Bundesliga Gameweek 19 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 14:30 BayArena, Leverkusen
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.56 – 0.67
  • Lucas Vázquez 37’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Vázquez goal decides it for Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Vázquez goal. Bayer Leverkusen finished with the higher xG (2.56 vs 0.67).

Bayer Leverkusen ✓64%
Draw20%
Werder Bremen16%

Model vs reality

Bayer Leverkusen goals
1
Model 2.21 · xG 2.56
Werder Bremen goals
0
Model 1.03 · xG 0.67
Total goals
1
Model 3.24 · xG 3.23
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 63%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. BadéBayer Leverkusen
8.0
  • RefereeTobias Reichel
  • VenueBayArena
  • Table before kick-offBayer Leverkusen 6th · Werder Bremen 14th

Timeline

  1. VAR P. SchickGoal Disallowed - handball
    12’
  2. ⇄ J. MalatiniFor A. Pieper
    15’
  3. Lucas Vázquez 1–0Assist I. Maza
    37’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ O. DemanFor I. Schmidt
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. TillmanFor E. Poku
    57’
  7. ⇄ E. FernándezFor Lucas Vázquez
    57’
  8. ⇄ J. MiloševićFor M. Grüll
    60’
  9. ⇄ ArthurFor I. Maza
    71’
  10. ⇄ E. PalaciosFor Aleix García
    72’
  11. J. HofmannYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    78’
  12. M. FriedlYellow card
    78’
  13. ⇄ K. ToppFor Y. Sugawara
    79’
  14. L. BadéYellow card
    87’
  15. J. MalatiniYellow card · Tripping
    88’
  16. O. DemanYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Bayer Leverkusen13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
Werder Bremen16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
Bayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
51% Possession 49%
2.56 Expected goals (xG) 0.67
2.49 Expected points (xPts) 0.37
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 7
542 Passes 512
87% Pass accuracy 86%
5 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

287.6 J. Blaswich(G)
58.0★ L. Badé 86.9 R. Andrich 47.2 J. Quansah
206.5 Álex Grimaldo 247.0 Aleix García ↓72’ 307.3 I. Maza A↓71’ 217.3 Lucas Vázquez ↓57’
195.9 E. Poku ↓57’ 77.2 J. Hofmann
147.7 P. Schick
  • 28J. Blaswich (G)7.6
  • 5L. Badé ★8.0
  • 8R. Andrich6.9
  • 4J. Quansah7.2
  • 20Álex Grimaldo6.5
  • 24Aleix García↓72’7.0
  • 30I. MazaA↓71’7.3
  • 21Lucas Vázquez↓57’7.3
  • 19E. Poku↓57’5.9
  • 7J. Hofmann7.2
  • 14P. Schick7.7

Substitutes used

  • 13Arthur↑71’6.2
  • 25E. Palacios↑72’6.7
  • 6E. Fernández↑57’6.5
  • 10M. Tillman↑57’6.7

Unused: N. Lomb, A. Tape, J. Belocian, Christian Kofane, M. Terrier

Werder Bremen 3-5-2

308.0 M. Backhaus(G)
316.5 Karim Coulibaly 328.0 M. Friedl 56.6 A. Pieper ↓15’
236.3 I. Schmidt ↓46’ 66.2 J. Stage 147.3 S. Lynen 206.5 R. Schmid 36.2 Y. Sugawara ↓79’
176.2 M. Grüll ↓60’ 116.5 J. Njinmah
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)8.0
  • 31Karim Coulibaly6.5
  • 32M. Friedl8.0
  • 5A. Pieper↓15’6.6
  • 23I. Schmidt↓46’6.3
  • 6J. Stage6.2
  • 14S. Lynen7.3
  • 20R. Schmid6.5
  • 3Y. Sugawara↓79’6.2
  • 17M. Grüll↓60’6.2
  • 11J. Njinmah6.5

Substitutes used

  • 22J. Malatini↑15’6.9
  • 2O. Deman↑46’6.3
  • 9K. Topp↑79’6.3
  • 19J. Milošević↑60’6.7

Unused: K. Hein, Mick Schmetgens, I. Hansen-Aarøen, Cameron Puertas, Patrice Čović

Player stats

Top rated
L. BadéBayer Leverkusen8.0
2nd
M. BackhausWerder Bremen8.0
3rd
M. FriedlWerder Bremen8.0

Bayer Leverkusen

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.