Premier League Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 15:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.34 – 1.02
West Ham
  • 13’ C. Summerville
  • 26’ V. Castellanos
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

West Ham beat Burnley

West Ham won 2–0 through goals from Summerville and Castellanos. West Ham won despite the lower xG; Burnley created the better chances (1.34 vs 1.02). On the chances created, Burnley deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Burnley39%
Draw26%
West Ham ✓35%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 1.46 · xG 1.34
West Ham goals
2
Model 1.38 · xG 1.02
Total goals
2
Model 2.84 · xG 2.36
Score 0–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. HermansenWest Ham
8.2
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · West Ham 18th

Timeline

  1. C. Summerville 0–1Assist Mateus Fernandes
    13’
  2. FlorentinoYellow card · Foul
    24’
  3. V. Castellanos 0–2Assist E. Diouf
    26’
  4. E. DioufYellow card · Foul
    41’
  5. Half time · 0–2
  6. ⇄ J. LaurentFor Florentino
    46’
  7. ⇄ F. PottsFor C. Wilson
    57’
  8. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor J. Anthony
    66’
  9. ⇄ L. TchaounaFor M. Edwards
    67’
  10. ⇄ L. FosterFor Z. Flemming
    67’
  11. B. HumphreysYellow card · Foul
    76’
  12. ⇄ A. BrojaFor L. Ugochukwu
    79’
  13. ⇄ PabloFor V. Castellanos
    79’
  14. ⇄ O. ScarlesFor E. Diouf
    79’
  15. J. LaurentYellow card · Foul
    84’
  16. ⇄ Adama TraoréFor C. Summerville
    90+2’
  17. ⇄ K. Walker-PetersFor J. Bowen
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Burnley18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
West Ham6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
BurnleyWest Ham
54% Possession 46%
1.34 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
1.60 Expected points (xPts) 1.13
18 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
11 Shots inside the box 3
7 Shots outside the box 3
470 Passes 424
85% Pass accuracy 81%
5 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.59 Team rating 7.28

Line-ups

Burnley 4-5-1

16.2 M. Dúbravka(G)
236.6 Lucas Pires 56.3 M. Estève 127.0 B. Humphreys 26.7 K. Walker
116.9 J. Anthony ↓66’ 86.2 L. Ugochukwu ↓79’ 166.3 Florentino ↓46’ 287.3 H. Mejbri 106.3 M. Edwards ↓67’
196.5 Z. Flemming ↓67’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.2
  • 23Lucas Pires6.6
  • 5M. Estève6.3
  • 12B. Humphreys7.0
  • 2K. Walker6.7
  • 11J. Anthony↓66’6.9
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓79’6.2
  • 16Florentino↓46’6.3
  • 28H. Mejbri7.3
  • 10M. Edwards↓67’6.3
  • 19Z. Flemming↓67’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑79’6.5
  • 17L. Tchaouna↑67’6.5
  • 29J. Laurent↑46’6.7
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑66’6.3
  • 9L. Foster↑67’6.6

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Worrall, A. Barnes, H. Ekdal

West Ham 4-4-1-1

18.2★ M. Hermansen(G)
127.2 E. Diouf A↓79’ 47.3 A. Disasi 157.5 K. Mavropanos 297.3 A. Wan-Bissaka
77.9 C. Summerville ↓90’ 187.3 Mateus Fernandes A 286.9 T. Souček 206.9 J. Bowen ↓90’
96.0 C. Wilson ↓57’
117.5 V. Castellanos ↓79’
  • 1M. Hermansen (G) ★8.2
  • 12E. DioufA↓79’7.2
  • 4A. Disasi7.3
  • 15K. Mavropanos7.5
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka7.3
  • 7C. Summerville↓90’7.9
  • 18Mateus FernandesA7.3
  • 28T. Souček6.9
  • 20J. Bowen↓90’6.9
  • 9C. Wilson↓57’6.0
  • 11V. Castellanos↓79’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 17Adama Traoré↑90’
  • 2K. Walker-Peters↑90’
  • 32F. Potts↑57’6.7
  • 19Pablo↑79’6.3
  • 30O. Scarles↑79’6.9

Unused: A. Areola, S. Magassa, M. Kilman, M. Kanté

Player stats

Top rated
M. HermansenWest Ham8.2
2nd
C. SummervilleWest Ham7.9
3rd
K. MavropanosWest Ham7.5

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 82% 22 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 0 (0) 5 78% 50 4 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 62 3 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
B. Humphreys D 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 91% 58 2 1 0/0 2/0 7.0
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 53 0 0 1/1 0/2 6.7
J. Anthony F 66 0 0 2 (1) 1 96% 25 1 0 1/1 0/2 6.9
L. Ugochukwu M 79 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 24 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.2
Florentino M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 29 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
H. Mejbri M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 57 1 0 1/1 1/3 7.3
M. Edwards F 67 0 0 2 (1) 0 86% 21 0 0 2/2 1/1 6.3
Z. Flemming M 67 0 0 4 (2) 0 79% 14 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
A. Broja F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Tchaouna F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
J. Laurent M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 23 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Bruun Larsen F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
L. Foster F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.6

West Ham

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Hermansen G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 37% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.2
E. Diouf D 79 0 1 0 (0) 2 78% 37 1 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
A. Disasi D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 97% 58 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
K. Mavropanos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 2 2 0/0 0/0 7.5
A. Wan-Bissaka D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 28 3 3 1/3 1/1 7.3
C. Summerville F 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 81% 26 1 1 2/4 1/2 7.9
Mateus Fernandes M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 88% 67 3 2 2/2 1/2 7.3
T. Souček M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 49 1 2 0/0 0/2 6.9
J. Bowen F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 68% 22 1 1 3/4 0/1 6.9
C. Wilson F 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 1/3 0/0 6.0
V. Castellanos F 79 1 0 1 (1) 0 70% 20 0 0 0/2 3/0 7.5
Adama Traoré F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
K. Walker-Peters D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 1 0/1 0/0 —
F. Potts M 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
Pablo M 11 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 1 0 2/2 2/1 6.3
O. Scarles D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.