Premier League Gameweek 27 Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 15:00 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.99 – 0.85
Burnley
  • João Pedro 4’
  • W. Fofana 72’
  • 90’ Z. Flemming
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burnley snatch a late draw

Chelsea entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Pedro goal. But Flemming scored to rescue a draw for Burnley. Chelsea played with ten men from the 72nd minute after Fofana was sent off. Chelsea finished with the higher xG (1.99 vs 0.85). On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Chelsea78%
Draw ✓14%
Burnley8%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
1
Model 2.94 · xG 1.99
Burnley goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 0.85
Total goals
2
Model 3.86 · xG 2.84
Score 1–1
6%
Most likely 2–0 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 74%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchPedro NetoChelsea · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeLewis Smith
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 5th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. J. LaurentYellow card · Unallowed field entering
    -5’
  2. João Pedro 1–0Assist Pedro Neto
    4’
  3. H. MejbriYellow card · Foul
    30’
  4. W. FofanaYellow card · Foul
    34’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ Lucas PiresFor K. Walker
    46’
  7. ⇄ J. Ward-ProwseFor L. Ugochukwu
    57’
  8. W. FofanaSecond yellow · Foul
    72’
  9. ⇄ T. AdarabioyoFor C. Palmer
    75’
  10. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor J. Laurent
    78’
  11. ⇄ L. DelapFor João Pedro
    80’
  12. ⇄ J. HatoFor M. Gusto
    80’
  13. ⇄ L. TchaounaFor B. Humphreys
    83’
  14. ⇄ A. BarnesFor J. Anthony
    84’
  15. ⇄ M. SarrFor Pedro Neto
    88’
  16. ⇄ J. AcheampongFor R. James
    89’
  17. Robert SánchezYellow card · Time wasting
    90’
  18. Z. Flemming 1–1Assist J. Ward-Prowse
    90’
  19. J. HatoYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  20. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Chelsea12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
Burnley12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
ChelseaBurnley
67% Possession 33%
1.99 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
2.13 Expected points (xPts) 0.66
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 3
605 Passes 302
88% Pass accuracy 79%
9 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 4
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

17.3 Robert Sánchez(G)
276.9 M. Gusto ↓80’ 236.9 T. Chalobah 296.9 W. Fofana 247.0 R. James ↓89’
177.5 Andrey Santos 257.2 M. Caicedo
78.3★ Pedro Neto A↓88’ 86.0 E. Fernández 107.3 C. Palmer ↓75’
207.3 João Pedro ↓80’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)7.3
  • 27M. Gusto↓80’6.9
  • 23T. Chalobah6.9
  • 29W. Fofana6.9
  • 24R. James↓89’7.0
  • 17Andrey Santos7.5
  • 25M. Caicedo7.2
  • 7Pedro Neto ★A↓88’8.3
  • 8E. Fernández6.0
  • 10C. Palmer↓75’7.3
  • 20João Pedro↓80’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 19M. Sarr↑88’6.2
  • 4T. Adarabioyo↑75’6.3
  • 9L. Delap↑80’6.3
  • 21J. Hato↑80’6.5
  • 34J. Acheampong↑89’6.2

Unused: G. Słonina, A. Garnacho, Marc Guiu, R. Lavia

Burnley 3-4-2-1

16.6 M. Dúbravka(G)
57.0 M. Estève 46.6 J. Worrall 26.3 K. Walker ↓46’
126.9 B. Humphreys ↓83’ 286.7 H. Mejbri 86.6 L. Ugochukwu ↓57’ 296.6 J. Laurent ↓78’
116.3 J. Anthony ↓84’ 106.7 M. Edwards
197.2 Z. Flemming
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.6
  • 5M. Estève7.0
  • 4J. Worrall6.6
  • 2K. Walker↓46’6.3
  • 12B. Humphreys↓83’6.9
  • 28H. Mejbri6.7
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓57’6.6
  • 29J. Laurent↓78’6.6
  • 11J. Anthony↓84’6.3
  • 10M. Edwards6.7
  • 19Z. Flemming7.2

Substitutes used

  • 17L. Tchaouna↑83’6.6
  • 23Lucas Pires↑46’6.9
  • 20J. Ward-ProwseA↑57’7.0
  • 35A. Barnes↑84’6.5
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑78’6.5

Unused: Max Weiss, Q. Hartman, Florentino, H. Ekdal

Player stats

Top rated
Pedro NetoChelsea8.3
2nd
Andrey SantosChelsea7.5
3rd
Robert SánchezChelsea7.3

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 60% 40 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
M. Gusto D 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 51 0 2 0/0 1/2 6.9
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 67 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.9
W. Fofana D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 75 1 1 3/4 2/1 6.9
R. James D 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 43 3 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
Andrey Santos M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 83 1 0 0/0 1/3 7.5
M. Caicedo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 95 2 1 0/0 0/2 7.2
Pedro Neto F 88 0 1 0 (0) 3 93% 43 0 0 4/6 1/0 8.3
E. Fernández M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 52 0 1 0/1 3/1 6.0
C. Palmer M 75 0 0 2 (1) 2 90% 31 2 1 1/5 0/0 7.3
João Pedro F 80 1 0 2 (1) 1 75% 16 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.3
M. Sarr D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
T. Adarabioyo D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Delap F 10 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Hato D 10 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 1 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
J. Acheampong D 1 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 70% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Estève D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 38 2 0 0/1 0/0 7.0
J. Worrall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 33 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
K. Walker D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
B. Humphreys D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 28 2 2 0/0 1/2 6.9
H. Mejbri M 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 86% 42 1 1 1/3 1/2 6.7
L. Ugochukwu M 57 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 18 2 0 1/1 1/2 6.6
J. Laurent M 78 0 0 1 (1) 1 72% 18 0 1 0/0 1/2 6.6
J. Anthony F 84 0 0 1 (0) 2 73% 15 0 2 1/4 0/0 6.3
M. Edwards F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 80% 15 1 1 0/1 1/1 6.7
Z. Flemming M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 38% 8 0 3 0/0 4/1 7.2
L. Tchaouna F 7 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Lucas Pires D 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 16 0 2 1/1 0/0 6.9
J. Ward-Prowse M 33 0 1 0 (0) 2 86% 21 0 1 0/0 1/2 7.0
A. Barnes F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Bruun Larsen F 12 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.