Premier League Gameweek 32 Sat, Apr 11 2026 · 15:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.88 – 1.93
Brighton
  • 43’, 89’ M. Wieffer
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton beat Burnley

Brighton entered as favourites and won 2–0 through two Wieffer goals. Brighton finished with the higher xG (1.93 vs 0.88).

Burnley21%
Draw24%
Brighton ✓56%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 1.07 · xG 0.88
Brighton goals
2
Model 1.88 · xG 1.93
Total goals
2
Model 2.94 · xG 2.81
Score 0–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. WiefferBrighton · 2 goals
9.3
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Brighton 11th

Timeline

  1. M. EstèveYellow card · Foul
    30’
  2. M. Wieffer 0–1Assist P. Groß
    43’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. J. van HeckeYellow card · Foul
    48’
  5. FlorentinoYellow card · Foul
    60’
  6. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Ugochukwu
    67’
  7. ⇄ M. TrésorFor M. Edwards
    75’
  8. ⇄ C. BalebaFor J. Hinshelwood
    75’
  9. ⇄ G. RutterFor D. Welbeck
    75’
  10. ⇄ K. MitomaFor Y. Minteh
    80’
  11. ⇄ K. WalkerFor B. Humphreys
    82’
  12. ⇄ A. BrojaFor Florentino
    82’
  13. ⇄ Lucas PiresFor Q. Hartman
    82’
  14. ⇄ J. VeltmanFor D. Gómez
    88’
  15. M. Wieffer 0–2Assist Y. Ayari
    89’
  16. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Burnley10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Brighton13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
BurnleyBrighton
50% Possession 50%
0.88 Expected goals (xG) 1.93
0.71 Expected points (xPts) 2.07
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 4
475 Passes 477
81% Pass accuracy 83%
8 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 7.45

Line-ups

Burnley 4-2-3-1

17.9 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.2 Q. Hartman ↓82’ 56.6 M. Estève 187.9 H. Ekdal 127.0 B. Humphreys ↓82’
166.5 Florentino ↓82’ 206.9 J. Ward-Prowse
116.3 J. Anthony 86.3 L. Ugochukwu ↓67’ 107.3 M. Edwards ↓75’
196.7 Z. Flemming
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)7.9
  • 3Q. Hartman↓82’6.2
  • 5M. Estève6.6
  • 18H. Ekdal7.9
  • 12B. Humphreys↓82’7.0
  • 16Florentino↓82’6.5
  • 20J. Ward-Prowse6.9
  • 11J. Anthony6.3
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓67’6.3
  • 10M. Edwards↓75’7.3
  • 19Z. Flemming6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2K. Walker↑82’6.7
  • 31M. Trésor↑75’6.7
  • 27A. Broja↑82’6.5
  • 23Lucas Pires↑82’6.3
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑67’6.5

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Worrall, L. Tchaouna, L. Foster

Brighton 4-2-3-1

18.9 B. Verbruggen(G)
247.3 F. Kadıoğlu 217.5 O. Boscagli 67.3 J. van Hecke 279.3★ M. Wieffer
307.3 P. Groß A 267.3 Y. Ayari A
116.2 Y. Minteh ↓80’ 137.3 J. Hinshelwood ↓75’ 257.3 D. Gómez ↓88’
186.2 D. Welbeck ↓75’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)8.9
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu7.3
  • 21O. Boscagli7.5
  • 6J. van Hecke7.3
  • 27M. Wieffer ★9.3
  • 30P. GroßA7.3
  • 26Y. AyariA7.3
  • 11Y. Minteh↓80’6.2
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↓75’7.3
  • 25D. Gómez↓88’7.3
  • 18D. Welbeck↓75’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 34J. Veltman↑88’6.7
  • 22K. Mitoma↑80’6.6
  • 17C. Baleba↑75’6.9
  • 10G. Rutter↑75’6.5

Unused: J. Steele, S. March, Igor Julio, C. Kostoulas, M. De Cuyper

Player stats

Top rated
M. WiefferBrighton9.3
2nd
B. VerbruggenBrighton8.9
3rd
M. DúbravkaBurnley7.9

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 60% 48 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
Q. Hartman D 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 48 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 59 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 44 1 1 0/1 0/1 7.9
B. Humphreys D 82 0 0 1 (1) 2 79% 43 2 1 0/0 0/2 7.0
Florentino M 82 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 30 0 2 0/0 3/0 6.5
J. Ward-Prowse M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 92% 65 2 4 2/4 0/0 6.9
J. Anthony F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 85% 40 2 0 3/9 0/1 6.3
L. Ugochukwu M 67 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 19 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.3
M. Edwards F 75 0 0 1 (1) 0 76% 21 0 0 1/3 0/3 7.3
Z. Flemming M 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 62% 13 0 1 1/1 3/2 6.7
K. Walker D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.7
M. Trésor F 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 10 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
A. Broja F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.5
Lucas Pires D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Bruun Larsen F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 89% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.9
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 45 3 2 0/0 0/1 7.3
O. Boscagli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 82 2 6 0/0 0/0 7.5
J. van Hecke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 61 2 2 0/0 1/2 7.3
M. Wieffer M 90 2 0 2 (2) 0 75% 28 6 0 2/2 0/0 9.3
P. Groß M 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 89% 57 2 1 0/0 2/1 7.3
Y. Ayari M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 78% 46 4 0 3/4 1/1 7.3
Y. Minteh F 80 0 0 0 (0) 3 62% 26 2 2 1/2 4/1 6.2
J. Hinshelwood M 75 0 0 2 (1) 1 89% 19 2 1 1/1 1/0 7.3
D. Gómez M 88 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 28 3 1 0/0 2/1 7.3
D. Welbeck F 75 0 0 3 (3) 1 91% 11 0 1 0/2 0/0 6.2
J. Veltman D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Mitoma M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Baleba M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
G. Rutter F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.