Premier League Gameweek 36 Sun, May 10 2026 · 14:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
2–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.79 – 1.44
  • J. Anthony 8’
  • Z. Flemming 58’
  • 42’ R. Barkley
  • 56’ O. Watkins
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burnley and Aston Villa share the points

Aston Villa entered as favourites and led 2–1 after 56 minutes through goals from Barkley and Watkins. But Flemming scored to rescue a draw for Burnley. Burnley finished with the higher xG (1.79 vs 1.44).

Burnley21%
Draw ✓23%
Aston Villa56%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
2
Model 1.12 · xG 1.79
Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.94 · xG 1.44
Total goals
4
Model 3.06 · xG 3.23
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. TielemansAston Villa
7.7
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Aston Villa 5th

Timeline

  1. J. Anthony 1–0
    8’
  2. VAR O. WatkinsGoal cancelled
    40’
  3. R. Barkley 1–1Assist J. McGinn
    42’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. T. MingsYellow card · Foul
    49’
  6. O. Watkins 1–2Assist E. Martínez
    56’
  7. Z. Flemming 2–2Assist H. Mejbri
    58’
  8. Z. FlemmingYellow card · Persistent fouling
    60’
  9. ⇄ L. FosterFor H. Mejbri
    69’
  10. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    74’
  11. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor V. Lindelöf
    74’
  12. ⇄ J. LaurentFor L. Ugochukwu
    79’
  13. ⇄ M. AmdouniFor Z. Flemming
    79’
  14. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor R. Barkley
    80’
  15. ⇄ L. BogardeFor M. Cash
    80’
  16. ⇄ L. BaileyFor J. McGinn
    85’
  17. ⇄ J. Ward-ProwseFor Florentino
    87’
  18. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor J. Anthony
    87’
  19. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Burnley15 shots · 7 in box, 8 outside
Aston Villa18 shots · 10 in box, 8 outside
BurnleyAston Villa
34% Possession 66%
1.79 Expected goals (xG) 1.44
1.61 Expected points (xPts) 1.16
15 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
4 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 5
7 Shots inside the box 10
8 Shots outside the box 8
260 Passes 528
74% Pass accuracy 86%
2 Corners 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
18 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Burnley 4-2-3-1

137.2 Max Weiss(G)
236.7 Lucas Pires 56.3 M. Estève 66.3 A. Tuanzebe 27.2 K. Walker
87.2 L. Ugochukwu ↓79’ 166.3 Florentino ↓87’
116.7 J. Anthony ↓87’ 287.3 H. Mejbri A↓69’ 177.0 L. Tchaouna
197.0 Z. Flemming ↓79’
  • 13Max Weiss (G)7.2
  • 23Lucas Pires6.7
  • 5M. Estève6.3
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.3
  • 2K. Walker7.2
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓79’7.2
  • 16Florentino↓87’6.3
  • 11J. Anthony↓87’6.7
  • 28H. MejbriA↓69’7.3
  • 17L. Tchaouna7.0
  • 19Z. Flemming↓79’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Ward-Prowse↑87’6.6
  • 29J. Laurent↑79’6.3
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑87’6.7
  • 9L. Foster↑69’6.2
  • 25M. Amdouni↑79’6.2

Unused: M. Dúbravka, A. Broja, Q. Hartman, B. Humphreys

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.7 E. Martínez(G) A
226.5 I. Maatsen ↓74’ 56.3 T. Mings 47.3 E. Konsa 25.6 M. Cash ↓80’
87.7★ Y. Tielemans 36.5 V. Lindelöf ↓74’
275.6 M. Rogers 66.9 R. Barkley ↓80’ 76.7 J. McGinn A↓85’
117.2 O. Watkins
  • 23E. Martínez (G)A6.7
  • 22I. Maatsen↓74’6.5
  • 5T. Mings6.3
  • 4E. Konsa7.3
  • 2M. Cash↓80’5.6
  • 8Y. Tielemans ★7.7
  • 3V. Lindelöf↓74’6.5
  • 27M. Rogers5.6
  • 6R. Barkley↓80’6.9
  • 7J. McGinnA↓85’6.7
  • 11O. Watkins7.2

Substitutes used

  • 31L. Bailey↑85’6.6
  • 21Douglas Luiz↑80’7.0
  • 26L. Bogarde↑80’6.7
  • 12L. Digne↑74’7.3
  • 10E. Buendía↑74’7.0

Unused: M. Bizot, Pau Torres, T. Abraham, J. Sancho

Player stats

Top rated
Y. TielemansAston Villa7.7
2nd
H. MejbriBurnley7.3
3rd
E. KonsaAston Villa7.3

Burnley

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.