Premier League Gameweek 23 Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 14:00 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
Brentford
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.81 – 0.78
Nottingham Forest
  • 12’ Igor Jesus
  • 79’ T. Awoniyi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest beat Brentford

Brentford entered as favourites, but Nottingham Forest won 2–0 through goals from Jesus and Awoniyi. Nottingham Forest won despite the lower xG; Brentford created the better chances (1.81 vs 0.78). On the chances created, Brentford deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brentford53%
Draw24%
Nottingham Forest ✓23%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
0
Model 1.82 · xG 1.81
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.14 · xG 0.78
Total goals
2
Model 2.96 · xG 2.59
Score 0–2
3%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. JensenBrentford
7.6
  • RefereeSamuel Barrott
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 8th · Nottingham Forest 17th

Timeline

  1. Igor Jesus 0–1
    12’
  2. ⇄ S. van den BergFor K. Ajer
    37’
  3. ⇄ D. OuattaraFor M. Damsgaard
    37’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor N. Domínguez
    61’
  6. Y. YarmoliukYellow card · Argument
    66’
  7. ⇄ A. HickeyFor R. Henry
    67’
  8. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus
    68’
  9. T. Awoniyi 0–2Assist M. Gibbs-White
    79’
  10. ⇄ J. HendersonFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    81’
  11. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor M. Kayode
    81’
  12. ⇄ MoratoFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    87’
  13. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Brentford10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
Nottingham Forest7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
BrentfordNottingham Forest
66% Possession 34%
1.81 Expected goals (xG) 0.78
2.08 Expected points (xPts) 0.69
10 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 5
1 Shots outside the box 2
567 Passes 295
86% Pass accuracy 74%
6 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 7.10

Line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.0 C. Kelleher(G)
36.7 R. Henry ↓67’ 226.6 N. Collins 206.7 K. Ajer ↓37’ 336.9 M. Kayode ↓81’
276.5 V. Janelt 187.2 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓81’
77.0 K. Schade 246.9 M. Damsgaard ↓37’ 87.6★ M. Jensen
96.3 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.0
  • 3R. Henry↓67’6.7
  • 22N. Collins6.6
  • 20K. Ajer↓37’6.7
  • 33M. Kayode↓81’6.9
  • 27V. Janelt6.5
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↓81’7.2
  • 7K. Schade7.0
  • 24M. Damsgaard↓37’6.9
  • 8M. Jensen ★7.6
  • 9Thiago6.3

Substitutes used

  • 6J. Henderson↑81’6.7
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑81’6.3
  • 4S. van den Berg↑37’7.3
  • 2A. Hickey↑67’6.5
  • 19D. Ouattara↑37’6.6

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, R. Nelson, R. Donovan

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

266.9 M. Sels(G)
37.3 N. Williams 57.5 Murillo 317.0 N. Milenković 347.2 T. Aina
87.0 E. Anderson 67.2 I. Sangaré
166.7 N. Domínguez ↓61’ 107.2 M. Gibbs-White A 76.6 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓87’
197.6 Igor Jesus ↓68’
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.9
  • 3N. Williams7.3
  • 5Murillo7.5
  • 31N. Milenković7.0
  • 34T. Aina7.2
  • 8E. Anderson7.0
  • 6I. Sangaré7.2
  • 16N. Domínguez↓61’6.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-WhiteA7.2
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓87’6.6
  • 19Igor Jesus↓68’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑68’7.6
  • 4Morato↑87’
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑61’6.3

Unused: A. Gunn, R. Yates, D. Bakwa, J. McAtee, D. Ndoye, N. Savona

Player stats

Top rated
M. JensenBrentford7.6
2nd
Igor JesusNottingham Forest7.6
3rd
T. AwoniyiNottingham Forest7.6

Brentford

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Kelleher G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 91% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
R. Henry D 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 37 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Collins D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 94 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
K. Ajer D 37 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Kayode D 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 47 1 1 2/4 0/1 6.9
V. Janelt M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 62 0 3 0/0 1/0 6.5
Y. Yarmoliuk M 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 52 2 0 0/0 2/2 7.2
K. Schade M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 30 2 1 2/3 3/1 7.0
M. Damsgaard M 37 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 17 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.9
M. Jensen M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 89% 64 1 2 2/2 1/0 7.6
Thiago F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 69% 16 2 1 1/1 1/1 6.3
J. Henderson M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Lewis-Potter F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
S. van den Berg D 53 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 65 0 3 1/1 0/2 7.3
A. Hickey D 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
D. Ouattara F 53 0 0 2 (1) 3 73% 26 2 2 1/7 1/1 6.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 35% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 68% 28 4 1 2/3 1/1 7.3
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 26 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.5
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 58% 12 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
T. Aina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 29 0 3 0/1 0/0 7.2
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 56 1 1 1/2 1/2 7.0
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 29 2 1 0/0 2/2 7.2
N. Domínguez M 61 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 18 3 0 0/1 2/1 6.7
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 79% 19 0 0 2/2 1/2 7.2
C. Hudson-Odoi F 87 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 26 2 0 1/2 0/1 6.6
Igor Jesus F 68 1 0 1 (1) 0 64% 11 3 0 1/2 1/0 7.6
T. Awoniyi F 22 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 4 0 0 2/2 1/0 7.6
Morato D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/1 —
O. Hutchinson F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.