UEFA Europa League Matchday 2 Thu, Oct 2 2025 · 17:45 Celtic Park, Glasgow
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.65 – 1.05
  • 21’ Ricardo Horta
  • 85’ Gabri Martínez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

SC Braga beat Celtic

Celtic entered as narrow favourites, but SC Braga won 2–0 through goals from Horta and Martínez. SC Braga finished with the higher xG (1.05 vs 0.65). On the chances created, Celtic deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Celtic47%
Draw24%
SC Braga ✓29%

Model vs reality

Celtic goals
0
Model 1.76 · xG 0.65
SC Braga goals
2
Model 1.34 · xG 1.05
Total goals
2
Model 3.10 · xG 1.70
Score 0–2
4%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRicardo HortaSC Braga · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • VenueCeltic Park
  • Table before kick-offCeltic 17th · SC Braga 12th

Timeline

  1. Yanis da RochaYellow card · Holding
    14’
  2. Ricardo Horta 0–1Assist Jean-Baptiste Gorby
    21’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Víctor GómezFor Yanis da Rocha
    46’
  5. ⇄ M. SaracchiFor C. Donovan
    46’
  6. VAR K. ỊheanachọGoal Disallowed - offside
    52’
  7. ⇄ João MoutinhoFor F. Grillitsch
    65’
  8. ⇄ A. EngelsFor Paulo Bernardo
    67’
  9. ⇄ R. HatateFor E. Nygren
    67’
  10. ⇄ R. ZalazarFor Ricardo Horta
    70’
  11. ⇄ D. RodriguesFor Pau Víctor
    70’
  12. ⇄ J. ForrestFor D. Maeda
    77’
  13. ⇄ D. MurrayFor K. Tierney
    81’
  14. M. SaracchiYellow card · Roughing
    81’
  15. ⇄ Gabri MartínezFor A. El Ouazzani
    82’
  16. Gabri Martínez 0–2
    85’
  17. L. ScalesYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  18. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Celtic9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
SC Braga13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
CelticSC Braga
56% Possession 44%
0.65 Expected goals (xG) 1.05
1.00 Expected points (xPts) 1.67
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 4
561 Passes 448
88% Pass accuracy 83%
7 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.55 Team rating 6.99

Line-ups

Celtic 4-3-3

15.3 K. Schmeichel(G)
637.2 K. Tierney ↓81’ 56.9 L. Scales 206.9 C. Carter-Vickers 516.3 C. Donovan ↓46’
286.9 Paulo Bernardo ↓67’ 426.3 C. McGregor 87.0 E. Nygren ↓67’
237.2 S. Tounekti 176.2 K. Ịheanachọ 386.2 D. Maeda ↓77’
  • 1K. Schmeichel (G)5.3
  • 63K. Tierney↓81’7.2
  • 5L. Scales6.9
  • 20C. Carter-Vickers6.9
  • 51C. Donovan↓46’6.3
  • 28Paulo Bernardo↓67’6.9
  • 42C. McGregor6.3
  • 8E. Nygren↓67’7.0
  • 23S. Tounekti7.2
  • 17K. Ịheanachọ6.2
  • 38D. Maeda↓77’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 36M. Saracchi↑46’6.2
  • 41R. Hatate↑67’6.9
  • 27A. Engels↑67’6.3
  • 49J. Forrest↑77’6.3
  • 47D. Murray↑81’6.2

Unused: V. Sinisalo, A. Trusty, A. Ralston, M. Balikwisha, L. McCowan, J. Kenny, H. Yang

SC Braga 3-4-2-1

17.3 L. Horníček(G)
267.3 B. Arrey-Mbi 67.2 Vitor Carvalho 147.5 G. Lagerbielke
56.7 Leonardo Lelo 277.3 F. Grillitsch ↓65’ 296.6 Jean-Baptiste Gorby A 415.9 Yanis da Rocha ↓46’
186.7 Pau Víctor ↓70’ 217.6★ Ricardo Horta ↓70’
96.9 A. El Ouazzani ↓82’
  • 1L. Horníček (G)7.3
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi7.3
  • 6Vitor Carvalho7.2
  • 14G. Lagerbielke7.5
  • 5Leonardo Lelo6.7
  • 27F. Grillitsch↓65’7.3
  • 29Jean-Baptiste GorbyA6.6
  • 41Yanis da Rocha↓46’5.9
  • 18Pau Víctor↓70’6.7
  • 21Ricardo Horta ★↓70’7.6
  • 9A. El Ouazzani↓82’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2Víctor Gómez↑46’6.7
  • 8João Moutinho↑65’6.6
  • 10R. Zalazar↑70’6.2
  • 50D. Rodrigues↑70’6.3
  • 77Gabri Martínez↑82’7.5

Unused: Tiago Sá, A. Bellaarouch, S. Niakaté, João Marques, Fran Navarro, João Aragão, Sandro Vidigal

Player stats

Top rated
Ricardo HortaSC Braga7.6
2nd
G. LagerbielkeSC Braga7.5
3rd
L. HorníčekSC Braga7.3

Celtic

SC Braga

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.