La Liga Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 20:00 Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.91 – 0.30
  • Iago Aspas 68’
  • 6’ (OG) C. Starfelt
  • 40’ C. Lenglet
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid share the points

Atletico Madrid entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through an own goal. But Aspas scored to rescue a draw for Celta Vigo. Atletico Madrid played with ten men from the 40th minute after Lenglet was sent off. Celta Vigo finished with the higher xG (1.91 vs 0.30). On the chances created, Celta Vigo deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Celta Vigo23%
Draw ✓26%
Atletico Madrid52%

Model vs reality

Celta Vigo goals
1
Model 1.02 · xG 1.91
Atletico Madrid goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 0.30
Total goals
2
Model 2.68 · xG 2.21
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. OblakAtletico Madrid
8.6
  • RefereeCesar Soto Grado
  • VenueAbanca-Balaídos
  • Table before kick-offCelta Vigo 18th · Atletico Madrid 8th

Timeline

  1. C. Starfelt (own goal) 0–1Assist Pablo Barrios
    6’
  2. C. LengletYellow card · Tripping
    25’
  3. C. LengletSecond yellow · Holding
    40’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ Javi GalánFor A. Griezmann
    46’
  6. ⇄ Hugo ÁlvarezFor Fran Beltrán
    55’
  7. ⇄ Iago AspasFor Ferran Jutglà
    63’
  8. ⇄ Bryan ZaragozaFor W. Swedberg
    63’
  9. Borja IglesiasYellow card · Roughing
    65’
  10. Iago Aspas 1–1
    68’
  11. ⇄ Álex BaenaFor Javi Galán
    76’
  12. ⇄ C. GallagherFor Koke
    77’
  13. Álex BaenaYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  14. ⇄ A. SørlothFor J. Alvarez
    81’
  15. ⇄ N. MolinaFor G. Simeone
    82’
  16. ⇄ I. MoribaFor Sergio Carreira
    84’
  17. ⇄ Pablo DuránFor Borja Iglesias
    84’
  18. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Celta Vigo18 shots · 9 in box, 9 outside
Atletico Madrid6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
Celta VigoAtletico Madrid
59% Possession 41%
1.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.30
2.49 Expected points (xPts) 0.33
18 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
11 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 4
9 Shots outside the box 2
721 Passes 498
91% Pass accuracy 87%
6 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
6.85 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1

136.3 I. Radu(G)
208.0 Marcos Alonso 25.9 C. Starfelt 327.3 Javi Rodríguez
56.6 Sergio Carreira ↓84’ 86.5 Fran Beltrán ↓55’ 146.6 Damián Rodríguez 38.2 Óscar Mingueza
196.2 W. Swedberg ↓63’ 96.9 Ferran Jutglà ↓63’
76.3 Borja Iglesias ↓84’
  • 13I. Radu (G)6.3
  • 20Marcos Alonso8.0
  • 2C. Starfelt5.9
  • 32Javi Rodríguez7.3
  • 5Sergio Carreira↓84’6.6
  • 8Fran Beltrán↓55’6.5
  • 14Damián Rodríguez6.6
  • 3Óscar Mingueza8.2
  • 19W. Swedberg↓63’6.2
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↓63’6.9
  • 7Borja Iglesias↓84’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 23Hugo Álvarez↑55’6.7
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza↑63’6.3
  • 10Iago Aspas↑63’8.2
  • 6I. Moriba↑84’6.5
  • 18Pablo Durán↑84’6.5

Unused: Iván Villar, Carlos Domínguez, Javi Rueda, Manu Fernández, Hugo Sotelo, Miguel Román, Jones El-Abdellaoui

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2

138.6★ J. Oblak(G)
176.9 D. Hancko 155.3 C. Lenglet 246.9 R. Le Normand 146.9 Marcos Llorente
236.3 N. González 66.9 Koke ↓77’ 86.9 Pablo Barrios A 206.2 G. Simeone ↓82’
196.5 J. Alvarez ↓81’ 76.7 A. Griezmann ↓46’
  • 13J. Oblak (G) ★8.6
  • 17D. Hancko6.9
  • 15C. Lenglet5.3
  • 24R. Le Normand6.9
  • 14Marcos Llorente6.9
  • 23N. González6.3
  • 6Koke↓77’6.9
  • 8Pablo BarriosA6.9
  • 20G. Simeone↓82’6.2
  • 19J. Alvarez↓81’6.5
  • 7A. Griezmann↓46’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 21Javi Galán6.3
  • 16N. Molina↑82’6.3
  • 4C. Gallagher↑77’6.3
  • 10Álex Baena↑76’6.3
  • 9A. Sørloth↑81’6.7

Unused: Salvador Esquivel, Marc Pubill, M. Ruggeri, Taufik Seidu, Carlos Martín, G. Raspadori

Player stats

Top rated
J. OblakAtletico Madrid8.6
2nd
Óscar MinguezaCelta Vigo8.2
3rd
Iago AspasCelta Vigo8.2

Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.