Premier League Gameweek 25 Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 14:00 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Brighton
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.74 – 1.16
Crystal Palace
  • 61’ I. Sarr
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sarr goal decides it for Crystal Palace

Brighton entered as favourites, but Crystal Palace won 1–0 through a Sarr goal. Crystal Palace finished with the higher xG (1.16 vs 0.74). On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brighton49%
Draw25%
Crystal Palace ✓26%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
0
Model 1.71 · xG 0.74
Crystal Palace goals
1
Model 1.21 · xG 1.16
Total goals
1
Model 2.92 · xG 1.90
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. LacroixCrystal Palace
8.2
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 13th · Crystal Palace 15th

Timeline

  1. W. HughesYellow card · Foul
    17’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ E. GuessandFor Yeremy Pino
    56’
  4. I. Sarr 0–1Assist E. Guessand
    61’
  5. ⇄ D. WelbeckFor M. De Cuyper
    71’
  6. ⇄ D. GómezFor C. Baleba
    71’
  7. ⇄ Y. MintehFor Harry Howell
    71’
  8. ⇄ Daichi KamadaFor W. Hughes
    77’
  9. D. MuñozYellow card · Time wasting
    80’
  10. ⇄ M. O'RileyFor G. Rutter
    82’
  11. ⇄ J. HinshelwoodFor C. Kostoulas
    82’
  12. D. GómezYellow card · Foul
    85’
  13. J. Strand LarsenYellow card · Foul
    85’
  14. ⇄ B. JohnsonFor I. Sarr
    88’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Brighton7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Crystal Palace7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
BrightonCrystal Palace
64% Possession 36%
0.74 Expected goals (xG) 1.16
1.01 Expected points (xPts) 1.68
7 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 1
557 Passes 311
85% Pass accuracy 70%
3 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.67 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

16.9 B. Verbruggen(G)
296.2 M. De Cuyper ↓71’ 217.2 O. Boscagli 57.0 L. Dunk 246.7 F. Kadıoğlu
176.6 C. Baleba ↓71’ 307.3 P. Groß
227.0 K. Mitoma 105.9 G. Rutter ↓82’ 536.3 Harry Howell ↓71’
196.0 C. Kostoulas ↓82’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)6.9
  • 29M. De Cuyper↓71’6.2
  • 21O. Boscagli7.2
  • 5L. Dunk7.0
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.7
  • 17C. Baleba↓71’6.6
  • 30P. Groß7.3
  • 22K. Mitoma7.0
  • 10G. Rutter↓82’5.9
  • 53Harry Howell↓71’6.3
  • 19C. Kostoulas↓82’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 18D. Welbeck↑71’6.6
  • 33M. O'Riley↑82’6.6
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↑82’6.6
  • 25D. Gómez↑71’6.7
  • 11Y. Minteh↑71’6.3

Unused: J. Steele, J. Milner, J. Veltman, Igor Julio

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.5 D. Henderson(G)
267.5 Chris Richards 58.2★ M. Lacroix 86.9 J. Lerma
36.7 T. Mitchell 197.3 W. Hughes ↓77’ 207.0 A. Wharton 26.6 D. Muñoz
106.7 Yeremy Pino ↓56’ 77.7 I. Sarr ↓88’
225.7 J. Strand Larsen
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.5
  • 26Chris Richards7.5
  • 5M. Lacroix ★8.2
  • 8J. Lerma6.9
  • 3T. Mitchell6.7
  • 19W. Hughes↓77’7.3
  • 20A. Wharton7.0
  • 2D. Muñoz6.6
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓56’6.7
  • 7I. Sarr↓88’7.7
  • 22J. Strand Larsen5.7

Substitutes used

  • 18Daichi Kamada↑77’6.7
  • 11B. Johnson↑88’6.3
  • 29E. GuessandA↑56’7.2

Unused: W. Benítez, N. Clyne, B. Sosa, J. Canvot, C. Uche, C. Riad

Player stats

Top rated
M. LacroixCrystal Palace8.2
2nd
I. SarrCrystal Palace7.7
3rd
D. HendersonCrystal Palace7.5

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 80% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. De Cuyper D 71 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 49 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
O. Boscagli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 90 3 3 1/1 2/2 7.2
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 91% 92 3 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Baleba M 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
P. Groß M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 88 2 0 0/0 0/2 7.3
K. Mitoma M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 28 1 0 1/4 0/2 7.0
G. Rutter F 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 45% 11 2 0 1/1 5/1 5.9
Harry Howell M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
C. Kostoulas F 82 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 27 2 0 0/4 1/0 6.0
D. Welbeck F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. O'Riley M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
J. Hinshelwood M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Gómez M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.7
Y. Minteh F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.3

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Henderson G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 41% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
Chris Richards D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 30 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
M. Lacroix D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 33 4 2 0/0 1/2 8.2
J. Lerma M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 62% 34 4 1 1/3 1/2 6.9
T. Mitchell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 61% 23 2 3 2/3 0/0 6.7
W. Hughes M 77 0 0 0 (0) 2 86% 29 1 1 1/1 2/2 7.3
A. Wharton M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 24 1 1 0/0 0/3 7.0
D. Muñoz D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 26 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
Yeremy Pino M 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 18 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
I. Sarr F 88 1 0 2 (1) 0 76% 17 0 0 1/2 0/2 7.7
J. Strand Larsen F 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 67% 21 0 0 0/1 3/1 5.7
Daichi Kamada M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
B. Johnson F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Guessand F 34 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 7 2 0 2/3 1/0 7.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.