Serie A Gameweek 26 Mon, Feb 23 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
Bologna
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.27 – 0.56
Udinese
  • F. Bernardeschi 75’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bernardeschi goal decides it for Bologna

Bologna entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Bernardeschi goal. Bologna finished with the higher xG (1.27 vs 0.56). On the chances created, Udinese deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bologna ✓55%
Draw27%
Udinese18%

Model vs reality

Bologna goals
1
Model 1.56 · xG 1.27
Udinese goals
0
Model 0.77 · xG 0.56
Total goals
1
Model 2.33 · xG 1.83
Score 1–0
14%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 41%
Both scored
No
Model 43%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. LucumíBologna
7.6
  • RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
  • VenueStadio Renato Dall’Ara
  • Table before kick-offBologna 10th · Udinese 11th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ N. BertolaFor O. Solet
    10’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ N. MoroFor T. Pobega
    55’
  4. ⇄ N. CambiaghiFor J. Rowe
    56’
  5. ⇄ F. BernardeschiFor R. Orsolini
    56’
  6. A. BuksaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    62’
  7. Juan MirandaYellow card · Foul
    68’
  8. ⇄ J. EkkelenkampFor A. Buksa
    71’
  9. F. Bernardeschi (pen) 1–0
    75’
  10. ⇄ Oier ZarragaFor J. Karlström
    80’
  11. ⇄ Idrissa GueyeFor C. Kabasele
    80’
  12. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor Juan Miranda
    82’
  13. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    85’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Bologna11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Udinese8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
BolognaUdinese
46% Possession 54%
1.27 Expected goals (xG) 0.56
1.92 Expected points (xPts) 0.79
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 4
334 Passes 395
77% Pass accuracy 80%
4 Corners 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 6.45

Line-ups

Bologna 4-3-3

17.3 Ł. Skorupski(G)
337.5 Juan Miranda ↓82’ 267.6★ J. Lucumí 416.9 M. Vitík 177.3 João Mário
46.9 T. Pobega ↓55’ 87.5 R. Freuler 236.6 S. Sohm
116.3 J. Rowe ↓56’ 96.9 S. Castro ↓85’ 77.3 R. Orsolini ↓56’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)7.3
  • 33Juan Miranda↓82’7.5
  • 26J. Lucumí ★7.6
  • 41M. Vitík6.9
  • 17João Mário7.3
  • 4T. Pobega↓55’6.9
  • 8R. Freuler7.5
  • 23S. Sohm6.6
  • 11J. Rowe↓56’6.3
  • 9S. Castro↓85’6.9
  • 7R. Orsolini↓56’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 10F. Bernardeschi↑56’7.3
  • 6N. Moro↑55’6.7
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↑56’6.9
  • 20N. Zortea↑82’6.7
  • 24T. Dallinga↑85’6.5

Unused: M. Pessina, F. Ravaglia, L. De Silvestri, N. Casale, E. Helland, L. Ferguson, J. Odgaard

Udinese 3-5-2

407.2 M. Okoye(G)
286.7 O. Solet ↓10’ 276.2 C. Kabasele ↓80’ 316.9 T. Kristensen
336.9 J. Zemura 146.5 A. Atta 85.6 J. Karlström ↓80’ 246.2 J. Piotrowski 196.3 K. Ehizibue
186.5 A. Buksa ↓71’ 105.9 N. Zaniolo
  • 40M. Okoye (G)7.2
  • 28O. Solet↓10’6.7
  • 27C. Kabasele↓80’6.2
  • 31T. Kristensen6.9
  • 33J. Zemura6.9
  • 14A. Atta6.5
  • 8J. Karlström↓80’5.6
  • 24J. Piotrowski6.2
  • 19K. Ehizibue6.3
  • 18A. Buksa↓71’6.5
  • 10N. Zaniolo5.9

Substitutes used

  • 13N. Bertola↑10’6.6
  • 32J. Ekkelenkamp↑71’6.5
  • 6Oier Zarraga↑80’6.6
  • 7Idrissa Gueye↑80’6.6

Unused: D. Padelli, Alessandro Nunziante, Juan Arizala, B. Mlacic, L. Miller, A. Camara, V. Bayo

Player stats

Top rated
J. LucumíBologna7.6
2nd
Juan MirandaBologna7.5
3rd
R. FreulerBologna7.5

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Ł. Skorupski G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 70% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Juan Miranda D 82 0 0 2 (1) 4 89% 44 1 1 1/1 2/1 7.5
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 51 3 2 0/0 0/0 7.6
M. Vitík D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 41 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
João Mário D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 39 2 4 2/3 0/3 7.3
T. Pobega M 55 0 0 2 (1) 0 67% 12 3 2 0/0 3/0 6.9
R. Freuler M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 33 9 1 0/0 2/1 7.5
S. Sohm M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 52% 21 5 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Rowe F 56 0 0 1 (1) 1 67% 9 2 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
S. Castro F 85 0 0 2 (1) 1 73% 11 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.9
R. Orsolini F 56 0 0 1 (1) 0 65% 17 1 0 1/1 0/2 7.3
F. Bernardeschi F 34 1 0 1 (1) 1 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
N. Moro M 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 56% 16 2 1 1/1 1/0 6.7
N. Cambiaghi F 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 1/1 1/2 6.9
N. Zortea M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
T. Dallinga F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Udinese

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Okoye G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 69% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
O. Solet D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
C. Kabasele D 80 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 27 1 2 0/0 0/1 6.2
T. Kristensen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 54 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Zemura D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 34 4 0 2/5 3/0 6.9
A. Atta M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 37 0 1 4/8 2/1 6.5
J. Karlström M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 31 0 1 0/0 2/0 5.6
J. Piotrowski M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 64% 33 2 0 1/4 1/2 6.2
K. Ehizibue D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 34 2 3 2/4 1/1 6.3
A. Buksa F 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 13 1 0 1/3 2/0 6.5
N. Zaniolo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 21 0 0 0/5 0/2 5.9
N. Bertola D 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 48 2 2 1/2 0/0 6.6
J. Ekkelenkamp M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Oier Zarraga M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Idrissa Gueye F 10 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.