Premier League Gameweek 19 Tue, Dec 30 2025 · 19:30 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
1–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.09 – 2.31
Newcastle
  • J. Laurent 23’
  • 2’ Joelinton
  • 7’ Y. Wissa
  • 90’ Bruno Guimarães
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Newcastle beat Burnley

Newcastle entered as narrow favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Joelinton, Wissa and Guimarães. Burnley replied through a Laurent goal. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (2.31 vs 1.09).

Burnley28%
Draw25%
Newcastle ✓46%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 1.09
Newcastle goals
3
Model 1.65 · xG 2.31
Total goals
4
Model 2.91 · xG 3.40
Score 1–3
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesNewcastle · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeRobert Jones
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Newcastle 14th

Timeline

  1. Joelinton 0–1
    2’
  2. Y. Wissa 0–2
    7’
  3. ⇄ B. HumphreysFor M. Estève
    15’
  4. J. Laurent 1–2Assist A. Broja
    23’
  5. K. WalkerYellow card · Argument
    28’
  6. JoelintonYellow card · Argument
    28’
  7. FlorentinoYellow card · Foul
    32’
  8. Half time · 1–2
  9. ⇄ J. MurphyFor H. Barnes
    72’
  10. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    74’
  11. ⇄ J. RamseyFor A. Gordon
    80’
  12. ⇄ N. WoltemadeFor Y. Wissa
    80’
  13. ⇄ M. TrésorFor Florentino
    88’
  14. ⇄ A. BarnesFor L. Ugochukwu
    88’
  15. Bruno Guimarães 1–3
    90’
  16. ⇄ J. WillockFor Joelinton
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Burnley15 shots · 8 in box, 7 outside
Newcastle20 shots · 13 in box, 7 outside
BurnleyNewcastle
48% Possession 52%
1.09 Expected goals (xG) 2.31
0.68 Expected points (xPts) 2.13
15 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 9
8 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
8 Shots inside the box 13
7 Shots outside the box 7
439 Passes 467
79% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 3
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 7.09

Line-ups

Burnley 3-4-3

15.9 M. Dúbravka(G)
55.9 M. Estève ↓15’ 186.7 H. Ekdal 297.2 J. Laurent
236.7 Lucas Pires 166.7 Florentino ↓88’ 87.0 L. Ugochukwu ↓88’ 27.3 K. Walker
176.3 L. Tchaouna ↓74’ 276.9 A. Broja A 106.2 M. Edwards
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)5.9
  • 5M. Estève↓15’5.9
  • 18H. Ekdal6.7
  • 29J. Laurent7.2
  • 23Lucas Pires6.7
  • 16Florentino↓88’6.7
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓88’7.0
  • 2K. Walker7.3
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓74’6.3
  • 27A. BrojaA6.9
  • 10M. Edwards6.2

Substitutes used

  • 31M. Trésor↑88’6.5
  • 35A. Barnes↑88’6.2
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑74’6.3
  • 12B. Humphreys↑15’7.9

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Anthony, O. Sonne, J. Banel, O. Pimlott

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.3 N. Pope(G)
37.0 L. Hall 57.9 F. Schär 126.6 M. Thiaw 676.9 L. Miley
78.2 Joelinton ↓90’ 86.3 S. Tonali 398.5★ Bruno Guimarães
106.5 A. Gordon ↓80’ 97.3 Y. Wissa ↓80’ 116.7 H. Barnes ↓72’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.3
  • 3L. Hall7.0
  • 5F. Schär7.9
  • 12M. Thiaw6.6
  • 67L. Miley6.9
  • 7Joelinton↓90’8.2
  • 8S. Tonali6.3
  • 39Bruno Guimarães ★8.5
  • 10A. Gordon↓80’6.5
  • 9Y. Wissa↓80’7.3
  • 11H. Barnes↓72’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑90’
  • 41J. Ramsey↑80’6.3
  • 27N. Woltemade↑80’6.2
  • 23J. Murphy↑72’6.3

Unused: A. Ramsdale, L. Shahar, A. Murphy, Sean Neave, A. Alabi

Player stats

Top rated
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle8.5
2nd
JoelintonNewcastle8.2
3rd
B. HumphreysBurnley7.9

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 54% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
M. Estève D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 43 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Laurent M 90 1 0 2 (1) 3 66% 38 2 2 1/2 2/0 7.2
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 2 (0) 4 88% 33 3 2 0/1 2/0 6.7
Florentino M 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 56 4 1 0/2 1/0 6.7
L. Ugochukwu M 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 54 4 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 42 4 2 0/1 0/0 7.3
L. Tchaouna F 74 0 0 4 (1) 1 78% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Broja F 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 72% 18 2 1 2/3 1/3 6.9
M. Edwards F 90 0 0 4 (2) 3 88% 24 1 0 2/6 1/0 6.2
M. Trésor F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
A. Barnes F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Bruun Larsen F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
B. Humphreys D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 63 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.9

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 46% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Hall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 50 2 3 2/2 0/2 7.0
F. Schär D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 83% 69 1 1 0/0 2/0 7.9
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 40 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Miley M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 48 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
Joelinton F 90 1 0 1 (1) 4 77% 53 2 2 0/1 1/2 8.2
S. Tonali M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 60 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
Bruno Guimarães M 90 1 0 3 (2) 3 90% 41 5 1 1/2 0/1 8.5
A. Gordon F 80 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 29 3 1 3/7 0/1 6.5
Y. Wissa M 80 1 0 4 (2) 0 75% 12 1 0 0/1 0/0 7.3
H. Barnes M 72 0 0 2 (2) 1 80% 15 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
J. Willock M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/1 0/0 —
J. Ramsey M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Woltemade F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Murphy M 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 8 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.