Premier League Gameweek 16 Sat, Dec 13 2025 · 17:30 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
2–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 2.46 – 2.23
Fulham
  • L. Ugochukwu 21’
  • O. Sonne 86’
  • 9’ E. Smith Rowe
  • 31’ C. Bassey
  • 58’ H. Wilson
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Fulham beat Burnley

Fulham won 3–2 through goals from Rowe, Bassey and Wilson. Burnley replied through goals from Ugochukwu and Sonne. The chances were even, with xG of 2.46 and 2.23. On the chances created, Burnley deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Burnley38%
Draw26%
Fulham ✓36%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
2
Model 1.47 · xG 2.46
Fulham goals
3
Model 1.43 · xG 2.23
Total goals
5
Model 2.89 · xG 4.69
Score 2–3
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. WilsonFulham · 1 goal · 2 assists
10.0
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Fulham 15th

Timeline

  1. E. Smith Rowe 0–1Assist H. Wilson
    9’
  2. L. Ugochukwu 1–1Assist J. Cullen
    21’
  3. C. Bassey 1–2Assist H. Wilson
    31’
  4. J. AndersenYellow card · Foul
    37’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. H. Wilson 1–3Assist S. Chukwueze
    58’
  7. ⇄ Z. FlemmingFor L. Foster
    62’
  8. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor Florentino
    62’
  9. J. CullenYellow card · Foul
    66’
  10. ⇄ J. AnthonyFor J. Bruun Larsen
    77’
  11. ⇄ O. SonneFor A. Tuanzebe
    77’
  12. ⇄ S. LukićFor A. Iwobi
    79’
  13. ⇄ J. KingFor R. Jiménez
    79’
  14. K. TeteYellow card · Time wasting
    82’
  15. ⇄ M. TrésorFor L. Ugochukwu
    83’
  16. O. Sonne 2–3
    86’
  17. ⇄ Adama TraoréFor H. Wilson
    89’
  18. ⇄ T. CastagneFor E. Smith Rowe
    89’
  19. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Burnley16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Fulham6 shots · 6 in box
BurnleyFulham
53% Possession 47%
2.46 Expected goals (xG) 2.23
1.53 Expected points (xPts) 1.28
16 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
10 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 0
536 Passes 479
83% Pass accuracy 82%
10 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 7.36

Line-ups

Burnley 4-3-3

16.9 M. Dúbravka(G)
35.7 Q. Hartman 56.9 M. Estève 186.2 H. Ekdal 66.2 A. Tuanzebe ↓77’
166.3 Florentino ↓62’ 246.9 J. Cullen A 87.9 L. Ugochukwu ↓83’
77.5 J. Bruun Larsen ↓77’ 276.3 A. Broja 96.3 L. Foster ↓62’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.9
  • 3Q. Hartman5.7
  • 5M. Estève6.9
  • 18H. Ekdal6.2
  • 6A. Tuanzebe↓77’6.2
  • 16Florentino↓62’6.3
  • 24J. CullenA6.9
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓83’7.9
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↓77’7.5
  • 27A. Broja6.3
  • 9L. Foster↓62’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 31M. Trésor↑83’6.5
  • 19Z. Flemming↑62’6.2
  • 11J. Anthony↑77’6.3
  • 22O. Sonne↑77’7.9
  • 10M. Edwards↑62’6.9

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Worrall, L. Tchaouna, J. Laurent

Fulham 4-2-3-1

18.5 B. Leno(G)
336.7 A. Robinson 38.3 C. Bassey 57.0 J. Andersen 26.2 K. Tete
176.5 A. Iwobi ↓79’ 167.3 S. Berge
197.2 S. Chukwueze A 327.2 E. Smith Rowe ↓89’ 810.0★ H. Wilson AA↓89’
76.0 R. Jiménez ↓79’
  • 1B. Leno (G)8.5
  • 33A. Robinson6.7
  • 3C. Bassey8.3
  • 5J. Andersen7.0
  • 2K. Tete6.2
  • 17A. Iwobi↓79’6.5
  • 16S. Berge7.3
  • 19S. ChukwuezeA7.2
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓89’7.2
  • 8H. Wilson ★A×2↓89’10.0
  • 7R. Jiménez↓79’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 20S. Lukić↑79’6.9
  • 11Adama Traoré↑89’6.3
  • 24J. King↑79’6.5
  • 21T. Castagne↑89’6.6

Unused: B. Lecomte, T. Cairney, Jorge Cuenca, Kevin, H. Reed

Player stats

Top rated
H. WilsonFulham10.0
2nd
B. LenoFulham8.5
3rd
C. BasseyFulham8.3

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 82% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Q. Hartman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 66% 47 2 1 1/2 0/0 5.7
M. Estève D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 92% 74 1 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 78 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
A. Tuanzebe D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 49 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Florentino M 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 37 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
J. Cullen M 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 81% 75 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
L. Ugochukwu M 83 1 0 3 (3) 1 84% 37 1 1 0/0 0/3 7.9
J. Bruun Larsen F 77 0 0 1 (1) 5 83% 35 0 0 3/5 0/0 7.5
A. Broja F 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 50% 8 1 0 0/5 2/3 6.3
L. Foster F 62 0 0 1 (0) 1 61% 23 1 2 1/3 1/0 6.3
M. Trésor F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Z. Flemming M 28 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Anthony F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
O. Sonne D 13 1 0 1 (1) 0 63% 16 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.9
M. Edwards F 28 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 16 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9

Fulham

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Leno G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 76% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.5
A. Robinson D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 33 4 3 0/1 0/0 6.7
C. Bassey D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 85% 59 5 2 2/2 1/3 8.3
J. Andersen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 66 3 2 0/0 2/0 7.0
K. Tete D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 48 3 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
A. Iwobi F 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 49 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.5
S. Berge M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 60 2 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
S. Chukwueze F 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 81% 37 0 1 1/2 0/4 7.2
E. Smith Rowe M 89 1 0 1 (1) 0 90% 40 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
H. Wilson M 89 1 2 2 (2) 3 54% 24 1 1 1/1 0/0 10.0
R. Jiménez F 79 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 14 1 0 0/1 2/0 6.0
S. Lukić M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Adama Traoré F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. King M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
T. Castagne D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.