Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Oct 24 2025 · 19:45 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Charleroi
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.12 – 1.33
Anderlecht
  • C. Keita 82’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Keita goal decides it for Charleroi

Anderlecht entered as favourites, but Charleroi won 1–0 through a Keita goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.12 and 1.33. On the chances created, Anderlecht deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Charleroi ✓26%
Draw26%
Anderlecht48%

Model vs reality

Charleroi goals
1
Model 1.12 · xG 1.12
Anderlecht goals
0
Model 1.59 · xG 1.33
Total goals
1
Model 2.71 · xG 2.45
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. KeitaCharleroi · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeLawrence Visser
  • VenueStade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Table before kick-offCharleroi 12th · Anderlecht 3rd

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ A. BertacciniFor M. Cvetkovic
    46’
  3. ⇄ M. StroeykensFor K. Sardella
    46’
  4. P. GuiagonYellow card
    49’
  5. ⇄ A. BernierFor P. Pflücke
    65’
  6. ⇄ T. DegreefFor I. Camara
    74’
  7. C. Keita 1–0Assist P. Guiagon
    82’
  8. ⇄ L. VázquezFor N. Saliba
    84’
  9. ⇄ A. ColassinFor P. Guiagon
    85’
  10. ⇄ M. BoukamirFor J. Romsaas
    85’
  11. M. N'DiayeYellow card
    90+1’
  12. A. BertacciniYellow card
    90+5’
  13. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Charleroi8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
Anderlecht14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
CharleroiAnderlecht
39% Possession 61%
1.12 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
1.21 Expected points (xPts) 1.52
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
1 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 9
1 Shots outside the box 5
281 Passes 467
78% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

557.0 M. Delavallée(G)
247.5 M. Nzita 958.0★ C. Keita 47.7 A. Ousou 37.3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
57.2 É. Camara 227.3 Y. Titraoui
107.3 P. Guiagon A↓85’ 87.0 J. Romsaas ↓85’ 146.9 P. Pflücke ↓65’
216.6 A. Scheidler
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)7.0
  • 24M. Nzita7.5
  • 95C. Keita ★8.0
  • 4A. Ousou7.7
  • 3K. Van Den Kerkhof7.3
  • 5É. Camara7.2
  • 22Y. Titraoui7.3
  • 10P. GuiagonA↓85’7.3
  • 8J. Romsaas↓85’7.0
  • 14P. Pflücke↓65’6.9
  • 21A. Scheidler6.6

Substitutes used

  • 17A. Bernier↑65’6.5
  • 32M. Boukamir↑85’
  • 25A. Colassin↑85’

Unused: M. Koné, Jules Gaudin, L. Blum, A. Boukamir, I. Mbenza, F. Szymczak

Anderlecht 4-2-3-1

267.9 C. Coosemans(G)
57.2 M. N'Diaye 557.2 M. Kana 36.7 L. Hey 546.2 K. Sardella ↓46’
136.6 N. Saliba ↓84’ 746.2 N. De Cat
196.9 N. Angulo 116.2 T. Hazard 76.2 I. Camara ↓74’
96.3 M. Cvetković
  • 26C. Coosemans (G)7.9
  • 5M. N'Diaye7.2
  • 55M. Kana7.2
  • 3L. Hey6.7
  • 54K. Sardella↓46’6.2
  • 13N. Saliba↓84’6.6
  • 74N. De Cat6.2
  • 19N. Angulo6.9
  • 11T. Hazard6.2
  • 7I. Camara↓74’6.2
  • 9M. Cvetković6.3

Substitutes used

  • 29M. Stroeykens↑46’6.3
  • 91A. Bertaccini↑46’6.9
  • 83T. Degreef↑74’6.5
  • 20L. Vázquez↑84’

Unused: M. Kikkenborg, H. Augustinsson, M. Ilić, Y. Özcan, Y. Verschaeren

Player stats

Top rated
C. KeitaCharleroi8.0
2nd
C. CoosemansAnderlecht7.9
3rd
A. OusouCharleroi7.7

Charleroi

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Delavallée G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 52% 25 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
M. Nzita D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 29 0 2 0/0 0/4 7.5
C. Keita D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 96% 28 0 1 1/1 3/0 8.0
A. Ousou D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 29 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.7
K. Van Den Kerkhof D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 17 2 1 4/7 1/0 7.3
É. Camara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 2 0/0 1/1 7.2
Y. Titraoui M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 45 1 2 1/3 1/1 7.3
P. Guiagon M 85 0 1 0 (0) 1 89% 19 0 1 4/7 1/6 7.3
J. Romsaas M 85 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 16 3 2 1/1 0/0 7.0
P. Pflücke D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 1 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
A. Scheidler F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 33% 18 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
A. Bernier F 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 6 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
M. Boukamir D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Colassin F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Anderlecht

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Coosemans G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 84% 19 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
M. N'Diaye D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 58 3 1 2/2 0/2 7.2
M. Kana D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 66 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
L. Hey D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 59 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
K. Sardella D 46 0 0 1 (1) 0 95% 20 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
N. Saliba M 84 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 45 2 2 1/3 1/0 6.6
N. De Cat M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 41 0 0 1/2 3/1 6.2
N. Angulo F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 37 2 2 1/2 0/1 6.9
T. Hazard M 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 77% 30 1 0 0/0 3/1 6.2
I. Camara D 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 46 1 1 0/0 3/1 6.2
M. Cvetković F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
M. Stroeykens M 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 25 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Bertaccini F 44 0 0 1 (0) 2 100% 7 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
T. Degreef M 16 0 0 0 (0) 1 43% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Vázquez F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.