Premier League Gameweek 28 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 12:30 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.71 – 1.42
  • Evanilson 63’
  • 18’ Eliezer Mayenda
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bournemouth and Sunderland share the points

Bournemouth entered as clear favourites, yet Sunderland led 1–0 at half-time through a Mayenda goal. But Evanilson scored to rescue a draw for Bournemouth. The chances were even, with xG of 1.71 and 1.42.

Bournemouth62%
Draw ✓21%
Sunderland17%

Model vs reality

Bournemouth goals
1
Model 2.14 · xG 1.71
Sunderland goals
1
Model 1.03 · xG 1.42
Total goals
2
Model 3.17 · xG 3.13
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. AldereteSunderland
7.5
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueVitality Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBournemouth 8th · Sunderland 12th

Timeline

  1. Eliezer Mayenda 0–1
    18’
  2. N. SadikiYellow card · Time wasting
    33’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ EvanilsonFor D. Brooks
    46’
  5. T. AdamsYellow card · Foul
    58’
  6. ⇄ R. ChristieFor T. Adams
    62’
  7. Evanilson 1–1Assist M. Tavernier
    63’
  8. ⇄ B. TraoréFor C. Talbi
    69’
  9. R. RoefsYellow card · Time wasting
    74’
  10. ⇄ N. AnguloFor G. Xhaka
    76’
  11. ⇄ E. ÜnalFor E. Kroupi
    81’
  12. ⇄ A. AdliFor M. Tavernier
    81’
  13. A. TóthYellow card · Foul
    86’
  14. R. ChristieYellow card · Foul
    90’
  15. A. ScottYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  16. ⇄ W. IsidorFor Eliezer Mayenda
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Bournemouth21 shots · 10 in box, 11 outside
Sunderland8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
BournemouthSunderland
62% Possession 38%
1.71 Expected goals (xG) 1.42
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.20
21 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
9 Shots off target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 6
11 Shots outside the box 2
464 Passes 287
77% Pass accuracy 67%
7 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

16.7 Đ. Petrović(G)
36.9 A. Truffert 57.2 M. Senesi 236.6 J. Hill 207.2 Álex Jiménez
86.9 A. Scott 126.7 T. Adams ↓62’
76.7 D. Brooks ↓46’ 166.3 M. Tavernier A↓81’ 377.3 Rayan
226.2 E. Kroupi ↓81’
  • 1Đ. Petrović (G)6.7
  • 3A. Truffert6.9
  • 5M. Senesi7.2
  • 23J. Hill6.6
  • 20Álex Jiménez7.2
  • 8A. Scott6.9
  • 12T. Adams↓62’6.7
  • 7D. Brooks↓46’6.7
  • 16M. TavernierA↓81’6.3
  • 37Rayan7.3
  • 22E. Kroupi↓81’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 10R. Christie↑62’6.9
  • 26E. Ünal↑81’6.2
  • 9Evanilson↑46’7.2
  • 21A. Adli↑81’6.7

Unused: C. Mandas, A. Smith, B. Diakité, V. Milosavljević, A. Tóth

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

226.5 R. Roefs(G)
326.7 T. Hume 157.5★ O. Alderete 57.2 D. Ballard 66.9 L. Geertruida
346.9 G. Xhaka ↓76’ 276.3 N. Sadiki
287.2 E. Le Fée 196.0 M. Diarra 76.2 C. Talbi ↓69’
126.7 Eliezer Mayenda ↓90’
  • 22R. Roefs (G)6.5
  • 32T. Hume6.7
  • 15O. Alderete ★7.5
  • 5D. Ballard7.2
  • 6L. Geertruida6.9
  • 34G. Xhaka↓76’6.9
  • 27N. Sadiki6.3
  • 28E. Le Fée7.2
  • 19M. Diarra6.0
  • 7C. Talbi↓69’6.2
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda↓90’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 25B. Traoré↑69’6.3
  • 10N. Angulo↑76’6.6
  • 18W. Isidor↑90’

Unused: M. Ellborg, H. Jones, C. Rigg, Jenson Jones, L. O'Nien, M. Aleksić

Player stats

Top rated
O. AldereteSunderland7.5
2nd
RayanBournemouth7.3
3rd
M. SenesiBournemouth7.2

Bournemouth

Sunderland

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.