Serie A Gameweek 24 Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 11:30 Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
Bologna
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.07 – 0.18
Parma
  • T. Pobega 18’
  • 90+5’ C. Ordoñez
  • 79’ Mariano Troilo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ordoñez’s late goal settles it for Parma

Bologna entered as clear favourites, but Parma won 1–0 through a Ordoñez goal. Bologna played with ten men from the 18th minute after Pobega was sent off. Parma won despite the lower xG; Bologna created the better chances (1.07 vs 0.18). On the chances created, Bologna deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bologna61%
Draw22%
Parma ✓16%

Model vs reality

Bologna goals
0
Model 1.97 · xG 1.07
Parma goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 0.18
Total goals
1
Model 2.90 · xG 1.25
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. BernardeschiBologna
7.3
  • RefereeGiuseppe Collu
  • VenueStadio Renato Dall’Ara
  • Table before kick-offBologna 10th · Parma 16th

Timeline

  1. T. PobegaRed card · Serious foul
    18’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor João Mário
    46’
  4. Sascha BritschgiYellow card · Holding
    49’
  5. ⇄ Gabriel StrefezzaFor G. Oristanio
    54’
  6. ⇄ S. CastroFor T. Dallinga
    57’
  7. Mariano TroiloYellow card · Elbowing
    61’
  8. ⇄ Juan MirandaFor C. Lykogiannis
    68’
  9. VAR S. CastroGoal Disallowed - offside
    69’
  10. J. LucumíYellow card · Roughing
    76’
  11. ⇄ C. OrdoñezFor O. Sørensen
    79’
  12. Mariano TroiloSecond yellow · Elbowing
    79’
  13. ⇄ F. CarboniFor Adrián Bernabé
    86’
  14. ⇄ H. NicolussiFor L. Keita
    87’
  15. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor F. Bernardeschi
    87’
  16. ⇄ N. CambiaghiFor J. Rowe
    87’
  17. C. Ordoñez 0–1Assist H. Nicolussi
    90+5’
  18. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Bologna13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
Parma5 shots · 5 outside
BolognaParma
51% Possession 49%
1.07 Expected goals (xG) 0.18
2.13 Expected points (xPts) 0.53
13 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 1
8 Shots off target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 0
6 Shots outside the box 5
380 Passes 377
82% Pass accuracy 84%
2 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
6.79 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Bologna 4-3-3

16.2 Ł. Skorupski(G)
226.9 C. Lykogiannis ↓68’ 266.9 J. Lucumí 147.2 T. Heggem 176.3 João Mário ↓46’
43.9 T. Pobega 87.2 R. Freuler 197.2 L. Ferguson
117.0 J. Rowe ↓87’ 246.2 T. Dallinga ↓57’ 107.3★ F. Bernardeschi ↓87’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)6.2
  • 22C. Lykogiannis↓68’6.9
  • 26J. Lucumí6.9
  • 14T. Heggem7.2
  • 17João Mário↓46’6.3
  • 4T. Pobega3.9
  • 8R. Freuler7.2
  • 19L. Ferguson7.2
  • 11J. Rowe↓87’7.0
  • 24T. Dallinga↓57’6.2
  • 10F. Bernardeschi ★↓87’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 20N. Zortea↑46’6.5
  • 9S. Castro↑57’6.6
  • 33Juan Miranda↑68’6.3
  • 7R. Orsolini↑87’
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↑87’

Unused: M. Pessina, F. Ravaglia, E. Helland, M. Vitík, N. Casale, J. Odgaard, S. Sohm, N. Moro, B. Domínguez

Parma 3-5-2

407.2 E. Corvi(G)
397.3 A. Circati 376.5 Mariano Troilo 156.9 E. Delprato
146.7 E. Valeri 226.6 O. Sørensen ↓79’ 167.3 L. Keita ↓87’ 106.3 Adrián Bernabé ↓86’ 276.3 Sascha Britschgi
96.2 Mateo Pellegrino 216.3 G. Oristanio ↓54’
  • 40E. Corvi (G)7.2
  • 39A. Circati7.3
  • 37Mariano Troilo6.5
  • 15E. Delprato6.9
  • 14E. Valeri6.7
  • 22O. Sørensen↓79’6.6
  • 16L. Keita↓87’7.3
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓86’6.3
  • 27Sascha Britschgi6.3
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino6.2
  • 21G. Oristanio↓54’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7Gabriel Strefezza↑54’6.3
  • 41H. NicolussiA↑87’
  • 24C. Ordoñez↑79’7.7
  • 29F. Carboni↑86’

Unused: F. Rinaldi, Gabriele Casentini, Dominik Drobnic, J. Ondrejka, B. Cremaschi, N. Elphege, D. Mikołajewski

Player stats

Top rated
F. BernardeschiBologna7.3
2nd
A. CircatiParma7.3
3rd
L. KeitaParma7.3

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Ł. Skorupski G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 54% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
C. Lykogiannis D 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 30 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 45 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
T. Heggem D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 31 1 3 0/0 0/1 7.2
João Mário D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 25 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
T. Pobega M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 3.9
R. Freuler M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 49 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
L. Ferguson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 62 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
J. Rowe F 87 0 0 2 (0) 0 65% 17 0 0 6/8 0/3 7.0
T. Dallinga F 57 0 0 2 (1) 0 50% 14 0 0 0/0 1/3 6.2
F. Bernardeschi F 87 0 0 1 (0) 3 86% 28 2 0 2/4 1/2 7.3
N. Zortea M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 12 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
S. Castro F 33 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.6
Juan Miranda D 22 0 0 0 (0) 2 73% 15 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
R. Orsolini F 3 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 1/1 0/0 —
N. Cambiaghi F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Parma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Corvi G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 86% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Circati D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 53 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Mariano Troilo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 66 1 0 0/0 5/0 6.5
E. Delprato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 35 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
E. Valeri D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 35 1 2 0/1 0/0 6.7
O. Sørensen M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 21 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.6
L. Keita M 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 38 2 2 1/1 0/3 7.3
Adrián Bernabé M 86 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 39 0 1 1/1 2/1 6.3
Sascha Britschgi M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Mateo Pellegrino F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 17 1 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
G. Oristanio M 54 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 8 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
Gabriel Strefezza F 36 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 12 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.3
H. Nicolussi M 3 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
C. Ordoñez M 11 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
F. Carboni D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.