Premier League Gameweek 11 Sun, Nov 9 2025 · 14:00 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
3–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.35 – 0.44
  • K. Schade 56’
  • Thiago 78’ (P), 90’
  • 27’ H. Barnes
  • 73’ D. Burn
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brentford come from behind to beat Newcastle

Newcastle led 1–0 at half-time through a Barnes goal. But Schade and Thiago scored to turn it around for Brentford, who won 3–1. Newcastle played with ten men from the 73rd minute after Burn was sent off. Brentford finished with the higher xG (2.35 vs 0.44).

Brentford ✓38%
Draw27%
Newcastle36%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
3
Model 1.43 · xG 2.35
Newcastle goals
1
Model 1.38 · xG 0.44
Total goals
4
Model 2.80 · xG 2.79
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchThiagoBrentford · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 13th · Newcastle 14th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ J. RamseyFor Joelinton
    24’
  2. H. Barnes 0–1
    27’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. D. BurnYellow card · Foul
    49’
  5. K. Schade 1–1
    56’
  6. D. OuattaraYellow card · Simulation
    61’
  7. ⇄ R. HenryFor A. Hickey
    70’
  8. D. BurnSecond yellow · Foul
    73’
  9. ⇄ A. RamsdaleFor N. Pope
    77’
  10. ⇄ J. WillockFor S. Tonali
    77’
  11. ⇄ L. HallFor H. Barnes
    77’
  12. ⇄ A. ElangaFor J. Murphy
    77’
  13. Thiago (pen) 2–1
    78’
  14. ⇄ M. JensenFor M. Damsgaard
    84’
  15. ⇄ V. JaneltFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    84’
  16. M. KayodeYellow card · Foul
    87’
  17. Thiago 3–1
    90’
  18. ⇄ R. NelsonFor D. Ouattara
    90+2’
  19. ⇄ L. MileyFor Bruno Guimarães
    90+6’
  20. K. TrippierYellow card · Foul
    90+7’
  21. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Brentford15 shots · 13 in box, 2 outside
Newcastle5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
BrentfordNewcastle
49% Possession 51%
2.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
2.55 Expected points (xPts) 0.30
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
4 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 2
2 Shots outside the box 3
423 Passes 440
76% Pass accuracy 82%
6 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
23 Fouls 0
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
7.10 Team rating 6.56

Line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.2 C. Kelleher(G)
26.5 A. Hickey ↓70’ 46.6 S. van den Berg 226.9 N. Collins 337.7 M. Kayode
186.9 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓84’ 66.7 J. Henderson
78.0 K. Schade 246.6 M. Damsgaard ↓84’ 196.7 D. Ouattara ↓90’
99.2★ Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.2
  • 2A. Hickey↓70’6.5
  • 4S. van den Berg6.6
  • 22N. Collins6.9
  • 33M. Kayode7.7
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↓84’6.9
  • 6J. Henderson6.7
  • 7K. Schade8.0
  • 24M. Damsgaard↓84’6.6
  • 19D. Ouattara↓90’6.7
  • 9Thiago ★9.2

Substitutes used

  • 3R. Henry↑70’6.9
  • 8M. Jensen↑84’6.7
  • 11R. Nelson↑90’6.9
  • 27V. Janelt↑84’6.6

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, O. Onyeka, K. Lewis-Potter, Fábio Carvalho

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.3 N. Pope(G) ↓77’
335.7 D. Burn 46.2 S. Botman 126.9 M. Thiaw 26.2 K. Trippier
76.3 Joelinton ↓24’ 86.5 S. Tonali ↓77’ 397.3 Bruno Guimarães ↓90’
117.5 H. Barnes ↓77’ 276.3 N. Woltemade 236.7 J. Murphy ↓77’
  • 1N. Pope (G)↓77’6.3
  • 33D. Burn5.7
  • 4S. Botman6.2
  • 12M. Thiaw6.9
  • 2K. Trippier6.2
  • 7Joelinton↓24’6.3
  • 8S. Tonali↓77’6.5
  • 39Bruno Guimarães↓90’7.3
  • 11H. Barnes↓77’7.5
  • 27N. Woltemade6.3
  • 23J. Murphy↓77’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 32A. Ramsdale (G)↑77’6.3
  • 28J. Willock↑77’6.5
  • 41J. Ramsey↑24’6.7
  • 3L. Hall↑77’6.3
  • 20A. Elanga↑77’6.2
  • 67L. Miley↑90’

Unused: J. Lascelles, E. Krafth, F. Schär

Player stats

Top rated
ThiagoBrentford9.2
2nd
K. SchadeBrentford8.0
3rd
M. KayodeBrentford7.7

Brentford

Newcastle

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.