Premier League Gameweek 34 Wed, Apr 22 2026 · 20:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.63 – 3.36
Manchester City
  • 5’ E. Haaland
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Haaland goal decides it for Manchester City

Manchester City entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Haaland goal. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (3.36 vs 0.63).

Burnley12%
Draw17%
Manchester City ✓70%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 1.00 · xG 0.63
Manchester City goals
1
Model 2.53 · xG 3.36
Total goals
1
Model 3.53 · xG 3.99
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–2 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 69%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DúbravkaBurnley
9.3
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Manchester City 2nd

Timeline

  1. E. Haaland 0–1Assist J. Doku
    5’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ Nico GonzálezFor R. Aït-Nouri
    65’
  4. ⇄ SavinhoFor A. Semenyo
    65’
  5. ⇄ L. FosterFor L. Tchaouna
    72’
  6. ⇄ A. BrojaFor Z. Flemming
    82’
  7. ⇄ FlorentinoFor B. Humphreys
    82’
  8. ⇄ M. TrésorFor J. Anthony
    87’
  9. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor J. Laurent
    87’
  10. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Burnley9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Manchester City28 shots · 19 in box, 9 outside
BurnleyManchester City
35% Possession 65%
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 3.36
0.20 Expected points (xPts) 2.72
9 Shots 28
1 Shots on target 9
4 Shots off target 9
4 Blocked shots 10
6 Shots inside the box 19
3 Shots outside the box 9
356 Passes 689
79% Pass accuracy 90%
3 Corners 11
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 7.16

Line-ups

Burnley 5-4-1

19.3★ M. Dúbravka(G)
37.2 Q. Hartman 57.2 M. Estève 186.9 H. Ekdal 126.6 B. Humphreys ↓82’ 26.9 K. Walker
116.7 J. Anthony ↓87’ 296.2 J. Laurent ↓87’ 207.3 J. Ward-Prowse 176.3 L. Tchaouna ↓72’
196.6 Z. Flemming ↓82’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G) ★9.3
  • 3Q. Hartman7.2
  • 5M. Estève7.2
  • 18H. Ekdal6.9
  • 12B. Humphreys↓82’6.6
  • 2K. Walker6.9
  • 11J. Anthony↓87’6.7
  • 29J. Laurent↓87’6.2
  • 20J. Ward-Prowse7.3
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓72’6.3
  • 19Z. Flemming↓82’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 31M. Trésor↑87’6.3
  • 27A. Broja↑82’6.6
  • 10M. Edwards↑87’6.3
  • 16Florentino↑82’6.6
  • 9L. Foster↑72’6.6

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Worrall, L. Ugochukwu, Lucas Pires

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

257.2 G. Donnarumma(G)
216.9 R. Aït-Nouri ↓65’ 157.2 A. Guéhi 457.6 A. Khusanov 277.2 M. Nunes
337.0 N. O'Reilly 207.2 Bernardo Silva
116.6 J. Doku A 107.6 M. Cherki 426.5 A. Semenyo ↓65’
97.7 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.2
  • 21R. Aït-Nouri↓65’6.9
  • 15A. Guéhi7.2
  • 45A. Khusanov7.6
  • 27M. Nunes7.2
  • 33N. O'Reilly7.0
  • 20Bernardo Silva7.2
  • 11J. DokuA6.6
  • 10M. Cherki7.6
  • 42A. Semenyo↓65’6.5
  • 9E. Haaland7.7

Substitutes used

  • 14Nico González↑65’6.9
  • 26Savinho↑65’6.6

Unused: J. Trafford, T. Reijnders, M. Kovačić, J. Stones, N. Aké, P. Foden, O. Marmoush

Player stats

Top rated
M. DúbravkaBurnley9.3
2nd
E. HaalandManchester City7.7
3rd
A. KhusanovManchester City7.6

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 8 sv 0 67% 42 0 0 0/0 0/0 9.3
Q. Hartman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 61% 31 10 2 2/2 1/0 7.2
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 37 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 41 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
B. Humphreys D 82 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 47 0 2 1/1 0/0 6.6
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 37 2 1 1/1 1/1 6.9
J. Anthony F 87 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 21 2 1 1/2 0/0 6.7
J. Laurent M 87 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 25 2 2 0/1 2/1 6.2
J. Ward-Prowse M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 41 5 2 0/0 1/4 7.3
L. Tchaouna F 72 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 16 0 0 1/1 3/0 6.3
Z. Flemming M 82 0 0 2 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 2/3 6.6
M. Trésor F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Broja F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
M. Edwards F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
Florentino M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Foster F 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Donnarumma G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 90% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
R. Aït-Nouri D 65 0 0 2 (1) 2 98% 41 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Guéhi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 85 0 5 0/0 1/2 7.2
A. Khusanov D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 81 1 3 1/1 1/0 7.6
M. Nunes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 91 1 0 0/2 0/0 7.2
N. O'Reilly M 90 0 0 4 (3) 0 87% 55 0 1 0/1 4/2 7.0
Bernardo Silva M 90 0 0 0 (0) 7 86% 99 3 1 3/5 0/1 7.2
J. Doku F 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 78% 50 1 1 1/2 2/2 6.6
M. Cherki M 90 0 0 4 (2) 8 90% 79 0 0 2/4 2/1 7.6
A. Semenyo F 65 0 0 1 (0) 1 97% 35 1 1 1/4 0/0 6.5
E. Haaland F 90 1 0 4 (2) 0 67% 12 0 0 2/3 2/0 7.7
Nico González M 25 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 30 2 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
Savinho F 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 11 1 0 1/5 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.