Premier League Gameweek 24 Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 15:00 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.44 – 1.20
  • P. Groß 73’
  • 90’ Beto
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Everton snatch a late draw

Brighton entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 73 minutes through a Groß goal. But Beto scored to rescue a draw for Everton. The chances were even, with xG of 1.44 and 1.20.

Brighton52%
Draw ✓24%
Everton23%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
1
Model 1.81 · xG 1.44
Everton goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.20
Total goals
2
Model 2.95 · xG 2.64
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. GroßBrighton · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 12th · Everton 10th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. P. GroßYellow card · Foul
    53’
  3. J. BranthwaiteYellow card · Foul
    57’
  4. ⇄ Y. MintehFor G. Rutter
    60’
  5. ⇄ J. VeltmanFor M. De Cuyper
    70’
  6. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor D. Welbeck
    70’
  7. P. Groß 1–0Assist Y. Ayari
    73’
  8. ⇄ C. AlcarazFor K. Dewsbury-Hall
    79’
  9. ⇄ T. DiblingFor H. Armstrong
    80’
  10. ⇄ T. IroegbunamFor I. Gueye
    80’
  11. ⇄ N. PattersonFor J. Branthwaite
    89’
  12. ⇄ BetoFor T. Barry
    89’
  13. Beto 1–1
    90’
  14. T. IroegbunamYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  15. ⇄ J. MilnerFor P. Groß
    90+6’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Brighton11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Everton7 shots · 7 in box
BrightonEverton
54% Possession 46%
1.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.20
1.54 Expected points (xPts) 1.20
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 0
492 Passes 423
83% Pass accuracy 79%
5 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Brighton 4-3-3

17.2 B. Verbruggen(G)
296.9 M. De Cuyper ↓70’ 56.6 L. Dunk 66.6 J. van Hecke 247.0 F. Kadıoğlu
308.0★ P. Groß ↓90’ 176.2 C. Baleba 267.0 Y. Ayari A
226.9 K. Mitoma 186.3 D. Welbeck ↓70’ 106.6 G. Rutter ↓60’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.2
  • 29M. De Cuyper↓70’6.9
  • 5L. Dunk6.6
  • 6J. van Hecke6.6
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu7.0
  • 30P. Groß ★↓90’8.0
  • 17C. Baleba6.2
  • 26Y. AyariA7.0
  • 22K. Mitoma6.9
  • 18D. Welbeck↓70’6.3
  • 10G. Rutter↓60’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑90’
  • 34J. Veltman↑70’6.5
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑70’6.3
  • 11Y. Minteh↑60’6.5

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, Igor Julio, B. Gruda, Harry Howell

Everton 4-2-3-1

17.6 J. Pickford(G)
326.5 J. Branthwaite ↓89’ 57.0 M. Keane 67.0 J. Tarkowski 157.3 J. O'Brien
276.7 I. Gueye ↓80’ 377.3 J. Garner
106.3 I. Ndiaye 226.3 K. Dewsbury-Hall ↓79’ 456.9 H. Armstrong ↓80’
116.7 T. Barry ↓89’
  • 1J. Pickford (G)7.6
  • 32J. Branthwaite↓89’6.5
  • 5M. Keane7.0
  • 6J. Tarkowski7.0
  • 15J. O'Brien7.3
  • 27I. Gueye↓80’6.7
  • 37J. Garner7.3
  • 10I. Ndiaye6.3
  • 22K. Dewsbury-Hall↓79’6.3
  • 45H. Armstrong↓80’6.9
  • 11T. Barry↓89’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2N. Patterson↑89’6.6
  • 9Beto↑89’6.9
  • 24C. Alcaraz↑79’7.0
  • 20T. Dibling↑80’6.5
  • 42T. Iroegbunam↑80’6.3

Unused: M. Travers, S. Coleman, D. McNeil, M. Röhl

Player stats

Top rated
P. GroßBrighton8.0
2nd
J. PickfordEverton7.6
3rd
J. O'BrienEverton7.3

Brighton

Everton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.