Bundesliga Gameweek 27 Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 17:30 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
3–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 5.68 – 1.47
  • A. Bensebaini 73’ (P), 84’ (P)
  • S. Guirassy 78’
  • 19’ P. Otele
  • 38’ A. Sambi Lokonga
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Borussia Dortmund come from two goals down to win

Borussia Dortmund entered as clear favourites, yet Hamburger SV led 2–0 at half-time through goals from Otele and Lokonga. But Bensebaini and Guirassy scored to turn it around for Borussia Dortmund, who won 3–2. Borussia Dortmund finished with the higher xG (5.68 vs 1.47).

Borussia Dortmund ✓72%
Draw17%
Hamburger SV11%

Model vs reality

Borussia Dortmund goals
3
Model 2.46 · xG 5.68
Hamburger SV goals
2
Model 0.87 · xG 1.47
Total goals
5
Model 3.33 · xG 7.15
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 65%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. BensebainiBorussia Dortmund · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • VenueSIGNAL IDUNA PARK
  • Table before kick-offBorussia Dortmund 2nd · Hamburger SV 11th

Timeline

  1. P. Otele 0–1Assist W. Mikelbrencis
    19’
  2. A. Sambi Lokonga 0–2Assist Fábio Vieira
    38’
  3. ✕ F. NmechaMissed penalty
    45’
  4. N. RembergYellow card
    45+4’
  5. K. AdeyemiYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    45+4’
  6. Half time · 0–2
  7. ⇄ S. GuirassyFor K. Adeyemi
    46’
  8. ⇄ A. BensebainiFor Luca Reggiani
    46’
  9. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor D. Svensson
    59’
  10. ⇄ C. ChukwuemekaFor M. Sabitzer
    59’
  11. ⇄ D. DownsFor Fábio Vieira
    68’
  12. P. OteleYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    68’
  13. ⇄ F. BaldeFor P. Otele
    68’
  14. W. MikelbrencisYellow card · Foul
    72’
  15. A. Bensebaini (pen) 1–2
    73’
  16. S. Guirassy 2–2
    78’
  17. ⇄ Otto StangeFor R. Königsdörffer
    79’
  18. A. Bensebaini (pen) 3–2
    84’
  19. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor W. Omari
    90+1’
  20. ⇄ Jean-Luc DompeFor W. Mikelbrencis
    90+1’
  21. J. RyersonYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  22. ⇄ J. BrandtFor F. Nmecha
    90+6’
  23. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Borussia Dortmund23 shots · 19 in box, 4 outside
Hamburger SV4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
69% Possession 31%
5.68 Expected goals (xG) 1.47
2.73 Expected points (xPts) 0.14
23 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 4
11 Shots off target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
19 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 1
520 Passes 241
87% Pass accuracy 72%
10 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund 3-5-2

16.3 G. Kobel(G)
46.9 N. Schlotterbeck 36.9 W. Anton 496.3 Luca Reggiani ↓46’
246.2 D. Svensson ↓59’ 86.3 F. Nmecha ↓90’ 77.5 J. Bellingham 206.2 M. Sabitzer ↓59’ 267.6 J. Ryerson
276.5 K. Adeyemi ↓46’ 147.9 M. Beier
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.3
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck6.9
  • 3W. Anton6.9
  • 49Luca Reggiani↓46’6.3
  • 24D. Svensson↓59’6.2
  • 8F. Nmecha↓90’6.3
  • 7J. Bellingham7.5
  • 20M. Sabitzer↓59’6.2
  • 26J. Ryerson7.6
  • 27K. Adeyemi↓46’6.5
  • 14M. Beier7.9

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Bensebaini ★↑46’8.3
  • 10J. Brandt↑90’
  • 17C. Chukwuemeka↑59’6.6
  • 21Fábio Silva↑59’6.3
  • 9S. Guirassy↑46’7.7

Unused: A. Meyer, N. Süle, S. Özcan, Yan Couto

Hamburger SV 3-1-4-2

18.0 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
257.0 J. Torunarigha 446.3 L. Vušković 175.7 W. Omari ↓90’
217.2 N. Remberg
286.9 M. Muheim 67.3 A. Sambi Lokonga 207.0 Fábio Vieira A↓68’ 26.3 W. Mikelbrencis A↓90’
277.2 P. Otele ↓68’ 116.0 R. Königsdörffer ↓79’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)8.0
  • 25J. Torunarigha7.0
  • 44L. Vušković6.3
  • 17W. Omari↓90’5.7
  • 21N. Remberg7.2
  • 28M. Muheim6.9
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga7.3
  • 20Fábio VieiraA↓68’7.0
  • 2W. MikelbrencisA↓90’6.3
  • 27P. Otele↓68’7.2
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓79’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↑90’
  • 49Otto Stange↑79’6.7
  • 19D. Downs↑68’6.3
  • 14Rayan Philippe↑90’
  • 45F. Balde↑68’6.6

Unused: S. Tangvik, G. Gocholeishvili, Daniel Elfadli, A. Grønbæk

Player stats

Top rated
A. BensebainiBorussia Dortmund8.3
2nd
D. Heuer FernandesHamburger SV8.0
3rd
M. BeierBorussia Dortmund7.9

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.