La Liga Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 3 2026 · 13:00 Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
4–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.64 – 1.72
  • Borja Iglesias 33’ (P), 59’
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 83’
  • Hugo Álvarez 90+5’
  • 70’ Pepelu
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Celta Vigo cruise past Valencia

Celta Vigo entered as favourites and won 4–1 through goals from Iglesias, El-Abdellaoui and Álvarez. Valencia replied through a Pepelu goal. Celta Vigo finished with the higher xG (2.64 vs 1.72). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Celta Vigo ✓50%
Draw26%
Valencia24%

Model vs reality

Celta Vigo goals
4
Model 1.59 · xG 2.64
Valencia goals
1
Model 1.02 · xG 1.72
Total goals
5
Model 2.61 · xG 4.36
Score 4–1
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBorja IglesiasCelta Vigo · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeRicardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
  • VenueAbanca-Balaídos
  • Table before kick-offCelta Vigo 7th · Valencia 17th

Timeline

  1. ✕ PepeluMissed penalty
    7’
  2. ⇄ Pablo DuránFor W. Swedberg
    28’
  3. Borja Iglesias (pen) 1–0
    33’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. Hugo DuroYellow card
    54’
  6. ⇄ Luis RiojaFor Thierry Correia
    57’
  7. ⇄ L. RamazaniFor L. Beltrán
    57’
  8. Borja Iglesias 2–0Assist Pablo Durán
    59’
  9. L. RamazaniYellow card · Foul
    62’
  10. ⇄ A. DanjumaFor Javi Guerra
    66’
  11. ⇄ César TárregaFor D. Foulquier
    66’
  12. ⇄ Hugo ÁlvarezFor Bryan Zaragoza
    67’
  13. ⇄ Jones El-AbdellaouiFor Borja Iglesias
    67’
  14. Pepelu 2–1
    70’
  15. CopeteYellow card · Tripping
    75’
  16. Javi RodríguezYellow card · Roughing
    79’
  17. ⇄ Diego LópezFor Copete
    81’
  18. ⇄ Manu FernándezFor Javi Rodríguez
    81’
  19. ⇄ Iago AspasFor Pablo Durán
    81’
  20. Jones El-Abdellaoui 3–1
    83’
  21. Hugo Álvarez 4–1Assist Iago Aspas
    90+5’
  22. Full time · 4–1

Team stats

Celta Vigo12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Valencia16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Celta VigoValencia
40% Possession 60%
2.64 Expected goals (xG) 1.72
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.91
12 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 10
3 Shots outside the box 6
375 Passes 567
85% Pass accuracy 90%
2 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.39

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

137.6 I. Radu(G)
207.0 Marcos Alonso 46.0 J. Aidoo 327.3 Javi Rodríguez ↓81’
56.6 Sergio Carreira 167.9 Miguel Román 66.6 I. Moriba 37.0 Óscar Mingueza
196.5 W. Swedberg ↓28’ 78.3★ Borja Iglesias ↓67’ 157.7 Bryan Zaragoza ↓67’
  • 13I. Radu (G)7.6
  • 20Marcos Alonso7.0
  • 4J. Aidoo6.0
  • 32Javi Rodríguez↓81’7.3
  • 5Sergio Carreira6.6
  • 16Miguel Román7.9
  • 6I. Moriba6.6
  • 3Óscar Mingueza7.0
  • 19W. Swedberg↓28’6.5
  • 7Borja Iglesias ★↓67’8.3
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza↓67’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 18Pablo DuránA6.7
  • 39Jones El-Abdellaoui↑67’7.7
  • 23Hugo Álvarez↑67’7.5
  • 12Manu Fernández↑81’6.3
  • 10Iago AspasA↑81’6.7

Unused: Iván Villar, Yoel Lago, Javi Rueda, F. Cervi, Fran Beltrán, Hugo Sotelo, Ferran Jutglà

Valencia 3-5-2

255.9 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
36.3 Copete ↓81’ 45.2 M. Diakhaby 205.9 D. Foulquier ↓66’
216.9 Jesús Vázquez 107.2 André Almeida 187.0 Pepelu 86.2 Javi Guerra ↓66’ 126.6 Thierry Correia ↓57’
156.3 L. Beltrán ↓57’ 96.3 Hugo Duro
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)5.9
  • 3Copete↓81’6.3
  • 4M. Diakhaby5.2
  • 20D. Foulquier↓66’5.9
  • 21Jesús Vázquez6.9
  • 10André Almeida7.2
  • 18Pepelu7.0
  • 8Javi Guerra↓66’6.2
  • 12Thierry Correia↓57’6.6
  • 15L. Beltrán↓57’6.3
  • 9Hugo Duro6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17L. Ramazani↑57’6.3
  • 11Luis Rioja↑57’6.7
  • 5César Tárrega↑66’6.2
  • 7A. Danjuma↑66’7.3
  • 16Diego López↑81’6.7

Unused: Vicent Abril, Cristian Rivero, Rubén Iranzo, José Gayà, Lucas Núñez, B. Santamaría, Dani Raba

Player stats

Top rated
Borja IglesiasCelta Vigo8.3
2nd
Miguel RománCelta Vigo7.9
3rd
Bryan ZaragozaCelta Vigo7.7

Celta Vigo

Valencia

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.