Serie A Gameweek 21 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 19:45 Unipol Domus, Cagliari
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.11 – 1.24
  • L. Mazzitelli 65’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mazzitelli goal decides it for Cagliari

Juventus entered as favourites, but Cagliari won 1–0 through a Mazzitelli goal. Cagliari won despite the lower xG; Juventus created the better chances (1.24 vs 0.11). On the chances created, Juventus deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Cagliari ✓18%
Draw25%
Juventus57%

Model vs reality

Cagliari goals
1
Model 0.88 · xG 0.11
Juventus goals
0
Model 1.75 · xG 1.24
Total goals
1
Model 2.63 · xG 1.35
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 0–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. MazzitelliCagliari · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeDavide Massa
  • CoachesFabio Pisacane · Massimo Brambilla
  • VenueUnipol Domus
  • Table before kick-offCagliari 16th · Juventus 4th

Timeline

  1. K. YıldızYellow card · Diving
    31’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ G. BorrelliFor S. Kılıçsoy
    54’
  4. ⇄ Riyad IdrissiFor S. Esposito
    64’
  5. L. Mazzitelli 1–0Assist G. Gaetano
    65’
  6. ⇄ I. OpendaFor F. Miretti
    66’
  7. ⇄ E. ZhegrovaFor M. Locatelli
    66’
  8. ⇄ K. ThuramFor W. McKennie
    80’
  9. ⇄ Francisco ConceiçãoFor A. Cambiaso
    80’
  10. ⇄ V. AdžićFor J. David
    88’
  11. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Cagliari3 shots · 3 in box
Juventus18 shots · 9 in box, 9 outside
CagliariJuventus
22% Possession 78%
0.11 Expected goals (xG) 1.24
0.39 Expected points (xPts) 2.31
3 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 7
0 Blocked shots 7
3 Shots inside the box 9
0 Shots outside the box 9
192 Passes 666
68% Pass accuracy 90%
1 Corners 17
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
16 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Cagliari 3-5-2

16.6 E. Caprile(G)
66.9 S. Luperto 267.3 Y. Mina 326.6 Zé Pedro
336.7 A. Obert 48.3★ L. Mazzitelli 106.9 G. Gaetano A 86.9 M. Adopo 26.9 M. Palestra
946.3 S. Esposito ↓64’ 96.2 S. Kılıçsoy ↓54’
  • 1E. Caprile (G)6.6
  • 6S. Luperto6.9
  • 26Y. Mina7.3
  • 32Zé Pedro6.6
  • 33A. Obert6.7
  • 4L. Mazzitelli ★8.3
  • 10G. GaetanoA6.9
  • 8M. Adopo6.9
  • 2M. Palestra6.9
  • 94S. Esposito↓64’6.3
  • 9S. Kılıçsoy↓54’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 29G. Borrelli↑54’6.6
  • 3Riyad Idrissi↑64’6.3

Unused: G. Ciocci, A. Sherri, Nicola Pintus, J. Rodríguez, A. Di Pardo, N. Cavuoti, J. Liteta, M. Prati, Yael Trepy, Zito Luvumbo, L. Pavoletti

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Juventus 4-2-3-1

16.3 M. Perin(G)
276.3 A. Cambiaso ↓80’ 67.2 L. Kelly 37.5 Bremer 156.3 P. Kalulu
87.2 T. Koopmeiners 57.5 M. Locatelli ↓66’
107.2 K. Yıldız 216.2 F. Miretti ↓66’ 226.2 W. McKennie ↓80’
305.3 J. David ↓88’
  • 1M. Perin (G)6.3
  • 27A. Cambiaso↓80’6.3
  • 6L. Kelly7.2
  • 3Bremer7.5
  • 15P. Kalulu6.3
  • 8T. Koopmeiners7.2
  • 5M. Locatelli↓66’7.5
  • 10K. Yıldız7.2
  • 21F. Miretti↓66’6.2
  • 22W. McKennie↓80’6.2
  • 30J. David↓88’5.3

Substitutes used

  • 11E. Zhegrova↑66’6.3
  • 20I. Openda↑66’6.2
  • 19K. Thuram↑80’6.3
  • 7Francisco Conceição↑80’6.5
  • 17V. Adžić↑88’

Unused: C. Pinsoglio, M. Di Gregorio, João Mário, J. Cabal, F. Gatti, F. Kostić

Coach: Massimo Brambilla

Player stats

Top rated
L. MazzitelliCagliari8.3
2nd
BremerJuventus7.5
3rd
M. LocatelliJuventus7.5

Cagliari

Juventus

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.