La Liga Gameweek 38 Sat, May 23 2026 · 20:00 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.59 – 0.80
  • I. Moriba 51’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Moriba goal decides it for Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Moriba goal. Celta Vigo finished with the higher xG (1.59 vs 0.80). On the chances created, Sevilla deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Celta Vigo ✓41%
Draw29%
Sevilla30%

Model vs reality

Celta Vigo goals
1
Model 1.27 · xG 1.59
Sevilla goals
0
Model 1.05 · xG 0.80
Total goals
1
Model 2.32 · xG 2.39
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 41%
Both scored
No
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchFer LópezCelta Vigo · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeF. Maeso
  • VenueEstadio Abanca-Balaídos
  • Table before kick-offCelta Vigo 6th · Sevilla 14th

Timeline

  1. I. MoribaYellow card · Foul
    38’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. I. Moriba 1–0Assist Fer López
    51’
  4. ⇄ R. VargasFor Peque Fernández
    64’
  5. ⇄ A. AdamsFor Isaac Romero
    64’
  6. ⇄ N. MaupayFor A. Sánchez
    64’
  7. ⇄ Hugo ÁlvarezFor W. Swedberg
    65’
  8. ⇄ Ferran JutglàFor Iago Aspas
    66’
  9. ⇄ M. VecinoFor Fer López
    74’
  10. ⇄ Pablo DuránFor Borja Iglesias
    74’
  11. ⇄ C. EjukeFor Oso
    77’
  12. ⇄ N. GudeljFor L. Agoumé
    86’
  13. ⇄ Óscar MinguezaFor Javi Rueda
    90+3’
  14. N. MaupayYellow card · Argument
    90+6’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Celta Vigo12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Sevilla9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
Celta VigoSevilla
55% Possession 45%
1.59 Expected goals (xG) 0.80
1.93 Expected points (xPts) 0.81
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
8 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 5
531 Passes 435
89% Pass accuracy 86%
4 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

137.3 I. Radu(G)
207.6 Marcos Alonso 297.9 Yoel Lago 327.0 Javi Rodríguez
57.3 Sergio Carreira 67.9 I. Moriba 88.3★ Fer López A↓74’ 177.0 Javi Rueda ↓90’
196.3 W. Swedberg ↓65’ 76.0 Borja Iglesias ↓74’ 106.3 Iago Aspas ↓66’
  • 13I. Radu (G)7.3
  • 20Marcos Alonso7.6
  • 29Yoel Lago7.9
  • 32Javi Rodríguez7.0
  • 5Sergio Carreira7.3
  • 6I. Moriba7.9
  • 8Fer López ★A↓74’8.3
  • 17Javi Rueda↓90’7.0
  • 19W. Swedberg↓65’6.3
  • 7Borja Iglesias↓74’6.0
  • 10Iago Aspas↓66’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 15M. Vecino↑74’6.7
  • 3Óscar Mingueza↑90’
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↑66’7.2
  • 18Pablo Durán↑74’6.6
  • 23Hugo Álvarez↑65’6.3

Unused: Iván Villar, F. Cervi, Jones El-Abdellaoui, M. Ristić, J. Aidoo, Alvaro Núñez, Hugo Sotelo

Sevilla 4-3-3

136.3 Ø. Nyland(G)
126.0 G. Suazo 47.0 Kike Salas 36.6 César Azpilicueta 26.9 J. Carmona Navarro
206.2 M. Sow 186.2 L. Agoumé ↓86’ 146.9 Peque Fernández ↓64’
367.0 Oso ↓77’ 76.2 Isaac Romero ↓64’ 106.5 A. Sánchez ↓64’
  • 13Ø. Nyland (G)6.3
  • 12G. Suazo6.0
  • 4Kike Salas7.0
  • 3César Azpilicueta6.6
  • 2J. Carmona Navarro6.9
  • 20M. Sow6.2
  • 18L. Agoumé↓86’6.2
  • 14Peque Fernández↓64’6.9
  • 36Oso↓77’7.0
  • 7Isaac Romero↓64’6.2
  • 10A. Sánchez↓64’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 6N. Gudelj↑86’6.6
  • 11R. Vargas↑64’6.6
  • 21C. Ejuke↑77’6.7
  • 9A. Adams↑64’6.7
  • 17N. Maupay↑64’6.2

Unused: O. Vlachodimos, Alberto Flores, T. Nianzou, Fábio Cardoso, Joan Jordán, F. Gattoni, N. Guilen

Player stats

Top rated
Fer LópezCelta Vigo8.3
2nd
Yoel LagoCelta Vigo7.9
3rd
I. MoribaCelta Vigo7.9

Celta Vigo

Sevilla

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.