Besiktas
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Besiktas were clear favourites.
Besiktas were the stronger side on L90 Strength (39 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Konyaspor. Besiktas had 5 days of rest, Konyaspor 6.2 and had to travel 463 km.
Away travel463 kmRest days5 · 6.2Matches / 14d2 · 2
Besiktas61%
Draw22%
Konyaspor17%
Besiktas61%
Draw22%
Konyaspor16%
Besiktas61%
Draw22%
Konyaspor17%
Besiktas53%
Draw24%
Konyaspor23%
Besiktas60%
Draw22%
Konyaspor18%
Over 2.5 60%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
RefereeBatuhan Kolak
- Cards per match 3.9
- Penalties per match 0.33
- Matches 9
Team strength
Besiktas
Konyaspor
39
L90 StrengthIn forecast
16
50
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
60
AttackIn forecast
13
48
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
BesiktasKonyaspor
1.74
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.21
1.26
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.63
1.90
xGVia Att/Def
1.20
1.04
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.45
-0.16
Goals minus xGContext
+0.01
89%
Scored inContext
79%
26%
Clean sheetsContext
11%
15.68
ShotsContext
13.68
6.11
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.26
39%
On target shareContext
31%
10.58
Shots in the boxContext
8.05
70%
Box shareContext
59%
11%
ConversionContext
9%
2.31
OffsidesContext
2.13
12.47
Shots allowedContext
12.42
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.06
3.22
BlocksContext
3.06
2.94
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.41
71%
Save rateContext
59%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
419
PassesContext
406
346
Accurate passesContext
336
83%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.88
Team ratingContext
6.81
12.58
FoulsContext
11.11
11.05
Fouls sufferedContext
12.89
2.26
Yellow cardsContext
1.95
0.16
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.80
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.70
1.92
xGVia Att/Def
1.19
1.12
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.47
-0.12
Goals minus xGContext
-0.39
100%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
17.90
ShotsContext
14.30
6.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.10
39%
On target shareContext
29%
11.10
Shots in the boxContext
8.20
65%
Box shareContext
57%
10%
ConversionContext
6%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.25
14.30
Shots allowedContext
12.30
5.22
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
3.70
BlocksContext
3.40
3.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
76%
Save rateContext
50%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
436
PassesContext
428
361
Accurate passesContext
357
83%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.94
Team ratingContext
6.73
11.20
FoulsContext
10.70
12.00
Fouls sufferedContext
12.20
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Besiktas
Rest5 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Konyaspor
Rest6.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel463 km883 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Besiktas |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5Süper Lig 2025-2026, 26 Jan | 6.2Süper Lig 2025-2026, 25 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 463 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 883 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 2 | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8 | 7.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Besiktas
Confirmed XI
30E. Destanoğlu(G)
33R. Yılmaz
53E. Topçu
35Tiago Djaló
25G. Sazdagi
8S. Uçan
19E. Touré
10O. Kökçü
18V. Černý
11C. Ünder
91M. Hekimoğlu
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
4A. Demirbağ
20R. Bazoer
5U. Yazğılı
18B. Kutlu
42M. Bjørlo
10E. Bardhi
40J. Muleka
9D. Türüç
99B. Kramer
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Besiktas
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Besiktas+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Konyaspor+0.1 pp
Home / Away this season
Besiktas · Home
1.89points per game · 9 home games
- W-D-L
- 5-2-2
- Scored
- 1.67
- Conceded
- 1.22
Konyaspor · Away
1.00points per game · 9 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-3-4
- Scored
- 1.22
- Conceded
- 1.89
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Besiktas | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor | D 2–2 AW 2–1 H | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A |
| Kayserispor | W 1–0 HW 4–0 A | D 1–1 H |
| Rizespor | W 1–0 H | D 1–1 H |
| Trabzonspor | D 3–3 A | L 1–3 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 2–2 H | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 2–0 A | L 0–2 A |
| Samsunspor | D 1–1 H | L 1–3 H |
| Antalyaspor | W 3–1 A | D 0–0 H |
| Fenerbahce | L 2–3 H | L 0–4 A |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Genclerbirligi | L 1–2 H | W 2–1 A |
| Galatasaray | D 1–1 A | L 1–3 A |
| Kocaelispor | W 3–1 H | L 2–3 H |
| Goztepe | L 0–3 A | D 1–1 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 2–1 H | W 2–1 H |
| Alanyaspor | L 0–2 A | L 1–2 H |
| Points | 30 of 54 · 1.67 per game | 19 of 54 · 1.06 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
4 Besiktas wins0 draws1 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game1.60 – 0.20
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets80% · 20%
- 22 Oct 2025Konyaspor0–2Besiktas
- 15 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Besiktas
- 20 Oct 2024Besiktas2–0Konyaspor
- 19 Feb 2024Besiktas2–0Konyaspor
- 1 Oct 2023Konyaspor0–2Besiktas
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Besiktas | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.74 | 1.21 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.26 | 1.63 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.84 | 3.10 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 95% | |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 53% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 32% | |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 74% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 11% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 21% | |
| Games | 19 | 19 |
| Besiktas | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 0.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.70 | |
| Match goals | 3.10 | 2.50 | 3.10 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Besiktas | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.56 | 5.32 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.61 | 4.53 | |
| Match total | 10.17 | 9.85 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 12/18 | 47% 9/19 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 9/18 | 47% 9/19 | |
| Over 10.5 | 39% 7/18 | 42% 8/19 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.42 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.79 | 2.37 | |
| Match total | 5.21 | 4.37 | 4.59 |
| Over 3.5 | 84% 16/19 | 58% 11/19 | |
| Over 4.5 | 53% 10/19 | 26% 5/19 | |
| Besiktas | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.11 | 4.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.67 | 3.90 | |
| Match total | 8.78 | 8.80 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 4/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 5.20 | 4.20 | 4.59 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Batuhan Kolak 9 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.78league 4.35
Red cards0.11league 0.23
Cards 5+22%league 44%
Fouls24.6league 25.8
Penalties0.33league 0.26
Home wins22%league 35%
BesiktasNo previous matches with this referee.
Konyaspor1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
- W10 Aug 25A · Eyüpspor4–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Besiktas19 games · scored 33 · conceded 24
8
2
0-15
6
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
5
61-75
6
6
76-90
Konyaspor19 games · scored 23 · conceded 31
1
2
0-15
5
6
16-30
3
8
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
7
3
76-90
Besiktas10 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 8 · conceded 17
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
