Premier League Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 16:30 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.70 – 0.85
  • 9’ E. Haaland
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Haaland goal decides it for Manchester City

Manchester City entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Haaland goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.70 and 0.85. On the chances created, Brentford deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brentford28%
Draw25%
Manchester City ✓47%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
0
Model 1.26 · xG 0.70
Manchester City goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 0.85
Total goals
1
Model 2.93 · xG 1.55
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRúben DiasManchester City
7.9
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 16th · Manchester City 9th

Timeline

  1. E. Haaland 0–1Assist J. Gvardiol
    9’
  2. ⇄ Nico GonzálezFor Rodri
    22’
  3. K. SchadeYellow card · Argument
    45+1’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ M. JensenFor M. Damsgaard
    68’
  6. ⇄ D. OuattaraFor Thiago
    68’
  7. J. HendersonYellow card · Foul
    70’
  8. ⇄ O. OnyekaFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    73’
  9. ⇄ V. JaneltFor J. Henderson
    74’
  10. ⇄ J. DokuFor O. Bobb
    76’
  11. ⇄ Bernardo SilvaFor T. Reijnders
    76’
  12. M. NunesYellow card
    77’
  13. N. O'ReillyYellow card · Time wasting
    83’
  14. D. OuattaraYellow card · Foul
    84’
  15. ⇄ Fábio CarvalhoFor K. Ajer
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Brentford6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
Manchester City10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
BrentfordManchester City
30% Possession 70%
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
1.19 Expected points (xPts) 1.45
6 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 4
311 Passes 764
80% Pass accuracy 91%
3 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.44 Team rating 7.13

Line-ups

Brentford 5-3-2

16.6 C. Kelleher(G)
26.3 A. Hickey 226.5 N. Collins 46.7 S. van den Berg 206.5 K. Ajer ↓90’ 336.2 M. Kayode
246.6 M. Damsgaard ↓68’ 66.5 J. Henderson ↓74’ 186.2 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓73’
76.2 K. Schade 96.7 Thiago ↓68’
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.6
  • 2A. Hickey6.3
  • 22N. Collins6.5
  • 4S. van den Berg6.7
  • 20K. Ajer↓90’6.5
  • 33M. Kayode6.2
  • 24M. Damsgaard↓68’6.6
  • 6J. Henderson↓74’6.5
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↓73’6.2
  • 7K. Schade6.2
  • 9Thiago↓68’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Jensen↑68’6.3
  • 15O. Onyeka↑73’6.7
  • 14Fábio Carvalho↑90’
  • 27V. Janelt↑74’6.3
  • 19D. Ouattara↑68’6.2

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, R. Henry, E. Pinnock, K. Lewis-Potter

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

257.3 G. Donnarumma(G)
336.6 N. O'Reilly 247.7 J. Gvardiol A 37.9★ Rúben Dias 277.3 M. Nunes
166.6 Rodri ↓22’
266.7 Savinho 476.7 P. Foden 47.2 T. Reijnders ↓76’ 527.0 O. Bobb ↓76’
97.3 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.3
  • 33N. O'Reilly6.6
  • 24J. GvardiolA7.7
  • 3Rúben Dias ★7.9
  • 27M. Nunes7.3
  • 16Rodri↓22’6.6
  • 26Savinho6.7
  • 47P. Foden6.7
  • 4T. Reijnders↓76’7.2
  • 52O. Bobb↓76’7.0
  • 9E. Haaland7.3

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Doku↑76’6.2
  • 20Bernardo Silva↑76’6.6
  • 14Nico González↑22’7.0

Unused: J. Trafford, R. Lewis, M. Kovačić, J. Stones, N. Aké, M. Cherki

Player stats

Top rated
Rúben DiasManchester City7.9
2nd
J. GvardiolManchester City7.7
3rd
G. DonnarummaManchester City7.3

Brentford

Manchester City

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.