Premier League Gameweek 13 Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 15:00 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
Brentford
3–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 3.06 – 0.95
Burnley
  • Thiago 81’ (P), 86’
  • D. Ouattara 90’
  • 85’ (P) Z. Flemming
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brentford beat Burnley

Brentford entered as favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Thiago and Ouattara. Burnley replied through a Flemming goal. Brentford finished with the higher xG (3.06 vs 0.95).

Brentford ✓53%
Draw25%
Burnley22%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
3
Model 1.77 · xG 3.06
Burnley goals
1
Model 1.07 · xG 0.95
Total goals
4
Model 2.84 · xG 4.01
Score 3–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. OuattaraBrentford · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeSamuel Barrott
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 13th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. H. MejbriYellow card · Simulation
    16’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ L. UgochukwuFor H. Mejbri
    60’
  4. ⇄ R. HenryFor A. Hickey
    74’
  5. ⇄ R. NelsonFor K. Schade
    75’
  6. ⇄ J. AnthonyFor L. Foster
    75’
  7. ⇄ J. LaurentFor Florentino
    75’
  8. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    75’
  9. A. TuanzebeYellow card · Foul
    77’
  10. ⇄ A. BrojaFor J. Cullen
    81’
  11. Thiago (pen) 1–0
    81’
  12. ⇄ Y. YarmoliukFor M. Jensen
    85’
  13. Z. Flemming (pen) 1–1
    85’
  14. Thiago 2–1
    86’
  15. D. Ouattara 3–1Assist J. Henderson
    90’
  16. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor Thiago
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Brentford14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Burnley6 shots · 2 in box, 4 outside
BrentfordBurnley
52% Possession 48%
3.06 Expected goals (xG) 0.95
2.50 Expected points (xPts) 0.38
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
11 Shots inside the box 2
3 Shots outside the box 4
406 Passes 379
79% Pass accuracy 69%
5 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.05 Team rating 6.28

Line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.6 C. Kelleher(G)
26.9 A. Hickey ↓74’ 47.0 S. van den Berg 226.3 N. Collins 336.3 M. Kayode
86.5 M. Jensen ↓85’ 67.2 J. Henderson A
76.3 K. Schade ↓75’ 247.7 M. Damsgaard 198.7★ D. Ouattara
98.2 Thiago ↓90’
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.6
  • 2A. Hickey↓74’6.9
  • 4S. van den Berg7.0
  • 22N. Collins6.3
  • 33M. Kayode6.3
  • 8M. Jensen↓85’6.5
  • 6J. HendersonA7.2
  • 7K. Schade↓75’6.3
  • 24M. Damsgaard7.7
  • 19D. Ouattara ★8.7
  • 9Thiago↓90’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 3R. Henry↑74’6.3
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑90’6.3
  • 11R. Nelson↑75’6.3
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↑85’6.7

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, K. Ajer, E. Pinnock, O. Onyeka, V. Janelt

Burnley 4-2-3-1

15.7 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.2 Q. Hartman 56.2 M. Estève 65.2 A. Tuanzebe 26.3 K. Walker
167.2 Florentino ↓75’ 246.3 J. Cullen ↓81’
96.2 L. Foster ↓75’ 286.7 H. Mejbri ↓60’ 176.3 L. Tchaouna ↓75’
196.9 Z. Flemming
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)5.7
  • 3Q. Hartman6.2
  • 5M. Estève6.2
  • 6A. Tuanzebe5.2
  • 2K. Walker6.3
  • 16Florentino↓75’7.2
  • 24J. Cullen↓81’6.3
  • 9L. Foster↓75’6.2
  • 28H. Mejbri↓60’6.7
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓75’6.3
  • 19Z. Flemming6.9

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑81’6.5
  • 11J. Anthony↑75’6.9
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↑60’6.2
  • 29J. Laurent↑75’6.5
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑75’6.3

Unused: Max Weiss, Lucas Pires, M. Edwards, H. Ekdal

Player stats

Top rated
D. OuattaraBrentford8.7
2nd
ThiagoBrentford8.2
3rd
M. DamsgaardBrentford7.7

Brentford

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Kelleher G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 92% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Hickey D 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 25 2 1 0/2 0/0 6.9
S. van den Berg D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
N. Collins D 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 81% 54 1 3 2/4 0/0 6.3
M. Kayode D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 28 2 3 1/3 1/0 6.3
M. Jensen M 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 48 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.5
J. Henderson M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 70% 66 1 2 0/0 1/1 7.2
K. Schade M 75 0 0 0 (0) 2 62% 13 0 1 0/3 3/2 6.3
M. Damsgaard M 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 83% 52 1 1 1/1 0/1 7.7
D. Ouattara F 90 1 0 3 (1) 2 50% 24 1 0 2/3 0/1 8.7
Thiago F 90 2 0 4 (2) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.2
R. Henry D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
K. Lewis-Potter F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Nelson F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Y. Yarmoliuk M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 35% 48 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.7
Q. Hartman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 69% 36 5 1 2/3 0/0 6.2
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 35 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Tuanzebe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 32 0 1 0/0 3/0 5.2
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 34 4 1 0/0 1/2 6.3
Florentino M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 43 5 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
J. Cullen M 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 46 1 0 0/2 0/2 6.3
L. Foster F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 46% 13 2 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
H. Mejbri M 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 68% 22 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.7
L. Tchaouna F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 17 4 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Z. Flemming M 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 77% 13 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.9
A. Broja F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Anthony F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
L. Ugochukwu M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Laurent M 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 8 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Bruun Larsen F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.