Premier League Gameweek 30 Mon, Mar 16 2026 · 20:00 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
2–2 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 2.56 – 1.33
  • M. Kayode 22’
  • Thiago 37’
  • 44’ A. Armstrong
  • 77’ T. Arokodare
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Wolves fight back from two goals down

Brentford entered as clear favourites and led 2–0 after 37 minutes through goals from Kayode and Thiago. But Armstrong and Arokodare scored to rescue a draw for Wolves. Brentford finished with the higher xG (2.56 vs 1.33). On the chances created, Brentford deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Brentford60%
Draw ✓23%
Wolves17%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
2
Model 1.96 · xG 2.56
Wolves goals
2
Model 0.96 · xG 1.33
Total goals
4
Model 2.92 · xG 3.89
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. OuattaraBrentford · 1 assist
8.6
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 7th · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. M. Kayode 1–0Assist K. Lewis-Potter
    22’
  2. A. ArmstrongYellow card · Foul
    24’
  3. Thiago 2–0Assist D. Ouattara
    37’
  4. A. Armstrong 2–1Assist J. Bellegarde
    44’
  5. L. KrejčíYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  6. Half time · 2–1
  7. ⇄ A. GomesFor Mateus Mané
    46’
  8. N. CollinsYellow card · Foul
    57’
  9. ⇄ Y. YarmoliukFor K. Schade
    68’
  10. ⇄ K. AjerFor M. Damsgaard
    72’
  11. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor J. Bellegarde
    74’
  12. K. AjerYellow card · Foul
    77’
  13. T. Arokodare 2–2Assist João Gomes
    77’
  14. ⇄ R. NelsonFor D. Ouattara
    85’
  15. ⇄ R. GomesFor A. Armstrong
    87’
  16. A. GomesYellow card · Foul
    89’
  17. José SáYellow card · Time wasting
    90+3’
  18. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Brentford10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
Wolves13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
BrentfordWolves
50% Possession 50%
2.56 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
2.10 Expected points (xPts) 0.72
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 9
1 Shots outside the box 4
438 Passes 428
77% Pass accuracy 81%
1 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.59

Line-ups

Brentford 4-1-4-1

16.5 C. Kelleher(G)
236.9 K. Lewis-Potter A 226.3 N. Collins 47.6 S. van den Berg 337.6 M. Kayode
66.9 J. Henderson
76.3 K. Schade ↓68’ 247.2 M. Damsgaard ↓72’ 86.9 M. Jensen 198.6★ D. Ouattara A↓85’
96.7 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.5
  • 23K. Lewis-PotterA6.9
  • 22N. Collins6.3
  • 4S. van den Berg7.6
  • 33M. Kayode7.6
  • 6J. Henderson6.9
  • 7K. Schade↓68’6.3
  • 24M. Damsgaard↓72’7.2
  • 8M. Jensen6.9
  • 19D. Ouattara ★A↓85’8.6
  • 9Thiago6.7

Substitutes used

  • 20K. Ajer↑72’6.2
  • 11R. Nelson↑85’6.5
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↑68’6.3

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, K. Furo, R. Donovan, Ollie Shield, Luka Bentt

Wolves 3-4-2-1

16.7 José Sá(G)
375.6 L. Krejčí 46.3 S. Bueno 156.7 Y. Mosquera
36.2 Hugo Bueno 87.3 João Gomes A 76.3 André 386.3 J. Tchatchoua
366.5 Mateus Mané ↓46’ 277.5 J. Bellegarde A↓74’
96.9 A. Armstrong ↓87’
  • 1José Sá (G)6.7
  • 37L. Krejčí5.6
  • 4S. Bueno6.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera6.7
  • 3Hugo Bueno6.2
  • 8João GomesA7.3
  • 7André6.3
  • 38J. Tchatchoua6.3
  • 36Mateus Mané↓46’6.5
  • 27J. BellegardeA↓74’7.5
  • 9A. Armstrong↓87’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Arokodare↑74’7.7
  • 21R. Gomes↑87’6.5
  • 47A. Gomes↑46’6.9

Unused: D. Bentley, M. Doherty, H. Hwang, D. Møller Wolfe, Toti Gomes, Pedro Lima

Player stats

Top rated
D. OuattaraBrentford8.6
2nd
S. van den BergBrentford7.6
3rd
M. KayodeBrentford7.6

Brentford

Wolves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.