Premier League Gameweek 23 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 15:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
2–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.44 – 2.05
  • A. Tuanzebe 45’
  • L. Foster 76’
  • 38’ M. van de Ven
  • 90’ C. Romero
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Tottenham snatch a late draw

Tottenham led 1–0 after 38 minutes through a de Ven goal. But Tuanzebe and Foster scored to rescue a draw for Burnley. Tottenham finished with the higher xG (2.05 vs 1.44). On the chances created, Tottenham deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Burnley35%
Draw ✓26%
Tottenham39%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
2
Model 1.37 · xG 1.44
Tottenham goals
2
Model 1.45 · xG 2.05
Total goals
4
Model 2.82 · xG 3.49
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DúbravkaBurnley
7.9
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Tottenham 14th

Timeline

  1. M. van de Ven 0–1
    38’
  2. A. Tuanzebe 1–1Assist K. Walker
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ I. UdogieFor Pedro Porro
    46’
  5. ⇄ J. LaurentFor Florentino
    69’
  6. ⇄ L. FosterFor A. Broja
    69’
  7. L. Foster 2–1
    76’
  8. ⇄ M. TelFor K. Danso
    78’
  9. ⇄ A. GrayFor Y. Bissouma
    78’
  10. J. LaurentYellow card · Foul
    79’
  11. ⇄ H. MejbriFor M. Edwards
    85’
  12. ⇄ D. ScarlettFor C. Gallagher
    85’
  13. C. Romero 2–2Assist W. Odobert
    90’
  14. ⇄ R. DrăgușinFor C. Romero
    90+5’
  15. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Burnley9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Tottenham18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
BurnleyTottenham
38% Possession 62%
1.44 Expected goals (xG) 2.05
1.02 Expected points (xPts) 1.76
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 11
2 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 0
6 Shots inside the box 11
3 Shots outside the box 7
379 Passes 620
77% Pass accuracy 85%
1 Corners 3
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.75 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Burnley 3-4-2-1

17.9★ M. Dúbravka(G)
126.0 B. Humphreys 57.2 M. Estève 67.2 A. Tuanzebe
236.9 Lucas Pires 166.3 Florentino ↓69’ 86.3 L. Ugochukwu 27.2 K. Walker A
116.9 J. Anthony 106.3 M. Edwards ↓85’
275.7 A. Broja ↓69’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G) ★7.9
  • 12B. Humphreys6.0
  • 5M. Estève7.2
  • 6A. Tuanzebe7.2
  • 23Lucas Pires6.9
  • 16Florentino↓69’6.3
  • 8L. Ugochukwu6.3
  • 2K. WalkerA7.2
  • 11J. Anthony6.9
  • 10M. Edwards↓85’6.3
  • 27A. Broja↓69’5.7

Substitutes used

  • 28H. Mejbri↑85’6.5
  • 29J. Laurent↑69’6.5
  • 9L. Foster↑69’6.9

Unused: Max Weiss, O. Sonne, L. Tchaouna, A. Barnes, J. Bruun Larsen, H. Ekdal

Tottenham 3-4-2-1

16.2 G. Vicario(G)
377.6 M. van de Ven 177.9 C. Romero ↓90’ 46.9 K. Danso ↓78’
247.3 D. Spence 87.3 Y. Bissouma ↓78’ 226.9 C. Gallagher ↓85’ 236.2 Pedro Porro ↓46’
76.3 X. Simons 287.5 W. Odobert A
195.9 D. Solanke
  • 1G. Vicario (G)6.2
  • 37M. van de Ven7.6
  • 17C. Romero↓90’7.9
  • 4K. Danso↓78’6.9
  • 24D. Spence7.3
  • 8Y. Bissouma↓78’7.3
  • 22C. Gallagher↓85’6.9
  • 23Pedro Porro↓46’6.2
  • 7X. Simons6.3
  • 28W. OdobertA7.5
  • 19D. Solanke5.9

Substitutes used

  • 3R. Drăgușin↑90’
  • 44D. Scarlett↑85’6.7
  • 11M. Tel↑78’6.9
  • 14A. Gray↑78’6.7
  • 13I. Udogie↑46’6.3

Unused: A. Kinský, R. Kolo Muani, J. Byfield, L. Williams-Barnett

Player stats

Top rated
M. DúbravkaBurnley7.9
2nd
C. RomeroTottenham7.9
3rd
M. van de VenTottenham7.6

Burnley

Tottenham

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.