Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Dec 26 2025 · 15:00 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
First leg0–2 1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.47 – 2.11
  • G. Magnée 43’ (P)
  • Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 76’
  • 17’ M. Rasmussen
  • 87’ C. Burgess
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cercle Brugge and Union St. Gilloise share the points

Union St. Gilloise entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 17 minutes through a Rasmussen goal. But Magnée scored to rescue a draw for Cercle Brugge. Cercle Brugge played with ten men from the 76th minute after Diaby was sent off. Union St. Gilloise finished with the higher xG (2.11 vs 1.47). On the chances created, Union St. Gilloise deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Cercle Brugge24%
Draw ✓26%
Union St. Gilloise51%

Model vs reality

Cercle Brugge goals
1
Model 1.07 · xG 1.47
Union St. Gilloise goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 2.11
Total goals
2
Model 2.73 · xG 3.58
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. RasmussenUnion St. Gilloise · 1 goal
8.6
  • RefereeLothar D'hondt
  • VenueJan Breydelstadion
  • Table before kick-offCercle Brugge 15th · Union St. Gilloise 1st

Timeline

  1. M. Rasmussen 0–1
    17’
  2. G. da Silva CarvalhoYellow card
    32’
  3. G. Magnée (pen) 1–1
    43’
  4. H. Van der BruggenYellow card
    45’
  5. R. SykesYellow card
    45’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. ⇄ Makaya Ibrahima DiabyFor L. Agyekum
    46’
  8. Makaya Ibrahima DiabyYellow card
    59’
  9. ⇄ K. RodríguezFor M. Giger
    60’
  10. ⇄ R. SchoofsFor A. Ait El Hadj
    72’
  11. C. BurgessYellow card
    74’
  12. Makaya Ibrahima DiabySecond yellow
    76’
  13. C. BurgessSecond yellow
    87’
  14. ⇄ L. PatrisFor G. da Silva Carvalho
    89’
  15. ⇄ N. De WildeFor P. Gerkens
    90+3’
  16. ⇄ Krys KouassiFor S. Ngoura
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Cercle Brugge8 shots · 8 in box
Union St. Gilloise20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
36% Possession 64%
1.47 Expected goals (xG) 2.11
1.01 Expected points (xPts) 1.78
8 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 10
1 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 15
0 Shots outside the box 5
262 Passes 474
61% Pass accuracy 76%
4 Corners 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
6.84 Team rating 7.18

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge 4-1-3-2

18.5 Warleson(G)
206.9 Flávio Nazinho 37.2 E. Utkus 666.7 C. Ravych 26.2 I. Diakité
286.9 H. Van der Bruggen
66.7 L. Agyekum ↓46’ 186.9 P. Gerkens ↓90’ 157.5 G. Magnée
96.3 S. Ngoura ↓90’ 175.6 O. Adewumi
  • 1Warleson (G)8.5
  • 20Flávio Nazinho6.9
  • 3E. Utkus7.2
  • 66C. Ravych6.7
  • 2I. Diakité6.2
  • 28H. Van der Bruggen6.9
  • 6L. Agyekum↓46’6.7
  • 18P. Gerkens↓90’6.9
  • 15G. Magnée7.5
  • 9S. Ngoura↓90’6.3
  • 17O. Adewumi5.6

Substitutes used

  • 19Makaya Ibrahima Diaby↑46’6.2
  • 27N. De Wilde↑90’
  • 41Krys Kouassi↑90’

Unused: M. Delanghe, Emmanuel Kakou, H. Jurado, E. Diop, Erick, A. Minda

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1

377.9 K. Scherpen(G)
487.2 F. Leysen 167.0 C. Burgess 266.6 R. Sykes
117.6 G. da Silva Carvalho ↓89’ 48.6★ M. Rasmussen 67.0 K. Van de Perre 256.9 A. Khalaili
106.9 A. Ait El Hadj ↓72’ 206.7 M. Giger ↓60’
126.7 P. David
  • 37K. Scherpen (G)7.9
  • 48F. Leysen7.2
  • 16C. Burgess7.0
  • 26R. Sykes6.6
  • 11G. da Silva Carvalho↓89’7.6
  • 4M. Rasmussen ★8.6
  • 6K. Van de Perre7.0
  • 25A. Khalaili6.9
  • 10A. Ait El Hadj↓72’6.9
  • 20M. Giger↓60’6.7
  • 12P. David6.7

Substitutes used

  • 13K. Rodríguez↑60’6.7
  • 27L. Patris↑89’
  • 17R. Schoofs↑72’6.5

Unused: V. Chambaere, M. Barry, G. François, I. Pavlić, C. Makate Bokoya, M. Fuseini

Player stats

Top rated
M. RasmussenUnion St. Gilloise8.6
2nd
WarlesonCercle Brugge8.5
3rd
K. ScherpenUnion St. Gilloise7.9

Cercle Brugge

Union St. Gilloise

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.