Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Aug 3 2025 · 18:15 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.72 – 1.47
  • N. Štulić 41’
  • N. Štulić 65’
  • 24’ (P) R. Ito
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Charleroi and St. Truiden share the points

Charleroi entered as narrow favourites, yet St. Truiden led 1–0 after 24 minutes through a Ito goal. But Štulić scored to rescue a draw for Charleroi. Charleroi played with ten men from the 65th minute after Štulić was sent off. St. Truiden finished with the higher xG (1.47 vs 0.72). On the chances created, St. Truiden deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Charleroi39%
Draw ✓27%
St. Truiden33%

Model vs reality

Charleroi goals
1
Model 1.40 · xG 0.72
St. Truiden goals
1
Model 1.27 · xG 1.47
Total goals
2
Model 2.66 · xG 2.19
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. ItoSt. Truiden · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeKevin Van Damme
  • VenueStade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Table before kick-offCharleroi 11th · St. Truiden 5th

Timeline

  1. M. SowYellow card · Foul
    23’
  2. VAR R. YamamotoPenalty confirmed
    23’
  3. R. Ito (pen) 0–1
    24’
  4. I. MbenzaYellow card · Persistent fouling
    39’
  5. N. Štulić 1–1
    41’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. A. SissakoYellow card · Foul
    50’
  8. ⇄ A. DirikenFor A. Sissako
    57’
  9. ⇄ J. RomsaasFor A. Colassin
    57’
  10. ⇄ P. GuiagonFor I. Mbenza
    57’
  11. N. ŠtulićYellow card · Foul
    59’
  12. VAR R. YamamotoPenalty cancelled
    61’
  13. N. ŠtulićSecond yellow · Foul
    65’
  14. ⇄ C. KeitaFor Y. Titraoui
    75’
  15. A. OusouYellow card · Foul
    78’
  16. ⇄ R. MerlenFor R. Van Helden
    80’
  17. ⇄ S. TaniguchiFor R. Vanwesemael
    80’
  18. ⇄ A. DescotteFor P. Guiagon
    87’
  19. ⇄ J. MbalandaFor I. Sebaoui
    87’
  20. ⇄ V. DragsnesFor M. Nzita
    87’
  21. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Charleroi4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
St. Truiden14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
CharleroiSt. Truiden
37% Possession 63%
0.72 Expected goals (xG) 1.47
0.81 Expected points (xPts) 1.92
4 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
0 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Shots inside the box 10
2 Shots outside the box 4
253 Passes 414
70% Pass accuracy 84%
1 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
18 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

557.3 M. Delavallée(G)
247.2 M. Nzita ↓87’ 446.2 M. Sow 46.7 A. Ousou 987.2 J. Pétris
56.6 É. Camara 226.7 Y. Titraoui ↓75’
77.0 I. Mbenza ↓57’ 257.0 A. Colassin ↓57’ 296.7 Ž. Rogelj
196.9 N. Štulić
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)7.3
  • 24M. Nzita↓87’7.2
  • 44M. Sow6.2
  • 4A. Ousou6.7
  • 98J. Pétris7.2
  • 5É. Camara6.6
  • 22Y. Titraoui↓75’6.7
  • 7I. Mbenza↓57’7.0
  • 25A. Colassin↓57’7.0
  • 29Ž. Rogelj6.7
  • 19N. Štulić6.9

Substitutes used

  • 10P. Guiagon6.7
  • 8J. Romsaas↑57’6.9
  • 95C. Keita↑75’6.7
  • 15V. Dragsnes↑87’6.9
  • 99A. Descotte↑87’6.3

Unused: M. Koné, Y. Khalifi, A. Bernier, A. Boukamir

St. Truiden 4-3-3

166.6 L. Kokubo(G)
36.2 T. Hata 267.3 V. Musliu 206.9 R. Van Helden ↓80’ 197.3 L. Patris
137.9★ R. Ito 66.6 R. Yamamoto 86.2 A. Sissako ↓57’
106.2 I. Sebaoui ↓87’ 96.3 A. Ferrari 606.2 R. Vanwesemael ↓80’
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)6.6
  • 3T. Hata6.2
  • 26V. Musliu7.3
  • 20R. Van Helden↓80’6.9
  • 19L. Patris7.3
  • 13R. Ito ★7.9
  • 6R. Yamamoto6.6
  • 8A. Sissako↓57’6.2
  • 10I. Sebaoui↓87’6.2
  • 9A. Ferrari6.3
  • 60R. Vanwesemael↓80’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 33A. Diriken↑57’6.9
  • 5S. Taniguchi↑80’6.6
  • 14R. Merlen↑80’6.3
  • 32J. Mbalanda↑87’6.7

Unused: M. Lendfers, Hugo Lambotte, S. Juklerød, W. Janssens, Kaito Matsuzawa

Player stats

Top rated
R. ItoSt. Truiden7.9
2nd
M. DelavalléeCharleroi7.3
3rd
V. MusliuSt. Truiden7.3

Charleroi

St. Truiden

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.