Premier League Gameweek 12 Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 15:00 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
2–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.22 – 1.91
  • D. Welbeck 71’
  • J. Hinshelwood 84’
  • 29’ (P) Thiago
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton come from behind to beat Brentford

Brighton entered as favourites, yet Brentford led 1–0 at half-time through a Thiago goal. But Welbeck and Hinshelwood scored to turn it around for Brighton, who won 2–1. Brighton won despite the lower xG; Brentford created the better chances (1.91 vs 1.22). On the chances created, Brentford deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brighton ✓47%
Draw26%
Brentford27%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
2
Model 1.64 · xG 1.22
Brentford goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 1.91
Total goals
3
Model 2.84 · xG 3.13
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. MintehBrighton · 1 assist
7.7
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 11th · Brentford 12th

Timeline

  1. O. BoscagliYellow card · Foul
    15’
  2. Thiago (pen) 0–1
    29’
  3. D. OuattaraYellow card · Foul
    36’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ L. DunkFor O. Boscagli
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. De CuyperFor C. Baleba
    46’
  7. D. GómezYellow card · Argument
    64’
  8. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor D. Ouattara
    65’
  9. ⇄ J. HinshelwoodFor D. Gómez
    70’
  10. D. Welbeck 1–1Assist Y. Minteh
    71’
  11. ⇄ M. JensenFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    80’
  12. ⇄ V. JaneltFor M. Damsgaard
    80’
  13. ⇄ A. HickeyFor K. Ajer
    80’
  14. J. Hinshelwood 2–1
    84’
  15. ⇄ J. VeltmanFor G. Rutter
    89’
  16. ⇄ B. GrudaFor Y. Minteh
    89’
  17. B. GrudaYellow card · Time wasting
    90+1’
  18. B. VerbruggenYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  19. V. JaneltYellow card · Argument
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Brighton14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Brentford10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
BrightonBrentford
64% Possession 36%
1.22 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
0.95 Expected points (xPts) 1.83
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
8 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 3
576 Passes 314
83% Pass accuracy 75%
7 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.5 B. Verbruggen(G)
247.2 F. Kadıoğlu 216.3 O. Boscagli ↓46’ 67.2 J. van Hecke 276.7 M. Wieffer
267.2 Y. Ayari 175.9 C. Baleba ↓46’
256.5 D. Gómez ↓70’ 106.7 G. Rutter ↓89’ 117.7★ Y. Minteh A↓89’
187.3 D. Welbeck
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.5
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu7.2
  • 21O. Boscagli↓46’6.3
  • 6J. van Hecke7.2
  • 27M. Wieffer6.7
  • 26Y. Ayari7.2
  • 17C. Baleba↓46’5.9
  • 25D. Gómez↓70’6.5
  • 10G. Rutter↓89’6.7
  • 11Y. Minteh ★A↓89’7.7
  • 18D. Welbeck7.3

Substitutes used

  • 34J. Veltman↑89’6.6
  • 5L. Dunk↑46’6.6
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↑70’7.6
  • 8B. Gruda↑89’6.6
  • 29M. De Cuyper↑46’6.6

Unused: J. Steele, D. Coppola, C. Kostoulas, S. Tzimas

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.9 C. Kelleher(G)
206.3 K. Ajer ↓80’ 46.9 S. van den Berg 226.2 N. Collins 336.5 M. Kayode
186.5 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓80’ 67.0 J. Henderson
77.3 K. Schade 246.3 M. Damsgaard ↓80’ 196.6 D. Ouattara ↓65’
95.9 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.9
  • 20K. Ajer↓80’6.3
  • 4S. van den Berg6.9
  • 22N. Collins6.2
  • 33M. Kayode6.5
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↓80’6.5
  • 6J. Henderson7.0
  • 7K. Schade7.3
  • 24M. Damsgaard↓80’6.3
  • 19D. Ouattara↓65’6.6
  • 9Thiago5.9

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Jensen↑80’6.3
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑65’6.6
  • 27V. Janelt↑80’6.5
  • 2A. Hickey↑80’6.2

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, R. Henry, E. Pinnock, O. Onyeka, R. Nelson

Player stats

Top rated
Y. MintehBrighton7.7
2nd
J. HinshelwoodBrighton7.6
3rd
B. VerbruggenBrighton7.5

Brighton

Brentford

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.