Premier League Gameweek 31 Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 12:30 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Brighton
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.17 – 1.03
Liverpool
  • D. Welbeck 14’, 56’
  • 30’ M. Kerkez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton beat Liverpool

Liverpool entered as narrow favourites, but Brighton won 2–1 through two Welbeck goals. Liverpool replied through a Kerkez goal. Brighton finished with the higher xG (2.17 vs 1.03).

Brighton ✓33%
Draw25%
Liverpool42%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
2
Model 1.42 · xG 2.17
Liverpool goals
1
Model 1.61 · xG 1.03
Total goals
3
Model 3.04 · xG 3.20
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. WelbeckBrighton · 2 goals
8.0
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 12th · Liverpool 5th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ C. JonesFor H. Ekitiké
    8’
  2. D. Welbeck 1–0Assist D. Gómez
    14’
  3. Y. MintehYellow card · Foul
    25’
  4. M. Kerkez 1–1
    30’
  5. I. KonatéYellow card · Foul
    45’
  6. D. GómezYellow card · Foul
    45+5’
  7. Half time · 1–1
  8. D. WelbeckYellow card
    48’
  9. D. Welbeck 2–1Assist J. Hinshelwood
    56’
  10. J. FrimpongYellow card · Foul
    61’
  11. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor J. Frimpong
    63’
  12. A. Mac AllisterYellow card · Foul
    68’
  13. ⇄ K. MitomaFor Y. Minteh
    76’
  14. ⇄ C. BalebaFor J. Milner
    76’
  15. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    76’
  16. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor I. Konaté
    77’
  17. D. SzoboszlaiYellow card · Foul
    79’
  18. ⇄ Y. AyariFor J. Hinshelwood
    83’
  19. ⇄ G. RutterFor D. Welbeck
    83’
  20. L. DunkYellow card · Time wasting
    85’
  21. F. ChiesaYellow card · Foul
    90’
  22. ⇄ J. VeltmanFor D. Gómez
    90+1’
  23. M. WiefferYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  24. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Brighton16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
Liverpool12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
BrightonLiverpool
47% Possession 53%
2.17 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
2.10 Expected points (xPts) 0.71
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
11 Shots inside the box 10
5 Shots outside the box 2
380 Passes 431
78% Pass accuracy 80%
4 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.76

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.5 B. Verbruggen(G)
246.3 F. Kadıoğlu 56.5 L. Dunk 67.3 J. van Hecke 276.3 M. Wieffer
306.9 P. Groß 206.9 J. Milner ↓76’
117.3 Y. Minteh ↓76’ 136.9 J. Hinshelwood A↓83’ 257.2 D. Gómez A↓90’
188.0★ D. Welbeck ↓83’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.5
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.3
  • 5L. Dunk6.5
  • 6J. van Hecke7.3
  • 27M. Wieffer6.3
  • 30P. Groß6.9
  • 20J. Milner↓76’6.9
  • 11Y. Minteh↓76’7.3
  • 13J. HinshelwoodA↓83’6.9
  • 25D. GómezA↓90’7.2
  • 18D. Welbeck ★↓83’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 34J. Veltman↑90’
  • 22K. Mitoma↑76’7.0
  • 26Y. Ayari↑83’6.6
  • 17C. Baleba↑76’6.7
  • 10G. Rutter↑83’6.3

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, C. Kostoulas, M. De Cuyper

Liverpool 4-3-1-2

256.5 G. Mamardashvili(G)
66.7 M. Kerkez ↓76’ 46.5 V. van Dijk 56.3 I. Konaté ↓77’ 306.3 J. Frimpong ↓63’
77.2 F. Wirtz 387.3 R. Gravenberch 87.3 D. Szoboszlai
106.6 A. Mac Allister
186.5 C. Gakpo 226.7 H. Ekitiké ↓8’
  • 25G. Mamardashvili (G)6.5
  • 6M. Kerkez↓76’6.7
  • 4V. van Dijk6.5
  • 5I. Konaté↓77’6.3
  • 30J. Frimpong↓63’6.3
  • 7F. Wirtz7.2
  • 38R. Gravenberch7.3
  • 8D. Szoboszlai7.3
  • 10A. Mac Allister6.6
  • 18C. Gakpo6.5
  • 22H. Ekitiké↓8’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑77’6.2
  • 17C. Jones↑8’6.9
  • 26A. Robertson↑76’6.9
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑63’7.0

Unused: F. Woodman, Kieran Morrison, J. Gomez, C. Ramsay, T. Nyoni

Player stats

Top rated
D. WelbeckBrighton8.0
2nd
B. VerbruggenBrighton7.5
3rd
J. van HeckeBrighton7.3

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 70% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 75% 40 0 1 0/1 0/2 6.3
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 45 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. van Hecke D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 97% 38 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
M. Wieffer M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 67% 36 2 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
P. Groß M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 73% 49 1 0 0/2 1/1 6.9
J. Milner M 76 0 0 2 (0) 1 86% 35 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
Y. Minteh F 76 0 0 1 (1) 3 86% 21 0 2 2/2 2/1 7.3
J. Hinshelwood M 83 0 1 1 (0) 1 80% 15 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.9
D. Gómez M 90 0 1 3 (1) 1 72% 25 3 2 1/2 2/0 7.2
D. Welbeck F 83 2 0 2 (2) 2 69% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.0
J. Veltman D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
K. Mitoma M 14 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 8 0 1 2/3 2/1 7.0
Y. Ayari M 7 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
C. Baleba M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
G. Rutter F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Mamardashvili G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 46% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Kerkez D 76 1 0 1 (1) 0 72% 32 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 46 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.5
I. Konaté D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 32 2 1 1/1 1/0 6.3
J. Frimpong D 63 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 23 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
F. Wirtz M 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 86% 59 2 1 1/2 0/0 7.2
R. Gravenberch M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 44 2 0 1/2 1/2 7.3
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 0 3 (0) 2 77% 53 1 3 1/1 2/3 7.3
A. Mac Allister M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 81% 42 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.6
C. Gakpo F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 53% 15 0 0 2/6 1/1 6.5
H. Ekitiké F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
F. Chiesa F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
C. Jones M 82 0 0 1 (1) 0 93% 43 3 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Robertson D 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Ngumoha F 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 3/5 1/2 7.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.