignoli (G)7.9
  • 3S. Pilios7.0
  • 44Filipe Relvas7.3
  • 2H. Moukoudi7.2
  • 12L. Rota7.9
  • 11A. Koita↓90’7.6
  • 18R. Marin ★8.7
  • 27M. Vitális7.2
  • 14L. Majer↓90’7.7
  • 9L. Jović↓82’6.2
  • 19B. Varga7.0

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Gaćinović↑90’
  • 16K. Arriaga↑90’
  • 90Zine↑82’6.3

Unused: Marios Balamotis, D. Vida, C. Lykogiannis, P. Mantalos, João Mário, K. Kairinen, O. Zubkov

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Lask Linz 3-1-4-2

17.0 L. Jungwirth(G)
167.3 A. Andrade 436.9 Alemão 47.7 X. Mbuyamba
66.2 M. Bogarde
26.9 G. Bello 306.9 S. Horvath 106.3 R. Ljubičić ↓65’ 206.2 Kasper Jørgensen ↓65’
276.7 C. Lang ↓74’ 86.3 M. Usor
  • 1L. Jungwirth (G)7.0
  • 16A. Andrade7.3
  • 43Alemão6.9
  • 4X. Mbuyamba7.7
  • 6M. Bogarde6.2
  • 2G. Bello6.9
  • 30S. Horvath6.9
  • 10R. Ljubičić↓65’6.3
  • 20Kasper Jørgensen↓65’6.2
  • 27C. Lang↓74’6.7
  • 8M. Usor6.3

Substitutes used

  • 29F. Flecker↑65’6.3
  • 18A. Schöpf↑65’6.5
  • 11S. Kalajdžić↑74’6.5

Unused: T. Schützenauer, F. Schillinger, Y. Dibango, M. Freckleton, M. Verhaeghe, K. Daněk, Daniel Elfadli, N. Kane

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Player stats

Top rated
R. MarinAEK Athens FC8.7
2nd
A. BrignoliAEK Athens FC7.9
3rd
L. RotaAEK Athens FC7.9

AEK Athens FC

Lask Linz

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.