Premier League Gameweek 12 Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 12:30 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.44 – 1.72
Chelsea
  • 37’ Pedro Neto
  • 88’ E. Fernández
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Chelsea beat Burnley

Chelsea entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Neto and Fernández. Chelsea finished with the higher xG (1.72 vs 0.44).

Burnley27%
Draw25%
Chelsea ✓48%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 1.23 · xG 0.44
Chelsea goals
2
Model 1.71 · xG 1.72
Total goals
2
Model 2.94 · xG 2.16
Score 0–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. AdarabioyoChelsea
8.7
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 17th · Chelsea 3rd

Timeline

  1. Pedro Neto 0–1Assist J. Gittens
    37’
  2. Pedro NetoYellow card · Time wasting
    41’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ B. BadiashileFor R. James
    46’
  5. K. WalkerYellow card · Foul
    49’
  6. ⇄ M. GustoFor L. Delap
    67’
  7. João PedroYellow card · Foul
    69’
  8. ⇄ A. BrojaFor Z. Flemming
    72’
  9. ⇄ H. MejbriFor L. Ugochukwu
    72’
  10. ⇄ L. FosterFor J. Anthony
    72’
  11. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    76’
  12. ⇄ Marc GuiuFor João Pedro
    76’
  13. B. BadiashileYellow card · Argument
    81’
  14. H. MejbriYellow card · Argument
    82’
  15. ⇄ J. LaurentFor Florentino
    84’
  16. E. Fernández 0–2Assist Marc Guiu
    88’
  17. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Burnley8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Chelsea15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
BurnleyChelsea
44% Possession 56%
0.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.72
0.49 Expected points (xPts) 2.29
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Shots inside the box 10
2 Shots outside the box 5
418 Passes 524
79% Pass accuracy 84%
1 Corners 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.53 Team rating 7.16

Line-ups

Burnley 4-3-3

16.5 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.3 Q. Hartman 56.7 M. Estève 66.6 A. Tuanzebe 26.5 K. Walker
166.7 Florentino ↓84’ 246.5 J. Cullen 86.3 L. Ugochukwu ↓72’
116.3 J. Anthony ↓72’ 196.7 Z. Flemming ↓72’ 176.9 L. Tchaouna ↓76’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.5
  • 3Q. Hartman6.3
  • 5M. Estève6.7
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.6
  • 2K. Walker6.5
  • 16Florentino↓84’6.7
  • 24J. Cullen6.5
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓72’6.3
  • 11J. Anthony↓72’6.3
  • 19Z. Flemming↓72’6.7
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓76’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑72’6.3
  • 28H. Mejbri↑72’6.2
  • 29J. Laurent↑84’6.2
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑76’6.3
  • 9L. Foster↑72’6.5

Unused: Max Weiss, Lucas Pires, M. Edwards, H. Ekdal

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

17.3 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.5 Marc Cucurella 237.0 T. Chalobah 48.7★ T. Adarabioyo 246.6 R. James ↓46’
177.2 Andrey Santos 87.6 E. Fernández
117.0 J. Gittens A 206.7 João Pedro ↓76’ 77.5 Pedro Neto
96.3 L. Delap ↓67’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)7.3
  • 3Marc Cucurella6.5
  • 23T. Chalobah7.0
  • 4T. Adarabioyo ★8.7
  • 24R. James↓46’6.6
  • 17Andrey Santos7.2
  • 8E. Fernández7.6
  • 11J. GittensA7.0
  • 20João Pedro↓76’6.7
  • 7Pedro Neto7.5
  • 9L. Delap↓67’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 5B. Badiashile↑46’6.9
  • 27M. Gusto↑67’7.0
  • 38Marc GuiuA↑76’6.9

Unused: F. Jørgensen, A. Garnacho, Estêvão, M. Caicedo, J. Hato, J. Acheampong

Player stats

Top rated
T. AdarabioyoChelsea8.7
2nd
E. FernándezChelsea7.6
3rd
Pedro NetoChelsea7.5

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 59% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Q. Hartman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 82% 44 1 2 0/1 0/0 6.3
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 43 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Tuanzebe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 54 2 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 45 3 4 1/1 3/0 6.5
Florentino M 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 30 4 2 0/0 2/1 6.7
J. Cullen M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 51 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.5
L. Ugochukwu M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.3
J. Anthony F 72 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 25 2 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
Z. Flemming M 72 0 0 2 (0) 1 67% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Tchaouna F 76 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 22 1 1 0/1 0/2 6.9
A. Broja F 18 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
H. Mejbri M 18 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 5 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.2
J. Laurent M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Bruun Larsen F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
L. Foster F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 68% 38 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
Marc Cucurella D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 53 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 60 1 3 0/0 1/0 7.0
T. Adarabioyo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 110 6 0 0/0 0/0 8.7
R. James D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 41 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
Andrey Santos M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 42 3 5 0/1 1/2 7.2
E. Fernández M 90 1 0 1 (1) 3 79% 33 1 1 1/3 1/1 7.6
J. Gittens F 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 67% 24 0 0 2/2 0/3 7.0
João Pedro F 76 0 0 2 (0) 1 75% 36 0 1 2/2 2/2 6.7
Pedro Neto F 90 1 0 2 (2) 2 86% 22 0 0 2/5 0/1 7.5
L. Delap F 67 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
B. Badiashile D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 39 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
M. Gusto D 23 0 0 1 (1) 0 77% 13 1 1 1/1 0/0 7.0
Marc Guiu F 14 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.