Premier League Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 18 2025 · 15:00 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Brighton
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.91 – 1.45
Newcastle
  • D. Welbeck 41’, 84’
  • 76’ N. Woltemade
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton beat Newcastle

Brighton entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through two Welbeck goals. Newcastle replied through a Woltemade goal. Brighton won despite the lower xG; Newcastle created the better chances (1.45 vs 0.91). On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brighton ✓40%
Draw26%
Newcastle34%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
2
Model 1.50 · xG 0.91
Newcastle goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 1.45
Total goals
3
Model 2.86 · xG 2.36
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. WelbeckBrighton · 2 goals
8.6
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 12th · Newcastle 11th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ M. De CuyperFor D. Gómez
    36’
  2. D. Welbeck 1–0Assist G. Rutter
    41’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Elanga
    46’
  5. ⇄ L. MileyFor Joelinton
    46’
  6. ⇄ J. RamseyFor S. Tonali
    70’
  7. ⇄ H. BarnesFor A. Gordon
    70’
  8. ⇄ J. MilnerFor C. Baleba
    71’
  9. ⇄ S. TzimasFor G. Rutter
    71’
  10. N. Woltemade 1–1Assist L. Miley
    76’
  11. D. Welbeck 2–1
    84’
  12. ⇄ W. OsulaFor Bruno Guimarães
    86’
  13. ⇄ D. CoppolaFor Y. Minteh
    89’
  14. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor D. Welbeck
    90’
  15. D. BurnYellow card · Argument
    90+7’
  16. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Brighton13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
Newcastle16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
BrightonNewcastle
46% Possession 54%
0.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.45
0.98 Expected points (xPts) 1.76
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
6 Shots inside the box 10
7 Shots outside the box 6
421 Passes 491
81% Pass accuracy 85%
8 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

16.6 B. Verbruggen(G)
246.9 F. Kadıoğlu 57.3 L. Dunk 67.9 J. van Hecke 276.9 M. Wieffer
266.5 Y. Ayari 176.9 C. Baleba ↓71’
256.6 D. Gómez ↓36’ 107.3 G. Rutter A↓71’ 117.3 Y. Minteh ↓89’
188.6★ D. Welbeck ↓90’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)6.6
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.9
  • 5L. Dunk7.3
  • 6J. van Hecke7.9
  • 27M. Wieffer6.9
  • 26Y. Ayari6.5
  • 17C. Baleba↓71’6.9
  • 25D. Gómez↓36’6.6
  • 10G. RutterA↓71’7.3
  • 11Y. Minteh↓89’7.3
  • 18D. Welbeck ★↓90’8.6

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑71’6.3
  • 42D. Coppola↑89’6.9
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑90’6.3
  • 29M. De Cuyper↑36’6.5
  • 9S. Tzimas↑71’6.3

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, T. Watson, Nehemiah Oriola

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.9 N. Pope(G)
336.3 D. Burn 46.5 S. Botman 126.7 M. Thiaw 26.7 K. Trippier
76.7 Joelinton ↓46’ 86.9 S. Tonali ↓70’ 396.9 Bruno Guimarães ↓86’
106.3 A. Gordon ↓70’ 277.3 N. Woltemade 206.7 A. Elanga ↓46’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.9
  • 33D. Burn6.3
  • 4S. Botman6.5
  • 12M. Thiaw6.7
  • 2K. Trippier6.7
  • 7Joelinton↓46’6.7
  • 8S. Tonali↓70’6.9
  • 39Bruno Guimarães↓86’6.9
  • 10A. Gordon↓70’6.3
  • 27N. Woltemade7.3
  • 20A. Elanga↓46’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 41J. Ramsey↑70’6.2
  • 23J. Murphy↑46’6.6
  • 11H. Barnes↑70’6.3
  • 18W. Osula↑86’6.5
  • 67L. MileyA↑46’7.0

Unused: A. Ramsdale, E. Krafth, J. Willock, F. Schär

Player stats

Top rated
D. WelbeckBrighton8.6
2nd
J. van HeckeBrighton7.9
3rd
L. DunkBrighton7.3

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 47% 30 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 22 0 0 2/2 1/2 6.9
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 67 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
J. van Hecke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 68 3 1 0/0 1/3 7.9
M. Wieffer M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 3 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
Y. Ayari M 90 0 0 2 (0) 3 93% 54 2 0 2/5 2/1 6.5
C. Baleba M 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 32 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
D. Gómez M 36 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 15 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
G. Rutter F 71 0 1 2 (2) 2 62% 21 2 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
Y. Minteh F 89 0 0 0 (0) 1 54% 24 5 0 1/3 2/1 7.3
D. Welbeck F 90 2 0 2 (2) 3 76% 21 2 0 1/1 0/1 8.6
J. Milner M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Coppola D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
C. Kostoulas F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
M. De Cuyper D 54 0 0 1 (1) 0 76% 21 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
S. Tzimas F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 58% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
D. Burn D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 47 3 3 0/0 2/0 6.3
S. Botman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 70 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 59 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Trippier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 57 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
Joelinton F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 26 3 2 0/0 0/2 6.7
S. Tonali M 70 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 47 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
Bruno Guimarães M 86 0 0 2 (1) 1 85% 39 2 0 0/3 2/3 6.9
A. Gordon F 70 0 0 1 (0) 2 95% 22 1 0 4/12 0/2 6.3
N. Woltemade F 90 1 0 3 (1) 0 81% 16 1 0 1/2 2/1 7.3
A. Elanga F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.7
J. Ramsey M 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Murphy M 44 0 0 2 (0) 1 74% 19 1 0 2/2 0/0 6.6
H. Barnes M 20 0 0 1 (1) 0 40% 5 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
W. Osula F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
L. Miley M 44 0 1 0 (0) 2 97% 35 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.