Premier League Gameweek 30 Sat, Mar 14 2026 · 17:30 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.39 – 1.41
Newcastle
  • 18’ A. Gordon
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Gordon goal decides it for Newcastle

Chelsea entered as favourites, but Newcastle won 1–0 through a Gordon goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.39 and 1.41. On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Chelsea59%
Draw20%
Newcastle ✓21%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
0
Model 2.35 · xG 1.39
Newcastle goals
1
Model 1.37 · xG 1.41
Total goals
1
Model 3.72 · xG 2.80
Score 0–1
3%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 72%
Both scored
No
Model 68%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ThiawNewcastle
7.9
  • RefereePaul Tierney
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 5th · Newcastle 13th

Timeline

  1. A. Gordon 0–1Assist J. Willock
    18’
  2. W. FofanaYellow card · Foul
    23’
  3. M. CaicedoYellow card · Foul
    25’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ L. DelapFor M. Gusto
    46’
  6. ⇄ R. LaviaFor M. Caicedo
    61’
  7. ⇄ JoelintonFor N. Woltemade
    67’
  8. ⇄ D. BurnFor J. Willock
    77’
  9. ⇄ A. ElangaFor J. Murphy
    78’
  10. ⇄ J. HatoFor W. Fofana
    82’
  11. A. RamsdaleYellow card · Time wasting
    84’
  12. L. HallYellow card · Time wasting
    89’
  13. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Chelsea22 shots · 10 in box, 12 outside
Newcastle7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
ChelseaNewcastle
67% Possession 33%
1.39 Expected goals (xG) 1.41
1.36 Expected points (xPts) 1.39
22 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
10 Shots off target 1
9 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 3
12 Shots outside the box 4
675 Passes 331
92% Pass accuracy 78%
8 Corners 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 7.05

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.9 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.5 Marc Cucurella 236.9 T. Chalobah 296.7 W. Fofana ↓82’ 276.7 M. Gusto ↓46’
256.9 M. Caicedo ↓61’ 247.7 R. James
496.6 A. Garnacho 87.3 E. Fernández 107.2 C. Palmer
206.6 João Pedro
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)6.9
  • 3Marc Cucurella6.5
  • 23T. Chalobah6.9
  • 29W. Fofana↓82’6.7
  • 27M. Gusto↓46’6.7
  • 25M. Caicedo↓61’6.9
  • 24R. James7.7
  • 49A. Garnacho6.6
  • 8E. Fernández7.3
  • 10C. Palmer7.2
  • 20João Pedro6.6

Substitutes used

  • 9L. Delap↑46’6.3
  • 45R. Lavia↑61’6.3
  • 21J. Hato↑82’6.6

Unused: T. Sharman-Lowe, B. Badiashile, Andrey Santos, M. Sarr, Marc Guiu, T. Adarabioyo

Newcastle 4-2-3-1

326.9 A. Ramsdale(G)
37.5 L. Hall 47.5 S. Botman 127.9★ M. Thiaw 216.3 V. Livramento
416.6 J. Ramsey 287.0 J. Willock A↓77’
116.3 H. Barnes 276.7 N. Woltemade ↓67’ 237.2 J. Murphy ↓78’
107.9 A. Gordon
  • 32A. Ramsdale (G)6.9
  • 3L. Hall7.5
  • 4S. Botman7.5
  • 12M. Thiaw ★7.9
  • 21V. Livramento6.3
  • 41J. Ramsey6.6
  • 28J. WillockA↓77’7.0
  • 11H. Barnes6.3
  • 27N. Woltemade↓67’6.7
  • 23J. Murphy↓78’7.2
  • 10A. Gordon7.9

Substitutes used

  • 33D. Burn↑77’6.9
  • 7Joelinton↑67’6.3
  • 20A. Elanga↑78’6.3

Unused: J. Ruddy, N. Pope, K. Trippier, Y. Wissa, W. Osula, A. Murphy

Player stats

Top rated
M. ThiawNewcastle7.9
2nd
A. GordonNewcastle7.9
3rd
R. JamesChelsea7.7

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
Marc Cucurella D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 93% 69 0 1 0/1 1/1 6.5
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 86 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
W. Fofana D 82 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 68 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.7
M. Gusto D 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 32 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.7
M. Caicedo M 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 66 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
R. James D 90 0 0 3 (0) 4 97% 77 0 1 0/1 2/0 7.7
A. Garnacho F 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 93% 45 1 1 1/3 0/0 6.6
E. Fernández M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 80 1 2 1/2 0/2 7.3
C. Palmer M 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 88% 40 1 0 2/3 0/2 7.2
João Pedro F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 27 3 0 0/2 0/2 6.6
L. Delap F 44 0 0 3 (1) 0 100% 3 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
R. Lavia M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 32 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
J. Hato D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 19 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Ramsdale G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 52% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Hall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 47 1 1 0/1 1/2 7.5
S. Botman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 46 2 0 1/1 0/0 7.5
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 30 1 0 0/0 3/1 7.9
V. Livramento D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 22 0 0 1/4 2/0 6.3
J. Ramsey M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 91% 35 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Willock M 77 0 1 1 (1) 2 72% 32 1 1 0/1 1/0 7.0
H. Barnes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 24 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
N. Woltemade F 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 13 3 1 2/4 1/1 6.7
J. Murphy M 78 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 4 0 1/1 0/0 7.2
A. Gordon F 90 1 0 3 (3) 0 93% 14 3 0 1/1 0/4 7.9
D. Burn D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Joelinton F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Elanga F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.