Premier League Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 17:30 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.00 – 1.95
Liverpool
  • M. Caicedo 14’
  • Estêvão 90’
  • 63’ C. Gakpo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estêvão’s late goal settles it for Chelsea

Liverpool entered as narrow favourites, but Chelsea won 2–1 through goals from Caicedo and Estêvão. Liverpool replied through a Gakpo goal. Chelsea won despite the lower xG; Liverpool created the better chances (1.95 vs 1.00). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Chelsea ✓31%
Draw25%
Liverpool45%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
2
Model 1.39 · xG 1.00
Liverpool goals
1
Model 1.72 · xG 1.95
Total goals
3
Model 3.10 · xG 2.95
Score 2–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMarc CucurellaChelsea · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 9th · Liverpool 2nd

Timeline

  1. M. Caicedo 1–0Assist M. Gusto
    14’
  2. C. BradleyYellow card · Foul
    34’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ F. WirtzFor C. Bradley
    46’
  5. ⇄ R. LaviaFor B. Badiashile
    55’
  6. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    55’
  7. ⇄ C. JonesFor I. Konaté
    56’
  8. C. Gakpo 1–1Assist A. Isak
    63’
  9. ⇄ J. HatoFor J. Acheampong
    68’
  10. ⇄ Marc GuiuFor João Pedro
    74’
  11. ⇄ H. EkitikéFor A. Isak
    74’
  12. ⇄ J. GittensFor A. Garnacho
    75’
  13. ⇄ EstêvãoFor Pedro Neto
    75’
  14. D. SzoboszlaiYellow card · Foul
    79’
  15. ⇄ W. EndōFor A. Mac Allister
    86’
  16. Estêvão 2–1Assist Marc Cucurella
    90’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Chelsea12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
Liverpool12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
ChelseaLiverpool
53% Possession 47%
1.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.95
0.78 Expected points (xPts) 2.00
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Shots inside the box 8
6 Shots outside the box 4
508 Passes 450
83% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.7 Robert Sánchez(G)
38.3★ Marc Cucurella A 57.7 B. Badiashile ↓55’ 346.2 J. Acheampong ↓68’ 247.2 R. James
258.0 M. Caicedo 276.9 M. Gusto A
496.9 A. Garnacho ↓75’ 86.0 E. Fernández 76.5 Pedro Neto ↓75’
206.2 João Pedro ↓74’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)6.7
  • 3Marc Cucurella ★A8.3
  • 5B. Badiashile↓55’7.7
  • 34J. Acheampong↓68’6.2
  • 24R. James7.2
  • 25M. Caicedo8.0
  • 27M. GustoA6.9
  • 49A. Garnacho↓75’6.9
  • 8E. Fernández6.0
  • 7Pedro Neto↓75’6.5
  • 20João Pedro↓74’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Gittens↑75’6.9
  • 38Marc Guiu↑74’6.2
  • 41Estêvão↑75’7.3
  • 45R. Lavia↑55’7.0
  • 21J. Hato↑68’6.9

Unused: F. Jørgensen, G. Słonina, F. Buonanotte, Landon Emenalo

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

257.2 G. Mamardashvili(G)
66.2 M. Kerkez ↓55’ 46.5 V. van Dijk 56.6 I. Konaté ↓56’ 125.9 C. Bradley ↓46’
106.6 A. Mac Allister ↓86’ 386.9 R. Gravenberch
187.5 C. Gakpo 86.9 D. Szoboszlai 116.2 Mohamed Salah
96.2 A. Isak A↓74’
  • 25G. Mamardashvili (G)7.2
  • 6M. Kerkez↓55’6.2
  • 4V. van Dijk6.5
  • 5I. Konaté↓56’6.6
  • 12C. Bradley↓46’5.9
  • 10A. Mac Allister↓86’6.6
  • 38R. Gravenberch6.9
  • 18C. Gakpo7.5
  • 8D. Szoboszlai6.9
  • 11Mohamed Salah6.2
  • 9A. IsakA↓74’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 17C. Jones↑56’6.3
  • 22H. Ekitiké↑74’6.3
  • 3W. Endō↑86’6.6
  • 26A. Robertson↑55’6.6
  • 7F. Wirtz↑46’6.2

Unused: F. Woodman, F. Chiesa, J. Frimpong, J. Gomez

Player stats

Top rated
Marc CucurellaChelsea8.3
2nd
M. CaicedoChelsea8.0
3rd
B. BadiashileChelsea7.7

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 60% 48 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Marc Cucurella D 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 86% 49 2 2 0/0 0/3 8.3
B. Badiashile D 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 48 1 2 0/0 0/0 7.7
J. Acheampong D 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 45 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
R. James D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 61 5 2 0/0 1/1 7.2
M. Caicedo M 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 88% 51 4 1 0/1 1/0 8.0
M. Gusto D 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 89% 54 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
A. Garnacho F 75 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 21 1 0 2/4 0/2 6.9
E. Fernández M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 80% 45 4 1 0/2 2/0 6.0
Pedro Neto F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 15 0 1 2/2 1/0 6.5
João Pedro F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 12 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
J. Gittens F 15 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 7 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
Marc Guiu F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Estêvão F 15 1 0 2 (2) 2 73% 15 1 1 0/3 1/0 7.3
R. Lavia M 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
J. Hato D 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 17 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.9

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Mamardashvili G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 79% 42 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
M. Kerkez D 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 60 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
I. Konaté D 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 41 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
C. Bradley D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 0 0 0/2 3/0 5.9
A. Mac Allister M 86 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 36 2 1 0/1 0/2 6.6
R. Gravenberch M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 90% 58 1 3 0/1 0/1 6.9
C. Gakpo F 90 1 0 1 (1) 3 78% 36 0 2 2/4 2/1 7.5
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 37 4 0 0/2 1/1 6.9
Mohamed Salah F 90 0 0 2 (0) 4 67% 21 0 0 0/3 1/0 6.2
A. Isak F 74 0 1 1 (0) 1 68% 19 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.2
C. Jones M 34 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
H. Ekitiké F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
W. Endō M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
A. Robertson D 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 14 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
F. Wirtz M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 16 2 1 0/1 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.