Bundesliga Gameweek 24 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 17:30 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
2–3 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.04 – 2.05
  • N. Schlotterbeck 26’
  • D. Svensson 83’
  • 54’, 70’ (P) H. Kane
  • 87’ J. Kimmich
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München come from behind to beat Borussia Dortmund

Bayern München entered as favourites, yet Borussia Dortmund led 1–0 at half-time through a Schlotterbeck goal. But Kane and Kimmich scored to turn it around for Bayern München, who won 3–2. Bayern München finished with the higher xG (2.05 vs 1.04). On the chances created, Borussia Dortmund deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Borussia Dortmund24%
Draw20%
Bayern München ✓57%

Model vs reality

Borussia Dortmund goals
2
Model 1.56 · xG 1.04
Bayern München goals
3
Model 2.44 · xG 2.05
Total goals
5
Model 4.00 · xG 3.09
Score 2–3
5%
Most likely 1–2 (9%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 76%
Both scored
Yes
Model 72%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. KaneBayern München · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • VenueSIGNAL IDUNA PARK
  • Table before kick-offBorussia Dortmund 2nd · Bayern München 1st

Timeline

  1. N. SchlotterbeckYellow card · Roughing
    20’
  2. N. Schlotterbeck 1–0Assist D. Svensson
    26’
  3. ⇄ A. BensebainiFor E. Can
    45+5’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. H. Kane 1–1Assist S. Gnabry
    54’
  6. ⇄ J. MusialaFor S. Gnabry
    62’
  7. ⇄ S. GuirassyFor Fábio Silva
    67’
  8. H. Kane (pen) 1–2
    70’
  9. ⇄ J. BrandtFor K. Adeyemi
    75’
  10. ⇄ Samuele InacioFor M. Beier
    75’
  11. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor F. Nmecha
    75’
  12. D. Svensson 2–2Assist M. Sabitzer
    83’
  13. J. Kimmich 2–3
    87’
  14. ⇄ T. BischofFor K. Laimer
    90’
  15. ⇄ M. KimFor M. Olise
    90+2’
  16. ⇄ L. GoretzkaFor J. Kimmich
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Borussia Dortmund10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Bayern München14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Borussia DortmundBayern München
33% Possession 67%
1.04 Expected goals (xG) 2.05
0.76 Expected points (xPts) 2.03
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 5
280 Passes 590
71% Pass accuracy 87%
5 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
14 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 7.06

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

16.5 G. Kobel(G)
46.9 N. Schlotterbeck 36.0 W. Anton 237.0 E. Can ↓45’
247.9 D. Svensson A 86.9 F. Nmecha ↓75’ 207.6 M. Sabitzer A 26.2 Yan Couto
276.3 K. Adeyemi ↓75’ 146.2 M. Beier ↓75’
217.5 Fábio Silva ↓67’
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.5
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck6.9
  • 3W. Anton6.0
  • 23E. Can↓45’7.0
  • 24D. SvenssonA7.9
  • 8F. Nmecha↓75’6.9
  • 20M. SabitzerA7.6
  • 2Yan Couto6.2
  • 27K. Adeyemi↓75’6.3
  • 14M. Beier↓75’6.2
  • 21Fábio Silva↓67’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Bensebaini↑45’5.9
  • 9S. Guirassy↑67’6.2
  • 10J. Brandt↑75’6.6
  • 7J. Bellingham↑75’6.7
  • 40Samuele Inacio↑75’6.5

Unused: A. Meyer, A. Kabar, Luca Reggiani, S. Özcan

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

406.6 J. Urbig(G)
276.2 K. Laimer ↓90’ 46.9 J. Tah 27.5 D. Upamecano 447.0 J. Stanišić
457.5 A. Pavlović 67.6 J. Kimmich ↓90’
146.3 L. Díaz 77.2 S. Gnabry A↓62’ 176.7 M. Olise ↓90’
98.3★ H. Kane
  • 40J. Urbig (G)6.6
  • 27K. Laimer↓90’6.2
  • 4J. Tah6.9
  • 2D. Upamecano7.5
  • 44J. Stanišić7.0
  • 45A. Pavlović7.5
  • 6J. Kimmich↓90’7.6
  • 14L. Díaz6.3
  • 7S. GnabryA↓62’7.2
  • 17M. Olise↓90’6.7
  • 9H. Kane ★8.3

Substitutes used

  • 10J. Musiala↑62’6.9
  • 3M. Kim↑90’
  • 20T. Bischof↑90’
  • 8L. Goretzka↑90’

Unused: S. Ulreich, Jannis Bartl, R. Guerreiro, Lennart Karl, N. Jackson

Player stats

Top rated
H. KaneBayern München8.3
2nd
D. SvenssonBorussia Dortmund7.9
3rd
M. SabitzerBorussia Dortmund7.6

Borussia Dortmund

Bayern München

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.