UEFA Europa League Knockout round play-offs Thu, Feb 26 2026 · 20:00 Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
First leg1–0 1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.96 – 0.51
  • João Mário 56’
  • 37’ J. Sørensen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mário goal decides it for Bologna

Bologna entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Mário goal. Brann played with ten men from the 37th minute after Sørensen was sent off. Bologna finished with the higher xG (0.96 vs 0.51). On the chances created, Brann deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bologna ✓60%
Draw23%
Brann17%

Model vs reality

Bologna goals
1
Model 1.86 · xG 0.96
Brann goals
0
Model 0.88 · xG 0.51
Total goals
1
Model 2.74 · xG 1.47
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJoão MárioBologna · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeBenoît Bastien
  • Coaches— · Freyr Alexandersson
  • VenueStadio Renato Dall’Ara
  • Table before kick-offBologna 7th · Brann 14th

Timeline

  1. M. VitíkYellow card · Roughing
    28’
  2. J. SørensenRed card · Serious foul
    37’
  3. F. BernardeschiYellow card · Roughing
    41’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. João Mário 1–0
    56’
  6. ⇄ T. PedersenFor K. Ingason
    60’
  7. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor F. Bernardeschi
    61’
  8. ⇄ N. CasaleFor M. Vitík
    61’
  9. ⇄ J. OdgaardFor R. Freuler
    73’
  10. ⇄ R. HoltenFor U. Mathisen
    73’
  11. ⇄ M. HaalandFor J. Þorsteinsson
    73’
  12. R. HoltenYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  13. ⇄ B. DomínguezFor S. Castro
    78’
  14. ⇄ S. SohmFor N. Moro
    78’
  15. R. OrsoliniYellow card · Roughing
    80’
  16. ⇄ V. DragsnesFor J. Soltvedt
    85’
  17. ⇄ B. FinneFor N. Holm
    85’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Bologna13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
Brann7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
BolognaBrann
60% Possession 40%
0.96 Expected goals (xG) 0.51
1.72 Expected points (xPts) 0.93
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 2
414 Passes 296
81% Pass accuracy 69%
12 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
7.14 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

Bologna 4-3-3

17.6 Ł. Skorupski(G)
178.9★ João Mário 267.3 J. Lucumí 416.3 M. Vitík ↓61’ 206.5 N. Zortea
67.3 N. Moro ↓78’ 88.2 R. Freuler ↓73’ 196.7 L. Ferguson
116.7 J. Rowe 96.6 S. Castro ↓78’ 106.9 F. Bernardeschi ↓61’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)7.6
  • 17João Mário ★8.9
  • 26J. Lucumí7.3
  • 41M. Vitík↓61’6.3
  • 20N. Zortea6.5
  • 6N. Moro↓78’7.3
  • 8R. Freuler↓73’8.2
  • 19L. Ferguson6.7
  • 11J. Rowe6.7
  • 9S. Castro↓78’6.6
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↓61’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 7R. Orsolini↑61’6.5
  • 16N. Casale↑61’6.7
  • 21J. Odgaard↑73’6.9
  • 23S. Sohm↑78’6.3
  • 30B. Domínguez↑78’6.2

Unused: F. Ravaglia, M. Pessina, T. Heggem, Davide Baroncioni, T. Pobega, T. Dallinga, N. Cambiaghi

Brann 4-3-3

17.0 M. Dyngeland(G)
177.0 J. Soltvedt ↓85’ 47.2 N. Boakye 36.3 F. Knudsen 217.5 D. De Roeve
87.3 F. Myhre 185.9 J. Sørensen 106.6 K. Ingason ↓60’
167.3 J. Þorsteinsson ↓73’ 296.2 N. Holm ↓85’ 146.5 U. Mathisen ↓73’
  • 1M. Dyngeland (G)7.0
  • 17J. Soltvedt↓85’7.0
  • 4N. Boakye7.2
  • 3F. Knudsen6.3
  • 21D. De Roeve7.5
  • 8F. Myhre7.3
  • 18J. Sørensen5.9
  • 10K. Ingason↓60’6.6
  • 16J. Þorsteinsson↓73’7.3
  • 29N. Holm↓85’6.2
  • 14U. Mathisen↓73’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 23T. Pedersen↑60’6.3
  • 20V. Dragsnes↑85’
  • 43R. Holten↑73’6.2
  • 11B. Finne↑85’
  • 32M. Haaland↑73’6.3

Unused: Simen Vidtun Nilsen, M. Klausen, N. Jensen Wassberg, J. Eikrem, L. Remmem, M. Sande, J. Lægreid

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Player stats

Top rated
João MárioBologna8.9
2nd
R. FreulerBologna8.2
3rd
Ł. SkorupskiBologna7.6

Bologna

Brann

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.