Primeira Liga Gameweek 17 Sat, Jan 3 2026 · 18:00 Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
3–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 2.33 – 0.82
  • V. Pavlidis 34’ (P), 45+1’, 80’
  • 45+3’ João Carvalho
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pavlidis hat-trick sinks Estoril

Benfica entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through three Pavlidis goals. Estoril replied through a Carvalho goal. Benfica finished with the higher xG (2.33 vs 0.82).

Benfica ✓74%
Draw17%
Estoril9%

Model vs reality

Benfica goals
3
Model 2.37 · xG 2.33
Estoril goals
1
Model 0.70 · xG 0.82
Total goals
4
Model 3.07 · xG 3.15
Score 3–1
7%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchV. PavlidisBenfica · 3 goals
9.3
  • RefereeAnzhony Rodrigues
  • VenueEstádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz)
  • Table before kick-offBenfica 3rd · Estoril 9th

Timeline

  1. V. Pavlidis (pen) 1–0
    34’
  2. V. Pavlidis 2–0Assist L. Barreiro
    45+1’
  3. João Carvalho 2–1Assist R. Guitane
    45+3’
  4. Half time · 2–1
  5. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor Ricard Sánchez
    59’
  6. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor A. Marqués
    66’
  7. F. BacherYellow card · Holding
    69’
  8. ⇄ F. AursnesFor G. Prestianni
    77’
  9. ⇄ Sidny Lopes CabralFor H. Sudakov
    77’
  10. ⇄ Tiago ParenteFor Pedro Amaral
    77’
  11. ⇄ PizziFor Jandro Orellana
    78’
  12. V. Pavlidis 3–1
    80’
  13. Tiago ParenteYellow card · Tripping
    87’
  14. ⇄ F. IvanovićFor V. Pavlidis
    87’
  15. ⇄ João RêgoFor L. Barreiro
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Benfica20 shots · 13 in box, 7 outside
Estoril8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
BenficaEstoril
51% Possession 49%
2.33 Expected goals (xG) 0.82
2.31 Expected points (xPts) 0.52
20 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 3
10 Blocked shots 2
13 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 2
416 Passes 400
82% Pass accuracy 85%
7 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

Benfica 4-2-3-1

16.9 A. Trubin(G)
267.7 S. Dahl 307.2 N. Otamendi 447.2 Tomás Araújo 177.0 A. Dedić
207.3 Richard Ríos 166.3 Manu
106.2 H. Sudakov ↓77’ 187.0 L. Barreiro A↓90’ 256.3 G. Prestianni ↓77’
149.3★ V. Pavlidis ↓87’
  • 1A. Trubin (G)6.9
  • 26S. Dahl7.7
  • 30N. Otamendi7.2
  • 44Tomás Araújo7.2
  • 17A. Dedić7.0
  • 20Richard Ríos7.3
  • 16Manu6.3
  • 10H. Sudakov↓77’6.2
  • 18L. BarreiroA↓90’7.0
  • 25G. Prestianni↓77’6.3
  • 14V. Pavlidis ★↓87’9.3

Substitutes used

  • 15Sidny Lopes Cabral↑77’6.3
  • 8F. Aursnes↑77’6.5
  • 84João Rêgo↑90’
  • 9F. Ivanović↑87’

Unused: Diogo Ferreira, Jose Neto, Rafael Obrador, Diogo Prioste, A. Schjelderup

Estoril 4-4-2

16.0 Joel Robles(G)
246.3 Pedro Amaral ↓77’ 255.5 F. Bacher 446.9 K. Boma 26.2 Ricard Sánchez ↓59’
128.2 João Carvalho 106.9 J. Holsgrove 66.2 Jandro Orellana ↓78’ 996.6 R. Guitane A
146.2 Y. Begraoui 96.2 A. Marqués ↓66’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.0
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓77’6.3
  • 25F. Bacher5.5
  • 44K. Boma6.9
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓59’6.2
  • 12João Carvalho8.2
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.9
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓78’6.2
  • 99R. GuitaneA6.6
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.2
  • 9A. Marqués↓66’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Tsoungui↑59’6.3
  • 55Tiago Parente↑77’6.2
  • 21Pizzi↑78’6.5
  • 17Fabrício Garcia↑66’6.9

Unused: M. Turk, Ferro, Pedro Carvalho, N. Lominadze, Peixinho

Player stats

Top rated
V. PavlidisBenfica9.3
2nd
João CarvalhoEstoril8.2
3rd
S. DahlBenfica7.7

Benfica

Estoril

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.