Serie A Gameweek 13 Mon, Dec 1 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
Bologna
1–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 2.86 – 2.25
Cremonese
  • R. Orsolini 45+3’ (P)
  • 31’ M. Payero
  • 34’, 50’ J. Vardy
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cremonese beat Bologna

Bologna entered as clear favourites, but Cremonese won 3–1 through goals from Payero and Vardy. Bologna replied through a Orsolini goal. Cremonese won despite the lower xG; Bologna created the better chances (2.86 vs 2.25). On the chances created, Bologna deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bologna70%
Draw19%
Cremonese ✓11%

Model vs reality

Bologna goals
1
Model 2.16 · xG 2.86
Cremonese goals
3
Model 0.71 · xG 2.25
Total goals
4
Model 2.87 · xG 5.11
Score 1–3
1%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. VardyCremonese · 2 goals
8.5
  • RefereeErmanno Feliciani
  • Coaches— · D. Nicola
  • VenueStadio Renato Dall’Ara
  • Table before kick-offBologna 5th · Cremonese 12th

Timeline

  1. G. PezzellaYellow card · Tripping
    25’
  2. M. Payero 0–1Assist M. Bianchetti
    31’
  3. J. Vardy 0–2Assist F. Bonazzoli
    34’
  4. R. Orsolini (pen) 1–2
    45+3’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. ⇄ N. CambiaghiFor B. Domínguez
    46’
  7. ⇄ T. HeggemFor N. Casale
    46’
  8. J. Vardy 1–3Assist T. Barbieri
    50’
  9. F. TerraccianoYellow card · Tripping
    59’
  10. ⇄ A. GrassiFor M. Payero
    67’
  11. ⇄ T. DallingaFor J. Odgaard
    76’
  12. ⇄ A. SanabriaFor F. Bonazzoli
    76’
  13. ⇄ A. ZerbinFor W. Bondo
    76’
  14. ⇄ F. BernardeschiFor R. Orsolini
    80’
  15. ⇄ E. HolmFor N. Zortea
    80’
  16. ⇄ F. FolinoFor G. Pezzella
    86’
  17. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Bologna27 shots · 20 in box, 7 outside
Cremonese10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
BolognaCremonese
65% Possession 35%
2.86 Expected goals (xG) 2.25
1.72 Expected points (xPts) 1.10
27 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
14 Shots off target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
20 Shots inside the box 7
7 Shots outside the box 3
456 Passes 244
82% Pass accuracy 59%
12 Corners 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.68 Team rating 7.09

Line-ups

Bologna 4-2-3-1

135.9 F. Ravaglia(G)
337.3 Juan Miranda 266.3 J. Lucumí 166.0 N. Casale ↓46’ 206.9 N. Zortea ↓80’
67.5 N. Moro 46.9 T. Pobega
306.3 B. Domínguez ↓46’ 216.3 J. Odgaard ↓76’ 77.0 R. Orsolini ↓80’
97.0 S. Castro
  • 13F. Ravaglia (G)5.9
  • 33Juan Miranda7.3
  • 26J. Lucumí6.3
  • 16N. Casale↓46’6.0
  • 20N. Zortea↓80’6.9
  • 6N. Moro7.5
  • 4T. Pobega6.9
  • 30B. Domínguez↓46’6.3
  • 21J. Odgaard↓76’6.3
  • 7R. Orsolini↓80’7.0
  • 9S. Castro7.0

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Heggem↑46’6.3
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↑46’6.3
  • 2E. Holm↑80’6.3
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↑80’6.6
  • 24T. Dallinga↑76’6.3

Unused: M. Pessina, Matteo Franceschelli, C. Lykogiannis, L. De Silvestri, L. Ferguson, I. Sulemana, G. Fabbian, J. Rowe

Cremonese 3-1-4-2

17.6 E. Audero(G)
157.3 M. Bianchetti A 66.6 F. Baschirotto 246.9 F. Terracciano
386.7 W. Bondo ↓76’
36.3 G. Pezzella ↓86’ 276.5 J. Vandeputte 327.7 M. Payero ↓67’ 47.5 T. Barbieri A
108.5★ J. Vardy 906.6 F. Bonazzoli A↓76’
  • 1E. Audero (G)7.6
  • 15M. BianchettiA7.3
  • 6F. Baschirotto6.6
  • 24F. Terracciano6.9
  • 38W. Bondo↓76’6.7
  • 3G. Pezzella↓86’6.3
  • 27J. Vandeputte6.5
  • 32M. Payero↓67’7.7
  • 4T. BarbieriA7.5
  • 10J. Vardy ★8.5
  • 90F. BonazzoliA↓76’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 55F. Folino↑86’6.7
  • 33A. Grassi↑67’6.7
  • 7A. Zerbin↑76’6.6
  • 99A. Sanabria↑76’6.6

Unused: L. Nava, M. Silvestri, F. Ceccherini, D. Lordkipanidze, M. Valoti, J. Sarmiento, R. Floriani Mussolini, F. Moumbagna, D. Johnsen, F. Vázquez

Coach: D. Nicola

Player stats

Top rated
J. VardyCremonese8.5
2nd
M. PayeroCremonese7.7
3rd
E. AuderoCremonese7.6

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
F. Ravaglia G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 86% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Juan Miranda D 90 0 0 0 (0) 7 85% 65 3 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 87% 70 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
N. Casale D 46 0 0 2 (0) 0 77% 30 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.0
N. Zortea M 80 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 44 2 0 1/2 0/2 6.9
N. Moro M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 62 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.5
T. Pobega M 90 0 0 3 (0) 0 78% 32 4 1 1/1 3/1 6.9
B. Domínguez F 46 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 6 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.3
J. Odgaard F 76 0 0 0 (0) 2 69% 29 1 1 2/2 2/2 6.3
R. Orsolini F 80 1 0 6 (2) 2 86% 21 0 0 1/3 0/1 7.0
S. Castro F 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 91% 22 1 0 3/5 1/0 7.0
T. Heggem D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 25 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Cambiaghi F 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 67% 9 0 0 0/2 2/3 6.3
E. Holm D 10 0 0 2 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
F. Bernardeschi F 10 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 9 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.6
T. Dallinga F 14 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3

Cremonese

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Audero G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 30% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
M. Bianchetti D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 67% 15 3 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
F. Baschirotto D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
F. Terracciano M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 67% 30 2 2 0/0 1/1 6.9
W. Bondo M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 1 0 2/3 3/1 6.7
G. Pezzella D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 44% 18 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
J. Vandeputte M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 50% 20 1 0 0/1 3/1 6.5
M. Payero M 67 1 0 3 (2) 0 64% 14 1 1 1/4 0/2 7.7
T. Barbieri D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 73% 22 1 4 1/2 2/3 7.5
J. Vardy F 90 2 0 2 (2) 0 57% 14 1 0 1/1 0/0 8.5
F. Bonazzoli F 76 0 1 0 (0) 1 82% 11 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.6
F. Folino D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Grassi M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 8 0 2 0/0 0/2 6.7
A. Zerbin F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Sanabria F 14 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.