Premier League Gameweek 18 Sat, Dec 27 2025 · 17:30 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.14 – 1.19
Aston Villa
  • João Pedro 37’
  • 63’, 84’ O. Watkins
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa come from behind to beat Chelsea

Chelsea entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Pedro goal. But Watkins struck twice to turn it around for Aston Villa, who won 2–1. Aston Villa won despite the lower xG; Chelsea created the better chances (2.14 vs 1.19). On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Chelsea42%
Draw25%
Aston Villa ✓32%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.62 · xG 2.14
Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.39 · xG 1.19
Total goals
3
Model 3.00 · xG 3.33
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. WatkinsAston Villa · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 5th · Aston Villa 3rd

Timeline

  1. M. CashYellow card · Foul
    30’
  2. João Pedro 1–0Assist R. James
    37’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. R. JamesYellow card · Argument
    57’
  5. M. RogersYellow card · Argument
    57’
  6. ⇄ O. WatkinsFor E. Buendía
    58’
  7. ⇄ A. OnanaFor J. McGinn
    59’
  8. ⇄ J. SanchoFor D. Malen
    59’
  9. O. Watkins 1–1
    63’
  10. T. ChalobahYellow card · Foul
    68’
  11. ⇄ M. GustoFor Marc Cucurella
    69’
  12. ⇄ J. GittensFor A. Garnacho
    69’
  13. ⇄ L. DelapFor João Pedro
    69’
  14. L. DelapYellow card · Foul
    71’
  15. M. CaicedoYellow card · Foul
    71’
  16. ⇄ EstêvãoFor C. Palmer
    72’
  17. B. KamaraYellow card · Foul
    78’
  18. ⇄ L. BogardeFor B. Kamara
    83’
  19. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    83’
  20. O. Watkins 1–2Assist Y. Tielemans
    84’
  21. E. FernándezYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  22. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Chelsea14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Aston Villa11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
ChelseaAston Villa
63% Possession 37%
2.14 Expected goals (xG) 1.19
1.98 Expected points (xPts) 0.82
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 8
4 Shots off target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 4
528 Passes 321
89% Pass accuracy 80%
6 Corners 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
16 Fouls 8
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.04 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

17.7 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.9 Marc Cucurella ↓69’ 56.5 B. Badiashile 236.3 T. Chalobah 248.3 R. James A
87.3 E. Fernández 257.2 M. Caicedo
497.2 A. Garnacho ↓69’ 106.6 C. Palmer ↓72’ 76.3 Pedro Neto
207.6 João Pedro ↓69’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)7.7
  • 3Marc Cucurella↓69’6.9
  • 5B. Badiashile6.5
  • 23T. Chalobah6.3
  • 24R. JamesA8.3
  • 8E. Fernández7.3
  • 25M. Caicedo7.2
  • 49A. Garnacho↓69’7.2
  • 10C. Palmer↓72’6.6
  • 7Pedro Neto6.3
  • 20João Pedro↓69’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 27M. Gusto↑69’6.6
  • 11J. Gittens↑69’6.9
  • 41Estêvão↑72’6.5
  • 9L. Delap↑69’6.5

Unused: F. Jørgensen, W. Fofana, Andrey Santos, T. Adarabioyo, J. Acheampong

Aston Villa 4-4-2

237.2 E. Martínez(G)
226.2 I. Maatsen ↓83’ 36.6 V. Lindelöf 47.2 E. Konsa 26.7 M. Cash
106.2 E. Buendía ↓58’ 87.2 Y. Tielemans A 446.6 B. Kamara ↓83’ 76.6 J. McGinn ↓59’
276.3 M. Rogers 176.5 D. Malen ↓59’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.2
  • 22I. Maatsen↓83’6.2
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.6
  • 4E. Konsa7.2
  • 2M. Cash6.7
  • 10E. Buendía↓58’6.2
  • 8Y. TielemansA7.2
  • 44B. Kamara↓83’6.6
  • 7J. McGinn↓59’6.6
  • 27M. Rogers6.3
  • 17D. Malen↓59’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 11O. Watkins ★↑58’9.2
  • 24A. Onana↑59’6.9
  • 26L. Bogarde↑83’6.7
  • 12L. Digne↑83’6.7
  • 19J. Sancho↑59’6.7

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Jimoh-Aloba, George Hemmings, Andrés García

Player stats

Top rated
O. WatkinsAston Villa9.2
2nd
R. JamesChelsea8.3
3rd
Robert SánchezChelsea7.7

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 81% 31 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
Marc Cucurella D 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 34 2 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
B. Badiashile D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 82 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.5
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 75 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
R. James D 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 95% 62 7 2 0/0 0/0 8.3
E. Fernández M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 43 4 1 0/1 4/3 7.3
M. Caicedo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 66 2 0 0/0 6/0 7.2
A. Garnacho F 69 0 0 1 (0) 2 86% 28 2 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
C. Palmer M 72 0 0 2 (1) 0 79% 29 1 2 1/1 0/1 6.6
Pedro Neto F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 46 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
João Pedro F 69 1 0 2 (2) 0 63% 8 2 0 1/1 1/0 7.6
M. Gusto D 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 12 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Gittens F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 1 0 2/2 0/0 6.9
Estêvão F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
L. Delap F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 73% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
I. Maatsen D 83 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 19 0 1 0/2 1/0 6.2
V. Lindelöf D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 34 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 36 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 21 2 0 0/0 1/2 6.7
E. Buendía M 58 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 23 2 1 0/1 2/2 6.2
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 79% 42 1 1 2/3 1/2 7.2
B. Kamara M 83 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 34 1 0 0/1 1/2 6.6
J. McGinn M 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 1/3 6.6
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 71% 21 1 0 0/3 1/2 6.3
D. Malen F 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
O. Watkins F 32 2 0 4 (4) 0 50% 8 0 0 2/3 0/0 9.2
A. Onana M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
L. Bogarde M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Digne D 7 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Sancho F 31 0 0 1 (1) 0 93% 15 0 0 2/3 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.