Premier League Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 15:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.06 – 0.44
  • Rayan 55’
  • 22’ M. Rogers
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bournemouth and Aston Villa share the points

Aston Villa led 1–0 at half-time through a Rogers goal. But Rayan scored to rescue a draw for Bournemouth. Bournemouth finished with the higher xG (2.06 vs 0.44). On the chances created, Bournemouth deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Bournemouth36%
Draw ✓25%
Aston Villa39%

Model vs reality

Bournemouth goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 2.06
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.54 · xG 0.44
Total goals
2
Model 3.01 · xG 2.50
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. MartínezAston Villa
8.6
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueVitality Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBournemouth 12th · Aston Villa 3rd

Timeline

  1. M. Rogers 0–1Assist J. Sancho
    22’
  2. Álex JiménezYellow card · Argument
    35’
  3. E. BuendíaYellow card · Argument
    35’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. Rayan 1–1Assist J. Hill
    55’
  6. ⇄ R. ChristieFor E. Kroupi
    65’
  7. ⇄ L. BaileyFor E. Buendía
    66’
  8. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor Douglas Luiz
    77’
  9. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor J. Sancho
    77’
  10. ⇄ A. SmithFor Álex Jiménez
    86’
  11. ⇄ L. BogardeFor L. Digne
    86’
  12. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor O. Watkins
    86’
  13. ⇄ D. BrooksFor Rayan
    87’
  14. ⇄ E. ÜnalFor Evanilson
    90’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Bournemouth20 shots · 12 in box, 8 outside
Aston Villa7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
BournemouthAston Villa
53% Possession 47%
2.06 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
2.45 Expected points (xPts) 0.38
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 0
4 Blocked shots 3
12 Shots inside the box 5
8 Shots outside the box 2
413 Passes 382
83% Pass accuracy 81%
11 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 7.04

Line-ups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

17.2 Đ. Petrović(G)
36.0 A. Truffert 56.9 M. Senesi 237.2 J. Hill A 206.9 Álex Jiménez ↓86’
86.6 A. Scott 47.2 L. Cook
218.2 A. Adli 226.3 E. Kroupi ↓65’ 377.9 Rayan ↓87’
96.2 Evanilson ↓90’
  • 1Đ. Petrović (G)7.2
  • 3A. Truffert6.0
  • 5M. Senesi6.9
  • 23J. HillA7.2
  • 20Álex Jiménez↓86’6.9
  • 8A. Scott6.6
  • 4L. Cook7.2
  • 21A. Adli8.2
  • 22E. Kroupi↓65’6.3
  • 37Rayan↓87’7.9
  • 9Evanilson↓90’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 15A. Smith↑86’6.7
  • 10R. Christie↑65’6.5
  • 26E. Ünal↑90’
  • 7D. Brooks↑87’6.7

Unused: C. Mandas, B. Diakité, V. Milosavljević, A. Tóth, Malcom Dacosta

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

238.6★ E. Martínez(G)
126.5 L. Digne ↓86’ 56.5 T. Mings 47.2 E. Konsa 26.9 M. Cash
217.2 Douglas Luiz ↓77’ 247.9 A. Onana
106.2 E. Buendía ↓66’ 277.0 M. Rogers 196.9 J. Sancho A↓77’
116.5 O. Watkins ↓86’
  • 23E. Martínez (G) ★8.6
  • 12L. Digne↓86’6.5
  • 5T. Mings6.5
  • 4E. Konsa7.2
  • 2M. Cash6.9
  • 21Douglas Luiz↓77’7.2
  • 24A. Onana7.9
  • 10E. Buendía↓66’6.2
  • 27M. Rogers7.0
  • 19J. SanchoA↓77’6.9
  • 11O. Watkins↓86’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑77’6.9
  • 31L. Bailey↑66’6.6
  • 22I. Maatsen↑77’6.7
  • 26L. Bogarde↑86’6.6
  • 18T. Abraham↑86’6.7

Unused: S. Proctor, M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, Pau Torres

Player stats

Top rated
E. MartínezAston Villa8.6
2nd
A. AdliBournemouth8.2
3rd
RayanBournemouth7.9

Bournemouth

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.