La Liga Gameweek 27 Fri, Mar 6 2026 · 20:00 Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.05 – 0.80
Real Madrid
  • Borja Iglesias 25’
  • 11’ A. Tchouaméni
  • 90+4’ F. Valverde
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Valverde’s late goal settles it for Real Madrid

Real Madrid entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Tchouaméni and Valverde. Celta Vigo replied through a Iglesias goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.05 and 0.80. On the chances created, Celta Vigo deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Celta Vigo33%
Draw29%
Real Madrid ✓38%

Model vs reality

Celta Vigo goals
1
Model 1.18 · xG 1.05
Real Madrid goals
2
Model 1.28 · xG 0.80
Total goals
3
Model 2.46 · xG 1.85
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. TchouaméniReal Madrid · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
  • VenueAbanca-Balaídos
  • Table before kick-offCelta Vigo 6th · Real Madrid 2nd

Timeline

  1. A. Tchouaméni 0–1Assist A. Güler
    11’
  2. Borja Iglesias 1–1Assist W. Swedberg
    25’
  3. Borja IglesiasYellow card · Roughing
    31’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ César PalaciosFor A. Güler
    65’
  6. ⇄ Fer LópezFor W. Swedberg
    69’
  7. ⇄ Hugo ÁlvarezFor Ferran Jutglà
    70’
  8. ⇄ Jones El-AbdellaouiFor Borja Iglesias
    70’
  9. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor Brahim Díaz
    77’
  10. ⇄ Iago AspasFor Óscar Mingueza
    83’
  11. A. TchouaméniYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  12. ⇄ Manuel Ángel MoránFor Thiago Pitarch
    90’
  13. Raúl AsencioYellow card · Tripping
    90’
  14. ⇄ M. VecinoFor I. Moriba
    90+1’
  15. F. Valverde 1–2
    90+4’
  16. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Celta Vigo8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
Real Madrid14 shots · 7 in box, 7 outside
Celta VigoReal Madrid
36% Possession 64%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 0.80
1.54 Expected points (xPts) 1.14
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 4
0 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 7
464 Passes 805
86% Pass accuracy 91%
1 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

135.9 I. Radu(G)
206.7 Marcos Alonso 27.2 C. Starfelt 326.9 Javi Rodríguez
36.9 Óscar Mingueza ↓83’ 66.7 I. Moriba ↓90’ 166.7 Miguel Román 57.0 Sergio Carreira
197.2 W. Swedberg A↓69’ 76.7 Borja Iglesias ↓70’ 97.3 Ferran Jutglà ↓70’
  • 13I. Radu (G)5.9
  • 20Marcos Alonso6.7
  • 2C. Starfelt7.2
  • 32Javi Rodríguez6.9
  • 3Óscar Mingueza↓83’6.9
  • 6I. Moriba↓90’6.7
  • 16Miguel Román6.7
  • 5Sergio Carreira7.0
  • 19W. SwedbergA↓69’7.2
  • 7Borja Iglesias↓70’6.7
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↓70’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 8Fer López↑69’6.5
  • 23Hugo Álvarez↑70’6.3
  • 39Jones El-Abdellaoui↑70’6.3
  • 15M. Vecino↑90’
  • 10Iago Aspas↑83’6.9

Unused: Iván Villar, Carlos Domínguez, Manu Fernández, Javi Rueda, J. Aidoo, Alvaro Núñez, Hugo Sotelo

Real Madrid 4-4-2

17.7 T. Courtois(G)
236.6 F. Mendy 227.0 A. Rüdiger 176.3 Raúl Asencio 126.6 T. Alexander-Arnold
455.7 Thiago Pitarch ↓90’ 148.0★ A. Tchouaméni 156.9 A. Güler A↓65’ 87.5 F. Valverde
77.3 Vinícius 216.2 Brahim Díaz ↓77’
  • 1T. Courtois (G)7.7
  • 23F. Mendy6.6
  • 22A. Rüdiger7.0
  • 17Raúl Asencio6.3
  • 12T. Alexander-Arnold6.6
  • 45Thiago Pitarch↓90’5.7
  • 14A. Tchouaméni ★8.0
  • 15A. GülerA↓65’6.9
  • 8F. Valverde7.5
  • 7Vinícius7.3
  • 21Brahim Díaz↓77’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 38César Palacios↑65’6.3
  • 37Manuel Ángel Morán↑90’
  • 16Gonzalo García↑77’6.2

Unused: Sergio Mestre, A. Lunin, Dani Carvajal, Fran García, Diego Aguado Facio, Lamini Fati, Jorge Cestero

Player stats

Top rated
A. TchouaméniReal Madrid8.0
2nd
T. CourtoisReal Madrid7.7
3rd
F. ValverdeReal Madrid7.5

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Radu G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 75% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
Marcos Alonso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 65 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Starfelt D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 61 0 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
Javi Rodríguez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 75 1 2 1/1 0/1 6.9
Óscar Mingueza D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 45 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.9
I. Moriba M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
Miguel Román M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 57 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Sergio Carreira D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 42 1 0 0/2 0/1 7.0
W. Swedberg M 69 0 1 1 (1) 2 69% 16 0 0 0/1 1/2 7.2
Borja Iglesias F 70 1 0 3 (2) 0 39% 18 0 0 2/3 3/1 6.7
Ferran Jutglà F 70 0 0 2 (1) 0 78% 18 1 1 1/1 0/1 7.3
Fer López M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.5
Hugo Álvarez M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Jones El-Abdellaoui F 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Vecino M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Iago Aspas F 7 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 3 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. Courtois G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 88% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
F. Mendy D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 87 1 1 1/1 0/1 6.6
A. Rüdiger D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 110 0 1 0/0 2/0 7.0
Raúl Asencio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 97 0 3 0/0 2/1 6.3
T. Alexander-Arnold D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 89% 96 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Thiago Pitarch M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 60 1 2 1/2 3/0 5.7
A. Tchouaméni M 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 92% 87 3 4 2/2 1/1 8.0
A. Güler M 65 0 1 0 (0) 2 84% 38 3 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
F. Valverde M 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 96% 100 2 0 0/0 2/0 7.5
Vinícius F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 93% 28 1 1 3/5 0/0 7.3
Brahim Díaz M 77 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 49 0 0 2/3 1/0 6.2
César Palacios M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 0 3 1/1 1/0 6.3
Manuel Ángel Morán M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/1 0/0 —
Gonzalo García F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.