Premier League Gameweek 38 Sun, May 24 2026 · 16:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.98 – 2.09
Wolves
  • Z. Flemming 47’
  • 5’ (P) A. Armstrong
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burnley and Wolves share the points

Burnley entered as narrow favourites, yet Wolves led 1–0 at half-time through a Armstrong goal. But Flemming scored to rescue a draw for Burnley. Wolves finished with the higher xG (2.09 vs 0.98). On the chances created, Wolves deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Burnley46%
Draw ✓26%
Wolves28%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
1
Model 1.58 · xG 0.98
Wolves goals
1
Model 1.18 · xG 2.09
Total goals
2
Model 2.77 · xG 3.07
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMax WeissBurnley
8.5
  • RefereeAndrew Kitchen
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. VAR L. KrejčíPenalty confirmed
    4’
  2. A. Armstrong (pen) 0–1
    5’
  3. H. HwangYellow card · Off the ball foul
    41’
  4. H. MejbriYellow card · Argument
    45+9’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. Z. Flemming 1–1Assist L. Tchaouna
    47’
  7. ⇄ M. AmdouniFor H. Mejbri
    66’
  8. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor A. Gomes
    66’
  9. ⇄ Toti GomesFor L. Krejčí
    66’
  10. ⇄ Hugo BuenoFor D. Møller Wolfe
    74’
  11. ⇄ Jerome AbbeyFor A. Armstrong
    74’
  12. ⇄ J. Ward-ProwseFor L. Ugochukwu
    75’
  13. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor L. Tchaouna
    75’
  14. ⇄ Pedro LimaFor R. Gomes
    82’
  15. ⇄ A. BarnesFor Z. Flemming
    84’
  16. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor J. Anthony
    84’
  17. A. BarnesYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  18. Y. MosqueraYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Burnley16 shots · 7 in box, 9 outside
Wolves16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
BurnleyWolves
70% Possession 30%
0.98 Expected goals (xG) 2.09
0.71 Expected points (xPts) 2.09
16 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 5
6 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 10
9 Shots outside the box 6
569 Passes 225
88% Pass accuracy 72%
7 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.07 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

Burnley 4-2-3-1

138.5★ Max Weiss(G)
236.3 Lucas Pires 127.2 B. Humphreys 66.9 A. Tuanzebe 27.0 K. Walker
86.9 L. Ugochukwu ↓75’ 167.2 Florentino
116.3 J. Anthony ↓84’ 287.7 H. Mejbri ↓66’ 176.2 L. Tchaouna A↓75’
197.9 Z. Flemming ↓84’
  • 13Max Weiss (G) ★8.5
  • 23Lucas Pires6.3
  • 12B. Humphreys7.2
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.9
  • 2K. Walker7.0
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓75’6.9
  • 16Florentino7.2
  • 11J. Anthony↓84’6.3
  • 28H. Mejbri↓66’7.7
  • 17L. TchaounaA↓75’6.2
  • 19Z. Flemming↓84’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Ward-Prowse↑75’7.0
  • 35A. Barnes↑84’6.7
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑84’6.6
  • 10M. Edwards↑75’7.0
  • 25M. Amdouni↑66’6.2

Unused: M. Dúbravka, J. Laurent, C. Roberts, H. Ekdal

Wolves 3-4-2-1

17.5 José Sá(G)
376.5 L. Krejčí ↓66’ 46.3 S. Bueno 157.0 Y. Mosquera
66.9 D. Møller Wolfe ↓74’ 476.9 A. Gomes ↓66’ 76.9 André 216.5 R. Gomes ↓82’
116.9 H. Hwang 368.2 Mateus Mané
96.7 A. Armstrong ↓74’
  • 1José Sá (G)7.5
  • 37L. Krejčí↓66’6.5
  • 4S. Bueno6.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera7.0
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↓74’6.9
  • 47A. Gomes↓66’6.9
  • 7André6.9
  • 21R. Gomes↓82’6.5
  • 11H. Hwang6.9
  • 36Mateus Mané8.2
  • 9A. Armstrong↓74’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Arokodare↑66’6.7
  • 24Toti Gomes↑66’6.9
  • 3Hugo Bueno↑74’6.6
  • 17Pedro Lima↑82’6.9
  • 50Jerome Abbey↑74’6.9

Unused: D. Bentley, E. Sutherland, J. Tchatchoua, T. Edozie

Player stats

Top rated
Max WeissBurnley8.5
2nd
Mateus ManéWolves8.2
3rd
Z. FlemmingBurnley7.9

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Max Weiss G 90 0 0 3 sv 1 86% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.5
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 3 (3) 2 90% 51 1 0 2/3 0/0 6.3
B. Humphreys D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 62 0 1 0/1 0/1 7.2
A. Tuanzebe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 59 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 79 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
L. Ugochukwu M 75 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 34 0 0 2/2 1/1 6.9
Florentino M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 61 4 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
J. Anthony F 84 0 0 2 (1) 2 88% 48 0 0 2/7 1/3 6.3
H. Mejbri M 66 0 0 1 (1) 2 75% 44 1 0 1/1 1/3 7.7
L. Tchaouna F 75 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 28 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.2
Z. Flemming M 84 1 0 1 (1) 0 69% 16 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.9
J. Ward-Prowse M 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 20 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
A. Barnes F 6 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
J. Bruun Larsen F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Edwards F 15 0 0 1 (0) 2 94% 16 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
M. Amdouni F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.2

Wolves

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
José Sá G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 50% 22 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
L. Krejčí D 66 0 0 1 (0) 1 68% 28 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
S. Bueno D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 90% 21 0 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
Y. Mosquera D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 14 3 2 0/1 2/2 7.0
D. Møller Wolfe D 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Gomes M 66 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 21 2 0 1/1 1/1 6.9
André M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 22 4 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
R. Gomes F 82 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 15 1 0 2/4 1/0 6.5
H. Hwang F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 25 1 1 0/2 1/3 6.9
Mateus Mané F 90 0 0 3 (1) 6 75% 16 1 0 1/2 0/2 8.2
A. Armstrong F 74 1 0 1 (1) 0 0% 4 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
T. Arokodare F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Toti Gomes D 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Hugo Bueno D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Pedro Lima D 8 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Jerome Abbey 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 20% 5 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.